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CLIENT FEATURE: Accelerating Gold Market Pushing American Creek To New Highs $AMK.ca $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 10:59 AM on Friday, June 26th, 2020
  • American Creek has broken out technically and is at a 52 week high
  • Has not seen this price since 2011
  • Gold Bull Market accelerating toward $1900 driving AMK
  • Third Drill onsite accelerating drilling production at Treaty Creek
  • World Classs Asset being developed
  • Located next to the world’s largest undeveloped gold deposit by reserves in B.C.’s  Golden Triangle (KSM)  
  • 2020 Drill Holes have already been shipped to the lab for assays.  

American Creek has a Fully Carried 20% Interest in the Treaty Creek Project 

  • The currently known length of the northeast axis of the Goldstorm system is 850 meters and the southeast axis is 600 meters by 700m depth. 
  • Mineralization depth in the north continues to 1,200m
  • The system remains open in both directions and in depth  
  • The total size of this mighty gold system has expanded significantly with each step-out borehole  
  • The richest mineralization at ‘Treaty Creek’ starts near the surface extending to a 300m depth
  • The gold system is open on all sides and the geology and geophysics indicate a much larger system than has been defined.  

The Treaty Creek Project is a Joint Venture with Tudor Gold owning 3/5th and acting as operator. American Creek and Teuton Resources each have a 1/5th interest in the project creating a 3:1 ownership relationship between Tudor Gold and American Creek. American Creek and Teuton are both fully carried until such time as a Production Notice is issued, at which time they are required to contribute their respective 20% share of development costs. Until such time, Tudor is required to fund all exploration and development costs while both American Creek and Teuton have “free rides”. 

World Classs 2019 Drill Results:

  • Drill hole GS19-42: 0.849 g / t Gold Eq over 780 meters including 1.275 g / t Gold Eq over 370.5 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  
  • Hole GS19-47: 0.697 g / t Gold Eq over 1,081.5 meters including 0.867 g / t Gold Eq over 301.5 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  
  • Drill hole GS19-52: 0.783 g / t gold Eq over 601.5 meters incl. 1.062 g / t gold over 336.0 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  
  • Hole GS19-48: 0.793 g / t Gold Eq over 927.0 meters;  
  • Hole GS19-49: 0.800 g / t gold Eq over 826.5 meters including 1.080 g / t gold over 249 meters;  
  • Hole GS19-50: 0.681 g / t Gold Eq over 577.5 meters; Hole CB-18-39: 1,086 g / t Gold Eq over 563.8 meters 

Proximity to KSM:

  • Seabridge Gold is the adjacent neighbor to Tudor Gold’s Treaty Creek project and plans to bring the “KSM project” into production with an initial cost of capital of $5.4 billion est.
  • Tudor’s Treaty Creek project is significantly closer to key infrastructure such as highway and electricity than its neighbor Seabridge Gold.
    • Lower capital costs to build a mine at Treaty Creek is advantageous over SEA.

About American Creek

American Creek is a Canadian junior mineral exploration company with a strong portfolio of gold and silver properties in British Columbia. Three of those properties are located in the prolific “Golden Triangle”; the Treaty Creek and Electrum joint venture projects with Tudor Gold/Walter Storm as well as the 100% owned past producing Dunwell Mine.

  • For further information please contact Kelvin Burton at: Phone: 403 752-4040 or Email: [email protected]. Information relating to the Corporation is available on its website at www.americancreek.com

American Creek $AMK.ca Completes Sale of Minority Interest in Electrum Property $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 10:12 AM on Tuesday, June 16th, 2020

Cardston, Alberta–(Newsfile Corp. – June 16, 2020) – American Creek Resources Ltd. (TSXV: AMK) (the “Company” or “American Creek”) – Following its press release of May 12, 2020, the Company announces the completion of the sale of its 40% interest in the Electrum Project joint venture to Tudor Gold Corp. (‘Tudor”). The purchase price received was $250,000 cash and 1,400,000 Tudor common shares, which are subject to a contractual 8 month hold period expiring February 16, 2021.

Darren Blaney, American Creek CEO stated: “We are please to be able to complete this transaction which gives the Company additional operating funds and more importantly, further increases the Company’s exposure to the Treaty Creek JV Project. We are very much looking forward to the upcoming developments as the Tudor team is doing an outstanding job of advancing the Treaty Creek project in a major way”.

About American Creek

American Creek holds a strong portfolio of gold and silver properties in British Columbia.

Two of those properties are located in the prolific “Golden Triangle”; the Treaty Creek joint venture project with Tudor (Walter Storm) as well as the 100% owned past producing Dunwell Mine.

The Company also holds the Gold Hill, Austruck-Bonanza, Ample Goldmax, Silver Side, and Glitter King properties located in other prospective areas of the province.

For further information please contact Kelvin Burton at: Phone: 403 752-4040 or Email: [email protected]. Information relating to the Corporation is available on its website at: www.americancreek.com

CLIENT FEATURE: American Creek’s $AMK.ca Treaty Creek Project Targeting 20 to 30 Million Ounces Gold Via 2020 Drill Program $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 10:52 AM on Tuesday, June 9th, 2020

SPONSOR: American Creek owns a 20% Carried Interest to Production at the Treaty Creek Project in the Golden Triangle. 2019’s first hole averaged 0.683 g/t Au over 780m in a vertical intercept. 2020 drilling has started, with 18,000 to 20,000 metres from 7-10 drill platforms with four diamond drill rigs. The Treaty Creek property is located in the same hydrothermal system as the Pretivm and Seabridge’s KSM deposits and is fully funded for exploration in 2020. Click Here For More Info

  • Located next to the world’s largest undeveloped gold deposit by reserves in B.C.’s  Golden Triangle (KSM) 
  • Drilling has started 1 month early  
  • There are already holes shipped off to the lab for assays.  

