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Archive for October, 2008

Ater Predicting 14,000 Top, 7,500 Bottom, Grandich Calls Capitulation Bottom

Posted by AGORACOM at 9:43 AM on Friday, October 10th, 2008

We recently announced the acquisition of www.Grandich.com and the merger of Peter Grandich into AGORACOM as Chief Commentator. I personally made this decision after interviewing Peter over the last 3 years and watching his uncanny ability to call tops and bottoms in markets and commodities.

For example, back in October of 2007, when markets were sitting at all-time highs, Peter went on the record several times and advised he was shorting US markets.

Today, via this post on his blog, Peter stated:

“While I do believe the worse is not yet over, especially for the economy,
I think it’s time to lock in tremendous profits and stand aside. I’m seeing
classic signs of a capitulation bottom.”

When Peter speaks, I listen and would suggest all of you have a read of his post.

Regards,
George

Capitulation Today and Tuesday? Follow My Blog And Twitter

Posted by AGORACOM at 8:24 AM on Friday, October 10th, 2008

Gang, if you want to follow my micro posts, you can follow me on Twitter as well. Here is an example of what I have posted today:

Regards,
George

Why Did Gold Go Parabolic At 3:30?

Posted by AGORACOM at 3:15 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

[NOTE:  These charts are “live”, they are not a snapshot.  As such, if you are reading this post after October 9th, you will be seeing the current price and chart action of gold, not the October 9th parabolic move]

What does the market know that the masses don’t? Look at the green line for what gold did between 3:00 and 4:00.

Capitulation has got to be close, so I’ll repeat my comments for those of you who are panicking….

If you’re an investor with even a little bit of cash, this is going to be one of the best buying opportunities of your life.

If you’re a CEO of a small-cap company, this is the time to place your company head and shoulders above your peers so that investors come to you once they’ve calmed down.

Regards,
George

US National Debt Clock Runs Out Of Space

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:26 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

“The National Debt Clock in New York City has run out of digits to record the
growing figure. As a short-term fix, the digital dollar sign on the billboard-style
clock near Times Square has been switched to a figure – the “1” in $10 trillion.”
Full Story.

Hat-tip to Peter Grandich for posting the story first. More than just quick on the draw, Peter has been warning us about this for as long as I can remember by telling us “Americans are robbing Peter to pay Paul but Peter is tapped out.”

Sorry Grandich, it isn’t just Peter that is tapped out, now its the clock that tracks the whole thing. Wow. How gold hasn’t shot past $1,500, let alone $1,000, is beyond me. Read my $1,000 Gold category.

God Bless,
Peter

BREAKING NEWS – The Latest And Biggest Battle For A Canadian Junior Resource Company

Posted by AGORACOM at 1:29 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

Fresh off the heels of the battle for control of Aurelian Resources, in which Aurelian shareholders used their community on AGORACOM to launch a massive campaign against a “friendly bid” by Kinross Resources, the Canadian junior resource market is once again embroiled in what may be the mother of all battles for Noront Resource (NOT: TSXV).

(FULL DISCLOSURE: Noront Resources Is An AGORACOM Client)

Noront Resources has been the sector darling over the past 12 months, including being named to the 2008 TSX Venture 50, a ranking of Canada’s top emerging public companies listed on TSX Venture Exchange. Within the TSX Venture 50, Noront Resources was the #1 ranked company in the mining category.

Noront achieved much of its success and notoriety following the September 2007 discovery of a high-grade deposit of nickel, copper, platinum and palladium in the McFaulds Lake area in the James Bay Lowlands.  The discovery created a surge of staking and exploration in the area, which is now commonly referred to as the “Ring Of Fire”.

Rosseau Asset Management Ltd. Proposes To Replace Noront’s Board At Upcoming AGM

Rosseau, a hedge fund,  issued this press release at 7:30 AM today, advising it would be running its own slate of directors at the upcoming Noront AGM.  You can review the reasons but it basically states “we can do better”.

In a huge twist of irony, the Rosseau press release names Patrick Anderson as one of the slate members.  That’s right, the CEO of Aurelian Resources that many shareholders believe gave away the world’s best gold find over the last 20 years to Kinross Gold (please review links at the top of the page).

With respect to share ownership, Rosseau its officers and employees collectively own or control a total of 11,912,901 common shares of Noront, representing approximately 9.2 per cent of the common shares of Noront entitled to be voted at the meeting.  However, I think it is fair to assume that Rosseau has already spoken to other shareholders sharing their views.