American Creek has a Fully Carried 20% Interest in the Treaty Creek Project 

  • The currently known length of the northeast axis of the Goldstorm system is 850 meters and the southeast axis is 600 meters by 700m depth. 
  • Mineralization depth in the north continues to 1,200m when the drills gave out  
  • The system remains open in both directions and in depth  
  • The total size of this mighty gold system has expanded significantly with each step-out borehole 
  • AMK Partner Tudor is planning a step-out of 150 meters to the east and the north in 2020.  
  • The richest mineralization at ‘Treaty Creek’ starts near the surface extending to a 300m depth, which clearly speaks for a future open pit mine. 
  • The gold system is open on all sides and the geology and geophysics indicate a much larger system than has been defined.  

The Treaty Creek Project is a Joint Venture with Tudor Gold owning 3/5th and acting as operator. American Creek and Teuton Resources each have a 1/5th interest in the project creating a 3:1 ownership relationship between Tudor Gold and American Creek. American Creek and Teuton are both fully carried until such time as a Production Notice is issued, at which time they are required to contribute their respective 20% share of development costs. Until such time, Tudor is required to fund all exploration and development costs while both American Creek and Teuton have “free rides”. 

Demand for world-class projects in politically stable regions such as Canada and Australia will increase significantly. Projects such as’ Treaty Creek ‘by Tudor Gold should be at the top of the big producers’ shopping list 

JS Research from Germany just came out with a report on Treaty Creek and American Creek’s JV partner Tudor Gold, which includes projections for the size and value of the project.  Below is the English translation: 

TRANSLATED ARTICLE: 

Tudor Gold Starts Powerful Drill Program With 22.5 To 32.1 Million Ounces Of Gold Eq Target ++ Billionaire Eric Sprott Invests Another CAD 2.9 Million! 

The exploration pearl Tudor Gold Corp. (Ticker Canada: TUD, WKN: A2AJ7Y) we presented you in detail several times last year. Many of our readers can already look forward to exceptional price gains in their securities accounts, since the share has exploded from CAD 0.24 in 2019 to CAD 1.07 in the meantime! A gain of 345%. But that’s not all – we are convinced that Tudor Gold still has very high price potential.  

Smart investors are now positioning themselves again at the perfect time – why? We have examined the latest company reports in more detail for you and summarized our assessment:  

TOP NEWS 1:  

Tudor Gold announced on May 11th (see link here) that the powerful drilling program has started on the flagship Project ‘Treaty Creek’ in BC’s Golden Triangle! The world-class explorer plans to drill a total of 20,000 meters there in the next few months. This means that this year’s drilling program is more than twice as large as last year when 9,781 meters were drilled in 14 holes.  

TOP NEWS 2:  

100% hit rate for the 2019 drilling program – all 14 holes have hit gold-bearing mineralization! Chapeau to the management team around the experienced CEO Walter Storm, who, as a co-founder of Osisko Mining (market capitalization then rose from under 10 million to over 4.5 billion CAD), had a real golden hand in exploration in Canada!  

TOP NEWS 3:  

The legendary star investor Eric Sprott has massively expanded his strategic stake in Tudor Gold! The billionaire announced on May 15, 20 that he had exercised two purchase warrants ahead of time and has thus transferred CAD 2.9 million to Tudor. (Read the German press release here: LINK) The smart Eric Sprott knows exactly how to make a lot of money in the raw materials sector! This further investment is a special seal of approval and strong proof of trust in the world-class Explorer Tudor Gold!!! Follow the ‘smart money’ and be there when Tudor Gold writes exploration history!  

TOP NEWS 4:  

Tudor Gold is one of the few exploration companies that are sufficiently funded to run such a mega exploration program! So there will be a lot of news flow in the next few months, which should cause extreme (positive) share price fantasy!  

TOP NEWS 5:  

The exploration team around Tudor Gold’s award-winning star geologist and VP Project Development, Ken Konkin , has even managed to start drilling four weeks earlier! This is top news, because the publication of the first drilling results can now be expected much earlier! Ken Konkin was instrumental in the discovery of Pretium Resources’ The Valley of Kings deposit. The very experienced Ken Konkin knows exactly what he is doing – we are expecting another successful exploration program this year!  

TOP NEWS 6:  

The company has big plans: On April 22, 20, Tudor announced that the metallurgical test work and preliminary basic studies on ‘Treaty Creek’ have started. For us, this is a strong sign that Tudor will continue to develop the project until it is ready for production after the release of a first resource (towards the end of this year?)! You can read the German press release here:  

LINK TOP NEWS 7:  

The gold price marked a new multi-year high of $ 1,765 in May and is still in a long-term cyclical uptrend. Many experts expect the nominal all-time high of around USD 1,920 to be exceeded in the next few months.  

In April, the renowned American Bank of America made a forecast that gold could rise to up to USD 3,000 per troy ounce within 18 months! One of the reasons for the gold price rise is the launch of global economic stimulus programs and the massive expansion of money supply by the major central banks. It is estimated that the staggering $ 10 trillion in new money will be printed or launched on government programs.  

These measures are designed to avert a severe recession / depression triggered by COVID-19. It is expected that we will see rapidly increasing inflation rates or even stagflation in the next few years! Gold is and remains one of the safest investments (a so-called ‘safe haven’) for investors in such an environment and offers the ultimate protection against inflation-related devaluation.  

Gold stocks traditionally have significant leverage against gold. This means that if the gold price trend is positive, they will increase significantly more in percentage terms. Experience has shown that the typical leverage effect of a gold share is 1.5 to 4x. (A 1% price increase in gold usually means an increase of 1.5 to 4% for shares in the gold sector). Not so with Tudor Gold: the exploration company even had a much stronger lever on the gold price in 2019! It was a strong 12.6x in 2019! The stock increased from $ 0.24 to $ 0.79 from January 2, 2019 to December 31, 2018. This corresponds to a percentage increase of 229.2%. The gold price rose by only 18.1% over the same period. Tudor Gold’s leverage was 12.6x (calculation formula: 229.2: 18.1 = 20.5). [Gold lever Tudor gold]  

https://assets.wallstreet-online.de/_media/144/2020/06/02/goldhebel-tudor-gold.png

TOP NEWS 8: Tudor Gold’s drilling results in 2019 are world class! We have listed a few of the most spectacular drill results to date:  

Drill hole GS19-42: 0.849 g / t Gold Eq over 780 meters including 1.275 g / t Gold Eq over 370.5 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  

Hole GS19-47: 0.697 g / t Gold Eq over 1,081.5 meters including 0.867 g / t Gold Eq over 301.5 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  

Drill hole GS19-52: 0.783 g / t gold Eq over 601.5 meters incl. 1.062 g / t gold over 336.0 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  

Hole GS19-48: 0.793 g / t Gold Eq over 927.0 meters;  

Hole GS19-49: 0.800 g / t gold Eq over 826.5 meters including 1.080 g / t gold over 249 meters;  

Hole GS19-50: 0.681 g / t Gold Eq over 577.5 meters; Hole CB-18-39: 1,086 g / t Gold Eq over 563.8 meters  

Tudor Gold has already managed to define a significant mineralization corridor on Treaty Creek. The currently known length of the northeast axis of the Goldstorm system is over 850 meters and the southeast axis is at least 600 meters. The system remains open in both directions and in depth!  

The total size of this mighty gold system has expanded significantly with each step-out borehole! As can be seen in the recently released press release, Tudor is planning another step-out well 150 meters away in 2020. Not to be painted if a long gold mineralization section is found again! And the best thing is that mineralization at ‘Treaty Creek’ starts near the surface, which clearly speaks for a future open pit mine!  

Tudor Gold has therefore defined the so-called ‘Horizon 300 Zone’. This means the area of the first 300 meters from the ground. As you can see in the above results, the ore grades are often even over 1.00 grams of gold per ton! This increases the economy of this world-class project enormously. The gold system is open on all sides and the overall size has not yet been fully defined. Thus, Tudor Gold’s flagship project still has enormous exploration potential!  

The company plans to begin producing an initial resource estimate for Treaty Creek immediately after the 2020 drilling season is completed. We took the trouble to simulate a potential resource based on the conceptual exploration target for Treaty Creek of 1 billion tons of rock and various assumptions of ore grades (grams of gold per ton). We would like to emphasize that this simulation is based on an interview by Ken Konkin with Swiss Resource Capital AG in November 2019 and various variable assumptions!  

Tudor Gold’s star geologist Ken Konkin, Vice President Project Development, gave an impressive interview in November 2019.  

Click on this link to watch the interview! LINK 

https://assets.wallstreet-online.de/_media/144/2020/06/02/interview-ken-konkin-november-2019.png

Tudor Gold’s ‘Treaty Creek’ – the next significant world-class project in stable and mining-friendly Canada (BC) [Conceptual exploration target Treaty Creek] 

https://assets.wallstreet-online.de/_media/144/2020/06/02/konzeptionelles-explorationstarget-treaty-creek.png

As more and more gold producers have to replace their mined gold resources in order to maintain constant gold production, we believe that demand for world-class projects in politically stable regions such as Canada and Australia will increase significantly. Projects such as’ Treaty Creek ‘by Tudor Gold should be at the top of the big producers’ shopping list. Because the flagship project ‘Treaty Creek’ is close to the infrastructure of roads and electricity in mining-friendly western Canada.  

Should Tudor Gold actually manage to prove an initial gold resource of 22-32 million ounces by the end of the year, there would be a highly explosive revaluation of the share! Currently, the market capitalization is only around CAD 137 million. As I said, Tudor Gold has not released a proven resource yet, but the spectacular drill results from 2019 show that the company may be controlling a world-class ore body on Treaty Creek!  

We have created a hypothetical valuation matrix for Tudor Gold. If a producer were willing to pay, for example, USD 65 for each ounce of gold after the publication of a gold resource, the value of the gold treasure (eg 20 million ounces) at Treaty Creek would be CAD 1.98 billion. Tudor Gold’s 60% stake in Treaty Creek would have a value of $ 1.19 billion or $ 7.80 per share. This corresponds to a price potential of an incredible 748%!  

https://assets.wallstreet-online.de/_media/144/2020/06/02/hypothetische-bewertung-von-treaty-creek.png

[Hypothetical assessment of Treaty Creek]  

Since Tudor Gold’s Treaty Creek project is located in politically safe Canada, a substantial takeover premium should be extremely realistic if a major is taken over by M&A.  

$ 90 per ounce of gold is also easy in the realm of possibility. The takeover value for Tudor Gold would of course be correspondingly higher – in theory it would be approx. 10.80 CAD per share! That is why in previous articles we allowed Tudor Gold a clear potential for excavators. We expect huge news flow from Tudor Gold in 2020, especially for the upcoming drilling season, which will be a combination of ‘infill’ drilling and ‘step-out’ drilling.  

In addition, the mineralization zones begin near the surface, which strongly suggests that a large open open- cast mine may develop here. And it is known that Tudor Gold’s flagship project can be connected to a few kilometers away infrastructure (electricity and road). 
 

‘Wild Card’:  

Seabridge Gold is the adjacent neighbor to Tudor Gold’s Treaty Creek project and plans to bring the “KSM project” into production. Should this extremely costly mine project, with an initial cost of capital of $ 5.4 billion estimated, ever be financed and go into production, Seabridge plans to build a tunnel directly through Treaty Creek. As can be seen from various company presentations and on the Seabridge website, this so-called ‘ Mitchell Treaty’ tunnel (‘MTT’) is to be used to design an underground train system via which not only ore but also personnel and consumables are to be transported. As we can assess the situation from a distance, the possible tunnel is quite close to the potential Goldstorm gold system on ‘Treaty Creek’ – Tudor Gold will definitely not allow sterilization of your future resource!  

In our opinion, this tunnel will only be possible, if at all, under very mutually acceptable conditions and at eye level with Tudor Gold! Otherwise, it would be hard for us to imagine how Seabridge would survive a multi-billion-dollar lawsuit if the planned tunnel ran straight through Tudor Gold’s future (potential) open pit mine.  