NORONT ISSUES PRESS RELEASE ADVISING SHAREHOLDERS TO VOTE AGAINST ROSSEAU SLATE AFTER ROSSEAU REJECTS COMPROMISE.

As expected, Noront Resources issued this press release shortly after 11 AM, advising shareholders to vote against the Rosseau slate.  What was both surprising and a rallying point for Noront shareholders is the fact that Noront attempted to avoid a proxy battle and address Rosseau concerns:

“In an effort to avoid the cost and dislocation to all Noront shareholders that
would inevitably accompany a proxy fight, the Special Committee sought to
address Rosseau’s concerns and attempted to negotiate a compromise position
that would result in a more balanced Board of Directors than the slate of directors
suggested by Rosseau. Rosseau rejected Noront’s compromise proposal and
has commenced its proxy fight with the filing of the Dissident’s Circular.”

OPPORTUNISTIC MOTIVATIONS VS SHAREHOLDER VALUE MOTIVATIONS

Despite Noront’s best and reasonable efforts, Rosseau balked and went ahead with its plans.  This clearly puts Rosseau’s motives in question, unless the Rosseau group wants investors to believe the entire current board and management team was worth jettisoning.

I’m a reasonable guy and just as interested as any shareholder to maximize the value of our 175,000 shares – but I’ve watched this team build Noront to where it is today, so don’t try selling shareholders on them suddenly being useless.  Especially not under the guise of “enhancing value for the benefit of all shareholders of Noront.” The sector is weak, Noront’s share price is weak and you are moving in for the kill. I can respect that – but call it what it really is.

As such, in a post made earlier today but prior to seeing Noront’s press release, I stated as follows:

“…can you trust (Patrick) Anderson with Noront? Do you want to risk seeing Noront
f
lipped into a bigger company for a song? In my opinion, this is nothing more
than an opportunist move on Noront by people interested in getting their hands
on yet another incredible world-class project. It has nothing to do with creating
shareholder “value” for indiviudal shareholders. Their prosperity will come first. Period.”

Evidently, Noront saw things the same way once it was clear that Rosseau had no interest in negotiating a compromise – and stated as much in its press release:

NORONT’S SPECIAL COMMITTEE AND BOARD OF DIRECTORS BELIEVES
ROSSEAU’S ACTION IS NOT IN THE BEST INTERESTS OF NORONT SHAREHOLDERS.
IT IS AN OPPORTUNISTIC ATTEMPT, IN LIGHT OF EXTRAORDINARY RECENT
MARKET CONDITIONS, TO OBTAIN CONTROL OF NORONT THROUGH CONTROL
OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS.

The press release rallied Noront Resources investors who, by an overwhelming majority, are up in arms and rallying against the Rosseau plan.  I wish I could provide you with examples but there have been well over 450 posts made on the Noront Discussion Forum since 7:30 AM and climbing by about 1 per minute.  Yes, some are unhappy with the company’s share price performance over the last few months but many acknowledge that much of this is attributed to general market weakness that should not affect the long-term value of Noront’s projects.

With the AGM less than 3 weeks away, this promises to be yet another example of shareholder activism 2.0.  This time, however, shareholder and management interests are aligned against an uninvited guest.

Regards,
George

U.S. Searches For “Agoracom” Skyrockets With Bloomberg / CNBC TV Campaign. “Gold Stocks” Too.

Posted by AGORACOM at 9:35 AM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

On September 15, we announced the commencement of 30-second television ads on Bloomberg and CNBC in the United States, as well as, BNN in Canada.  Unlike search engine marketing, it can be used to be hard to measure the effectiveness of offline branding campaigns because potential new visitors don’t call you.  If we were specifically marketing our IR services, you could measure the number of prospect calls or web inquiries.

Fortunately, we now have Google Trends. Google Trends analyzes how many searches have been done for a specific term, relative to the total number of searches for that specific term over time. In this case, I wanted to see the search trend for “AGORACOM” in the United States.

In order to make comparisons easy and put them in relative terms, Google assigns the searches over time a  baseline score of 1.00.  As such, anything above 1.00 since September 15 is a good sign and anything below 1.00 is a bad sign. How good or bad would depend on how far off 1.00 the trend is.

So what is the trend for AGORACOM so far? A Google Trends chart is worth 1,000 words:

The spike is so big that the baseline of 1.00 looks like we had no searches at all in 2008 when, in fact, the spike meant the chart had to be set to increments of 10.  To put this into perspective, Imagine what the chart of a small-cap stock would look like if it was trading pretty healthy in and around $1.00 for most of the year and then suddenly spiked to almost $20.