Tudor’s Treaty Creek project is significantly closer to key infrastructure such as highway and electricity than its neighbor Seabridge Gold. Therefore, gold producers’ interest in Tudor Gold should also be greater. We also expect significantly lower capital costs to build a mine at Treaty Creek.  

[Proposed sea bridge tunnel] Source: Seabridge Gold company presentation, July 2019  

Summary of Highlights:  

  • Prime location: Huge land package in the world-famous Canadian ‘Golden Triangle’ – more than 72 million ounces of gold have already been discovered within a few kilometers. 
  • The Treaty Creek flagship project is adjacent to the largest world-class deposits and mines. (Seabridge Gold and Pretium Resources) 
  • Top Management – Very experienced and successful team under the leadership of the renowned Walter Storm , co-founder of the Canadian mining company Osisko Mining . Ken Konkin , a multi-award winning geologist, has led the drilling program since 2019. He was instrumental in the discovery of Pretium Resources’ The Valley of Kings deposit. (8 million ounces of gold) 

World-Class Drill Results at Treaty Creek Project:  

  • The 2019 drilling program resulted in first-class continuous mineralization sections, for example Drill hole GS19-42: 0.849 g / t Gold Eq over 780 meters including 1.275 g / t Gold Eq over 370.5 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  
  • Hole GS19-47: 0.697 g / t Gold Eq over 1,081.5 meters including 0.867 g / t Gold Eq over 301.5 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  
  • Drill hole GS19-52: 0.783 g / t gold Eq over 601.5 meters incl. 1.062 g / t gold over 336.0 meters in the 300 Horizon section;  
  • Hole GS19-48: 0.793 g / t Gold Eq over 927.0 meters; Hole GS19-49: 0.800 g / t gold Eq over 826.5 meters including 1.080 g / t gold over 249 meters;  
  • Hole GS19-50: 0.681 g / t Gold Eq over 577.5 meters; Hole CB-18-39: 1,086 g / t Gold Eq over 563.8 meters  
  • Enormous exploration potential – large parts of the exploration projects are still largely unexplored. 

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Your JS research team      
 
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The following are some examples of separate risks in the raw materials sector: country risks, currency fluctuations, natural disasters and storms (e.g. floods, storms), changes in the legal situation (e.g. bans on exports and imports, punitive tariffs, prohibition of raw material extraction or exploration, nationalization of projects), environmental regulations (eg higher costs for environmental protection, designation of new environmental protection areas, prohibition of various mining methods), fluctuations in raw material prices and considerable exploration risks. Disclaimer: All information published in the report is based on careful research. Companies that develop raw material projects) must be aware of additional risks. The following are some examples of separate risks in the raw materials sector: country risks, currency fluctuations, natural disasters and storms (e.g. floods, storms), changes in the legal situation (e.g. bans on exports and imports, punitive tariffs, prohibition of raw material extraction or exploration, nationalization of projects), environmental regulations (eg higher costs for environmental protection, designation of new environmental protection areas, prohibition of various mining methods), fluctuations in raw material prices and considerable exploration risks. Disclaimer: All information published in the report is based on careful research. The following are some examples of separate risks in the raw materials sector: country risks, currency fluctuations, natural disasters and storms (e.g. floods, storms), changes in the legal situation (e.g. bans on exports and imports, punitive tariffs, prohibition of raw material extraction or exploration, nationalization of projects), environmental regulations (eg higher costs for environmental protection, designation of new environmental protection areas, prohibition of various mining methods), fluctuations in raw material prices and considerable exploration risks. Disclaimer: All information published in the report is based on careful research. The following are some examples of separate risks in the raw materials sector: country risks, currency fluctuations, natural disasters and storms (e.g. floods, storms), changes in the legal situation (e.g. bans on exports and imports, punitive tariffs, prohibition of raw material extraction or exploration, nationalization of projects), environmental regulations (eg higher costs for environmental protection, designation of new environmental protection areas, prohibition of various mining methods), fluctuations in raw material prices and considerable exploration risks. Disclaimer: All information published in the report is based on careful research. Ex and import bans, punitive tariffs, prohibition of raw material extraction or exploration, nationalization of projects), environmental regulations (e.g. higher costs for environmental protection, designation of new environmental protection areas, prohibition of various mining methods), fluctuations in raw material prices and considerable exploration risks. Disclaimer: All information published in the report is based on careful research. Ex and import bans, punitive tariffs, prohibition of raw material extraction or exploration, nationalization of projects), environmental regulations (e.g. higher costs for environmental protection, designation of new environmental protection areas, prohibition of various mining methods), fluctuations in raw material prices and considerable exploration risks. Disclaimer: All information published in the report is based on careful research. 
 
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Gold & Silver Get Ready For A Big Move Higher SPONSOR: American Creek $AMK.ca $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 9:54 AM on Thursday, June 4th, 2020

SPONSOR: American Creek owns a 20% Carried Interest to Production at the Treaty Creek Project in the Golden Triangle. 2019’s first hole averaged 0.683 g/t Au over 780m in a vertical intercept. 2020 drilling has started, with 18,000 to 20,000 metres from 7-10 drill platforms with four diamond drill rigs. The Treaty Creek property is located in the same hydrothermal system as the Pretivm and Seabridge’s KSM deposits and is fully funded for exploration in 2020. Click Here For More Info

Gold and Silver moved lower early on June 2nd and 3rd.  Our research team believes this is a “Washout Low” price rotation following a technical pattern that will prompt a much higher rally in precious metals.  This type of washout price rotation is fairly common before very big moves after Pennant/Flag formations or just after reaching major price trigger levels.

With Gold, a sideways Pennant/Flag formation has been setting up near our GREEN Fibonacci Price Amplitude Resistance Arc.  We believe the downward price rotation recently is a perfect setup for skilled technical traders to take advantage of lower entry price levels.  The GREEN Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc will very likely be breached over the next 5 to 10 trading days and the price of Gold should rally well above $1850 in the process.  We believe this Washout Rotation is a process of running through the Long Stops just below recent price activity that will end with a defined upside price rally over the next 2 to 5+ weeks.

 

Silver has set up a completely different type of price pattern – a true Double-Top pattern.  The downward price rotation recently in Silver is indicative of a weaker reaction to this massive resistance pattern and Double-Top.  The likelihood that Silver will find support above $17 and mount a further upside price rally over the next 2 to 5+ weeks is still very strong.  After the deep downward price collapse in Silver took place, just like what happened in 2009 and 2010, the upside potential for Silver is still massive – likely targeting $65 per ounce of higher.

This current Gold to Silver Ratio Monthly chart highlights the recent collapse in the ratio level as Silver rallied from near $12 towards current levels near $18.  A similar spike in the Gold to Silver Ratio took place in 2008-09 – just before the broader market collapse in the US and Global markets took place.  This happens as the initial reaction to risk in the global markets pushes Gold prices a bit higher while Silver, the often overlooked store of value, typically declines in value.

Once the price of Silver starts to rally, pushing the Gold to Silver ratio below 60 typically, both Gold and Silver start to align in price and begin to rally together.  The current level of the Gold to Silver ratio is 94.9.  This suggests that both Gold and Silver have quite a way to go in terms of reaching the “alignment phase”.  Our researchers believe Gold will rally above $2100 to $2400 and Silver will rally above $40 to $50 before the two metals align and begin to rally together in almost equal strength.

Concluding Thoughts:

Pay attention to what happens to precious metals over the next 10 to 15+ days.  If our research is correct, both Gold and Silver will rally higher by about 7.5% to 14% – setting up new price highs for both metals.  When the washout pattern completes, usually a fairly aggressive price trend begins where new price highs are established fairly quickly. Get ready, this should be a really nice upside price swing in precious metals over the next 6+ months or longer.

SOURCE: https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/gold-silver-washout-get-ready-for-a-big-move-higher-653283

American Creek $AMK.ca Provides Update on Its Annual Filings and First Quarter Filings $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 9:10 PM on Friday, May 29th, 2020

AMK: TSX-V, OTCBB: ACKRF

American Creek Resources Ltd. (TSXV: AMK) (the “Company” or “American Creek”) – Following its press release of April 29, 2020, the Company is providing a further update on the status of filing of its annual financial statements, management’s discussion and analysis and related CEO and CFO certificates for the year ended December 31, 2019 (collectively, the “Annual Filings“).

On March 18, 2020, the Canadian Securities Administrators announced that they would provide issuers with a 45-day filing extension for filings required on or before June 1, 2020, as a result of COVID-19 pandemic. As such, the British Columbia Securities Commission has enacted BC Instrument 51-515 Temporary Exemption from Certain Corporate Finance Requirements (“BCI 51-515“).

In its April 29, 2020, press release, the Company announced its reliance on the exemption with respect to extending the deadline of the required filings pursuant to BCI 51-515. The Company currently still expects to file the Annual Filings on or prior to June 15, 2020.

The Company will also rely on BCI 51-515 to extend the deadline of filing its first-quarter consolidated interim financial statements, accompanying management’s discussion and analysis, and related CEO and CFO certificates for the three months ended March 31, 2020 (collectively, the “First-Quarter Filings“), which are required to be filed by June 1, 2020 under sections 4.3 and 4.4 of National Instrument 51-102 – Continuous Disclosure Obligations. The Company is continuing to work diligently and currently expects to have the First-Quarter Filings filed on or prior to the extended filing deadline of July 16, 2020.

As required by BC Instrument 51-515, and similar Instruments and Orders enacted in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Ontario, the Company discloses the following:

  • Until such time as the Company has filed the Annual Filings and the First-Quarter Filings, members of management and other insiders are subject to a trading black-out policy that reflects the principles in section 9 of National Policy 11-207 – Failure-to-File Cease Trade Orders and Revocations in Multiple Jurisdictions.
  • The Company confirms that there have been no material business developments, other than those announced through news releases, since November 2019 when the Company filed its third quarter interim financial results for the period ended September 30, 2019.

About American Creek

American Creek is a Canadian junior mineral exploration company with a strong portfolio of gold and silver properties in British Columbia.

Three of those properties are located in the prolific “Golden Triangle”; the Treaty Creek and Electrum joint venture projects with Tudor Gold/Walter Storm as well as the 100% owned past producing Dunwell Mine.

A major drill program was conducted in 2019 at Treaty Creek by JV partner and operator Tudor Gold. The focus of the program was on the Goldstorm zone where drilling has produced very wide intercepts of gold including a 780 meter intercept of 0.683 g/t gold including a higher grade upper portion of 1.095 g/t over 370.5 meters.

The Treaty Creek Project is a Joint Venture with Tudor Gold owning 60% and acting as operator. American Creek and Teuton Resources each have 20% interests in the project. American Creek and Teuton are both fully carried until such time as a Production Notice is issued, at which time they are required to contribute their respective 20% share of development costs. Until such time, Tudor is required to fund all exploration and development costs while both American Creek and Teuton have “free rides”.

A drill program was also recently concluded on the 100% owned Dunwell Mine property located near Stewart. Assay results are pending.

The Corporation also holds the Gold Hill, Austruck-Bonanza, Ample Goldmax, Silver Side, and Glitter King properties located in other prospective areas of the province.

For further information please contact Kelvin Burton at: Phone: 403 752-4040 or Email: [email protected]. Information relating to the Company is available on its website at www.americancreek.com

CLIENT FEATURE: American Creek $AMK.ca Prepares for Fully Funded 2020 Exploration Season $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 9:30 AM on Wednesday, May 27th, 2020

AMK: TSX-V, OTCBB: ACKRF

Treaty Creek Project is Fully Funded for the 2020 Exploration Season

Last year Eric Sprott became the largest external investor in Treaty Creek in B.C.’s Golden Triangle.  He stated “Treaty Creek has a great shot at having 20 million ounces of gold.”  A very successful program was run hitting wide intervals of gold in every drill hole.  This year we’ll see if Eric is right as the objective of this year’s program is to develop a resource calculation.