I do concede this is still early and we will have to check this again in 30 days – but we are off to a great start.

AMERICANS SEARCHING FOR “GOLD STOCKS”

If you want to take a look at your own trends, go here.  You can view a search trend for the entire world or for a specific country.  The caveat is that Google Trends doesn’t give you reports on thinly traded search terms. As such, if your corporate name doesn’t register, try things like your industry.  For example, I queried “Gold Stocks” and the following tells me that Americans are becoming VERY interested in them!

If you are a small-cap CEO and don’t recognize the power of Web 2.0 by now, I give up 🙂

Regards,
George

More Evidence Of Looming Capitulation – And Buying Opportunity Of A Lifetime

Posted by AGORACOM at 6:11 PM on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

In keeping with my theme of how to turn market turmoil to your advantage for both CEO’s and investors, this Globe article serves as further evidence that capitulation is near. Capitulation is the point where investors are overwhelmed with pressure and want out at any cost, as clearly demonstrated by the following quote:

“You’re seeing all of this volatility, and retail investors need to deal with that.
And they don’t want to deal with it. They’re willing to sell, because they aren’t
worried about missing out on a big rally. They think that’s a small price to pay
for the sanity of sleeping well at night.”

If you’re an investor with even a little bit of cash, this is going to be one of the best buying opportunities of your life.

If you’re a CEO of a small-cap company, this is the time to place your company head and shoulders above your peers so that investors come to you once they’ve calmed down.

Regards,
George

Photo courtesy of The Economist

TSX Biggest Movers – Are Gold Stocks Diverging And Making Their Run?

Posted by AGORACOM at 5:45 PM on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

This is courtesy of my lead biz dev guy, Scott Purkis. Take a look at the biggest % gainers on the TSX today. Hopefully, this is a sign that gold/metal stocks are de-coupling from the major indexes and taking on a life of their own. Still early but I’ll make sure Scott keeps me updated:

[CLICK ON THE IMAGE FOR CLEARER VERSION]

Regards,
George

AGORACOM Financial News TV – Breaking Small-Cap And Micro-Cap Financial News At The Open (Oct 08/08)

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:01 AM on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

Good morning to you all. Please find enclosed a summary of the breaking small-cap and micro-cap financial news we highlighted on our TV show this morning. It’s October 8 and we’ve found 4 great press releases and stock halts from both sides of the border to report on at the open. Another great day for small-cap and micro-cap financial news.

If you are new to the show, it is a daily, fast-paced, edgy report that we put out at or before the open everyday that strictly reports on the best small cap and micro cap news of the day in 3-5 minutes. You can watch AGORACOM TV right from our home page .

If you miss an episode or want to search for your company in our archive, you can visit our industry leading Small-Cap Podcast site at any time:

If you want to subscribe to our Small-Cap RSS Feed or download our podcast everyday via iTunes, or your favourite podcatcher, just use the following:

As always, don’t forget to visit the AGORACOM Marketplace where we list compelling summaries for over 85 great small-cap and micro-cap companies that you can sort by exchange and industry to suit your personal investing tastes.

TODAY’S SMALL-CAP AND MICRO-CAP BREAKING FINANCIAL NEWS BEFORE THE OPEN

Our daily show focuses on content over form so that you can get profitable information into your hands as fast as possible. The same holds true for these entries in our small-cap, micro-cap news blog, where I simply cut and paste my TV notes for your benefit, without any editing, so don’t give me a hard time! 🙂

Now, onto our show notes for the day.

** Denotes an AGORACOM Client. AGORACOM TV Only Reports News From AGORACOM Clients That Meets The Same Newsworthy Threshold Of All Other Press Releases.

  • Applied Nanotech – OTC BB:APNT $0.49
  • Rockwell Diamonds – TSX:RDI, OTC BB:RDIAF $0.25
  • Selkirk Metals – TSX-V:SLK $0.14
  • Panoro Minerals – TSX-V:PML, FSE:PZM $0.23

We Need Capitulation To Get Back To Business

Posted by AGORACOM at 6:13 PM on Tuesday, October 7th, 2008

There it is.  I said it.  I will say what nobody else wants to say.  1987 was painful but Black Monday put it all to an end and we moved forward.

If you are a small-cap CEO and believe in the long-term future of your company, then you needn’t worry about a couple of days of panic selling. You’ll be far beyond this in a couple of years.

If you are a small-cap investor and believe in the long-term future of your holdings, then take advantage of capitulation, add to your position and thank-me in 2-3 years when you are paying your child’s college tuition in cash.

Now, let’s get it over with so we can move forward.

Regards,
George