The Goldstorm Zone will host a significantly larger drilling program in 2020

  • 18,000 to 20,000 Meter Drill Program
  • 7-10 Drill Platforms
  • Four Diamond Drill Rigs

The drill program is designed to extend and to explore the limits of Goldstorm System

  • The current conceptual model for Goldstorm is 1 billion tonnes at close to 1 gram of gold
  • The system remains open in all directions and to depth
  • The best mineralization encountered to date is from the two consecutive 150m step-out holes to the Northeast:
    • GS-19-42 yield 0.849 g/t Au Eq over 780 m with 1.275 g/t Au Eq over 370.5m
    • GS-19-47 yield 0.697 g/t Au Eq over 1,081.5m with 0.867 g/t Au Eq over 301.5m
  • The best Southeast extension:
    • GS-19-52 yields 0.783 g/t Au Eq over 601.5m
      • Includes 1.062 g/t Au Eq over 336.0m (NR dated March 3rd, 2020)

The Sulphurets Hydrothermal System

More Information About The Treaty Creek Project Can Be Found Here

Treaty Creek JV Partnership

The Treaty Creek Project is a Joint Venture with Tudor Gold owning 3/5th and acting as operator. American Creek and Teuton Resources each have a 1/5th interest in the project. American Creek and Teuton are both fully carried until such time as a Production Notice is issued, at which time they are required to contribute their respective 20% share of development costs. Until such time, Tudor is required to fund all exploration and development costs while both American Creek and Teuton have “free rides”.

Treaty Creek Background

The Treaty Creek Project lies in the same hydrothermal system as Pretium’s Brucejack mine and Seabridge’s KSM deposits with far better logistics.

We believe that the Goldstorm deposit at Treaty Creek is quickly becoming one of most significant assets in the gold industry and will be highly sought after. 

About American Creek

American Creek is a Canadian junior mineral exploration company with a strong portfolio of gold and silver properties in British Columbia. Three of those properties are located in the prolific “Golden Triangle”; the Treaty Creek and Electrum joint venture projects with Tudor Gold/Walter Storm as well as the 100% owned past producing Dunwell Mine.

  • For further information please contact Kelvin Burton at: Phone: 403 752-4040 or Email: [email protected]. Information relating to the Corporation is available on its website at: www.americancreek.com

Countries Went On A Gold-Buying Spree Before Coronavirus Took Hold SPONSOR: American Creek $AMK.ca $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 10:58 AM on Friday, May 22nd, 2020

SPONSOR: American Creek owns a 20% Carried Interest to Production at the Treaty Creek Project in the Golden Triangle. 2019’s first hole averaged 0.683 g/t Au over 780m in a vertical intercept. 2020 drilling plans 18,000 to 20,000 metres from 7-10 drill platforms with four diamond drill rigs. The Treaty Creek property is located in the same hydrothermal system as the Pretivm and Seabridge’s KSM deposits and is fully funded for exploration in 2020. Click Here For More Info

The global economy was flashing danger signs long before the pandemic. For one thing, many countries were clamouring to get hold of as much gold as possible. For the past decade, they have been buying new reserves and bringing it home from overseas storage to an extent never seen in modern times. Then just before the pandemic, there was a pause. What does all this mean?

Central banks added 650 tons to their reserves in 2019, the second highest shift in 50 years, after the 656 tons added in 2018. Before the 2007-09 financial crisis, central banks were net sellers of gold worldwide for decades. Leading the recent spree has been China, Russia, Turkey, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan.

Central bank gold buying 1971-2019

We have also seen a large effort by central banks to repatriate their gold from other countries, mostly from storage in New York and London.

Gold has enthralled humanity since ancient times. Still it glitters from central bank vaults to jewellery bazaars the world over. The Conversation brings you five essential briefings by academic experts on the world’s favourite precious metal. For more articles written by experts, join the hundreds of thousands who subscribe to our newsletter

Venezuela started repatriating its gold in 2011, shipping 160 tonnes from New York. A third of its holdings remain in London, but only because the Bank of England won’t repatriate them – declaring it doesn’t recognise the government in Caracas. Venezuela has now made this the subject of a legal claim.

Between 2012 and 2017, Germany repatriated most of its massive reserve from Paris and New York to Frankfurt. The Netherlands did likewise in 2014, followed by Austria.

Top 20 national gold reserves

Then came Eastern Europe. In 2018, Hungary announced it would repatriate nearly 3 tons of gold from London, while greatly boosting its reserves. Poland repatriated 100 tons from London a year later, about half of its national reserve. Next was Romania, while Slovakia and Serbia have been considering moving gold home from England too.

Why it is happening?

This dash to gold is about geopolitics and economics. Gold serves as a patch mark of nationalist identity. To quote Adam Glapinski, governor of the National Bank of Poland, “gold symbolises the strength of [a] country”.

Stocking up has made sense to many countries in the populist climate. It is also a sign of countries diversifying from dollars. The likes of Russia, China and even countries in Western Europe want to break the US dominance of the financial system, having seen it used as leverage in everything from economic sanctions to trade threats.

Following the last financial crisis, many also feared there was more to come. When former Slovak prime minister Robert Fico last year urged his parliament to compel the central bank to repatriate gold from London, he argued that overseas reserves could be at risk in a new global economic crisis.

Citing the 1938 Munich pact between France, Britain, Italy and Germany that allowed the German invasion of Czechoslovakia, he said that “sometimes your international partners can betray you”.

Countries also seem unnerved by the row over Venezuela’s gold, plus the fact that Germany’s repatriated bars from the US appeared different to what it thought was in store. This suggested the Federal Reserve was trading them.

Fiat vs gold

In an era where everything is digital, fast and smart, it might sound strange that a static piece of metal could still have a major monetary role. Central banks abandoned the gold standard in the 1970s, led by US President Richard Nixon, which meant that paper currencies were no longer exchangeable for gold. This was necessary because there were too many dollars in the international system and too many countries exercising their right to exchange them for US gold reserves.

After Nixon’s decision, currencies became fiat, meaning that countries could freely decide how much to have in circulation. Currencies now had value not because they were backed by gold, but because the state standing behind them said they had value. Central banks effectively declared gold to be a relic. Fiat money was seen as superior, thanks to central bankers’ supposedly scientific oversight of monetary policy.

The new dash for gold makes economists pause and wonder what is happening. It seems to show many countries looking for a safe haven in these years in which interest rates have been very low and central banks have been printing large amounts of money to stimulate the global economy. Gold continues to have intrinsic value, so it reassures countries – especially if they fear inflation and downturns.

And yet, just as economic uncertainty was about to move to a whole new level with the pandemic, this trend lost momentum. Additions to the gold holdings of central banks and other international institutions in the three months to January 2020 – the most recent figure available – were just 67 metric tons, the least since August 2018.

In truth, this was not entirely surprising. Purchasing bullion at close to a seven-year high, and after a month of prices fluctuating plus or minus about 13%, is no particularly prudent way to consolidate economic and geopolitical power.

It will be a few months before we see how the pandemic has affected central banks’ attitude to gold. It could yet convince them that gold will still move higher. So don’t be surprised if this dash to gold has resumed in recent weeks – in a leading indicator of troubling times ahead.

SOURCE: https://www.yahoo.com/news/countries-went-gold-buying-spree-143228896.html

American Creek $AMK.ca Sells Minority Interest in Electrum Property Joint Venture to Tudor Gold $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 9:18 AM on Tuesday, May 12th, 2020

Cardston, Alberta–(Newsfile Corp. – May 12, 2020) – American Creek Resources Ltd. (TSXV: AMK) (“the Corporation”) (“American Creek”) today announced that it has executed an agreement with Tudor Gold Corp. (“Tudor”) whereby Tudor is buying out the Corporation’s 40% interest in the Electrum Project Joint Venture located near Stewart, British Columbia.

Tudor will pay American Creek $250,000 cash and issue 1,400,000 Tudor shares upon the transaction closing. The shares are subject to a standard four month hold period and a voluntary eight month hold as well.

This transaction is subject to approval by the TSX Venture Exchange.

Darren Blaney, American Creek CEO stated: “We think this transaction makes sense for American Creek and its shareholders as we are trading a minority interest in the Electrum property for non-dilutive operating cash as well as a substantial share position in Tudor which gives us more exposure to the upcoming Treaty Creek developments which we believe will be very significant.”

About American Creek

American Creek holds a strong portfolio of gold and silver properties in British Columbia.

Three of those properties are located in the prolific “Golden Triangle”; the Treaty Creek and Electrum joint venture projects with Tudor (Walter Storm) as well as the 100% owned past producing Dunwell Mine.

The Corporation also holds the Gold Hill, Austruck-Bonanza, Ample Goldmax, Silver Side, and Glitter King properties located in other prospective areas of the province.

For further information please contact Kelvin Burton at: Phone: 403 752-4040 or Email: [email protected]. Information relating to the Corporation is available on its website at www.americancreek.com

American Creek $AMK.ca Reports Commencement of 20,000m Drill Program on Its JV Treaty Creek Property in the Golden Triangle $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 11:05 AM on Monday, May 11th, 2020
  • The length of the northeast axis of the Goldstorm System is over 850 meters
  • The Southeast axis is at least 600m
  • The system remains open in both dimensions, as well as to depth.
  • The strongest mineralization encountered to date is from two consecutive 150m step-out holes at the northeast end of the drill grid: GS-19-42 yielded 0.849 g/t Au Eq over 780 m with the 300 Horizon averaging 1.275 g/t Au Eq over 370.5m and GS-19-47 yielded 0.697 g/t Au Eq over 1,081.5m with the 300 Horizon averaging 0.867 g/t Au Eq over 301.5m.
  • Program focused on expanding the mineralized area from these two very encouraging step-out holes.
  • Furthermore, we plan to continue advancing along the NE axis with yet another 150 meter step out hole. The best results from the southeast dimension came from GS-19-52 which yielded 0.783 g/t Au Eq over 601.5m with 1.062 g/t Au Eq over 336.0m within the 300 Horizon.

Cardston, Alberta–(Newsfile Corp. – May 11, 2020) – American Creek Resources Ltd. (TSXV: AMK) (“the Corporation”) is pleased to report that its JV partner Tudor Gold Corp has begun this season’s diamond drill hole program at its flagship property, Treaty Creek, located in the heart of the Golden Triangle of Northwestern British Columbia. Diamond drilling has begun with two drill rigs on the Goldstorm Zone which is on-trend from Seabridges’ KMS Project located just five kilometers to the southwest. These first two drills have begun drilling the initial holes of the 20,000 meter exploration program.

Tudor Gold’s Vice President of Project Development, Ken Konkin, P.Geo., states: “We are very proud of the hard work and dedication that our crews exhibited during the weeks prior to the start of drilling. Due to their diligence in preparing the camp we have been able to start our drill program a month earlier than last year’s program. The priority is to continue to expand the Goldstorm System to the southeast and to the northeast.”

“The current known length of the northeast axis of the Goldstorm System is over 850 meters, and the southeast axis is at least 600 m; the system remains open in both dimensions, as well as to depth. The strongest mineralization encountered to date is from two consecutive 150m step-out holes at the northeast end of the drill grid: GS-19-42 yielded 0.849 g/t Au Eq over 780 m with the 300 Horizon averaging 1.275 g/t Au Eq over 370.5m and GS-19-47 yielded 0.697 g/t Au Eq over 1,081.5m with the 300 Horizon averaging 0.867 g/t Au Eq over 301.5m. Our program will be focused on expanding the mineralized area from these two very encouraging step-out holes. Furthermore, we plan to continue advancing along the NE axis with yet another 150 meter step out hole. The best results from the southeast dimension came from GS-19-52 which yielded 0.783 g/t Au Eq over 601.5m with 1.062 g/t Au Eq over 336.0m within the 300 Horizon.

(The above results were from Tudors news release dated March 3rd, 2020,, in which the following metal prices were used to calculate the Au Eq metal content: Gold $1322/oz, Ag: $15.91/oz, Cu: $2.86/lb. Calculations used the formula Au Eq g/t = (Au g/t) + (Ag g/t x 0.012) + (Cu% x 1.4835). All metals are reported in USD and calculations do not consider metal recoveries. True widths have not been determined as the mineralized body remains open in all directions. Further drilling is required to determine the mineralized body orientation and true widths.)

Tudor Gold and its associated service companies have taken extreme measures to maintain the highest professional standards while working under COVID-19 health and safety protocols. Only essential personnel are permitted to enter the camp and staging areas. An on-site certified paramedic conducts strict daily monitoring of temperatures and general health conditions of personnel and service providers who are working at the project site and the staging area.


Walter Storm, Tudor President and CEO, stated: “I am very pleased with the safe start-up of the 2020 exploration program thanks to the hard work and dedication of our crews. The Company’s intent is to advance the Treaty Creek Project with full recognition and confidence in the recommended COVID-19 safety protocols. The goal for this year is to complete enough drilling that we can begin to delineate a first resource estimation at Treaty Creek.”

Darren Blaney, American Creek President and CEO stated: “2019 was a very successful year at Treaty Creek and this year looks to be far better with an extension of the drilling season and a drill program that is over twice as big as last years. With the recent announcement of working towards a resource calculation along with baseline studies and metallurgical work for an initial economic assessment, Mr Storm was right in calling this a transformational year at Treaty Creek.”

Qualified Person

The Qualified Person for this news release for the purposes of National Instrument 43-101 is the Companys Vice President of Project Development, Ken Konkin, P.Geo. He has read and approved the scientific and technical information that forms the basis for the disclosure contained in this news release.

Treaty Creek JV Partnership

The Treaty Creek Project is a Joint Venture with Tudor Gold owning 3/5th and acting as operator. American Creek and Teuton Resources each have a 1/5th interest in the project creating a 3:1 ownership relationship between Tudor Gold and American Creek. American Creek and Teuton are both fully carried until such time as a Production Notice is issued, at which time they are required to contribute their respective 20% share of development costs. Until such time, Tudor is required to fund all exploration and development costs while both American Creek and Teuton have “free rides”.

Treaty Creek Background

The Treaty Creek Project lies in the same hydrothermal system as Pretium’s Brucejack mine and Seabridge’s KSM deposits with far better logistics.

Sulphurets Hydrothermal System

https://orders.newsfilecorp.com/files/682/55669_1e096bdf247ef89b_001.jpg

To view an enhanced version of this graphic, please visit:
https://orders.newsfilecorp.com/files/682/55669_1e096bdf247ef89b_001full.jpg

About American Creek

American Creek is a Canadian junior mineral exploration company with a strong portfolio of gold and silver properties in British Columbia. Three of those properties are located in the prolific “Golden Triangle”; the Treaty Creek and Electrum joint venture projects with Tudor Gold/Walter Storm as well as the 100% owned past producing Dunwell Mine.

More information about the Treaty Creek Project can be found here: https://americancreek.com/index.php/projects/treaty-creek/home

The Corporation also holds the Gold Hill, Austruck-Bonanza, Ample Goldmax, Silver Side, and Glitter King properties located in other prospective areas of the province.

For further information please contact Kelvin Burton at: Phone: 403 752-4040 or Email: [email protected]. Information relating to the Corporation is available on its website at www.americancreek.com

Secular Gold Bull Resumes with Force SPONSOR: American Creek $AMK.ca $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca $ESK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-Eric at 9:54 AM on Tuesday, April 28th, 2020

SPONSOR: American Creek owns a 20% Carried Interest to Production at the Treaty Creek Project in the Golden Triangle. 2019’s first hole averaged 0.683 g/t Au over 780m in a vertical intercept. 2020 drilling plans 18,000 to 20,000 metres from 7-10 drill platforms with four diamond drill rigs. The Treaty Creek property is located in the same hydrothermal system as the Pretivm and Seabridge’s KSM deposits and is fully funded for exploration in 2020. Click Here For More Info

COVID-19: The Pin that Punctured the Credit Balloon

Gold is on the cusp of breaking out to all-time highs in U.S. dollars and has already done so in virtually every other currency. Gold mining stocks continue to lag the metal and, in our opinion, represent a compelling investment opportunity at this moment. The COVID-19 pandemic panic was merely the black swan that punctured a financial market asset bubble that took almost a decade to inflate.

Think of the pandemic as the pin that punctured the credit balloon. In a few months, the pandemic will ease (hopefully) with the formulation of a COVID-19 vaccine, widespread testing and other responses that will surely come from the healthcare industry. However, the fiscal and monetary policy damage committed by all governments to save the world has created a debt hangover that will linger for years. Economic growth will rebound but only to subpar levels once extreme health-related restrictions are lifted and “stimulus” kicks in.

The requisites for robust economic growth most likely to misfire are investment confidence and bank lending. Both have been severely compromised. Whether this landscape evolves into a long stretch of deflation or combusts into untamed inflation remains to be seen. What seems quite apparent is that traditional Keynesian stimulus measures are in their endgame. They will most likely deliver only steadily diminishing returns. Starkly opposite economic outcomes are possible from this policy morass; both would be positive for gold but negative for real returns on fixed income or equities.

Q1 Marks a Pivotal Turning Point for All Asset Classes

As of this writing, gold is trading about 10% less than its all-time high of US$1,900 attained nine years ago (September 2011). In effect, it has gone nowhere for a decade despite a tectonic shift in the investment and economic outlook. A lengthy correction lasting until 2016 and subsequent churning resulted in the establishment of a powerful multi-year basing structure. From this base and with strong macroeconomic tailwinds, we believe new highs well above $1,900 can be achieved over the next four years.

Despite enthusiastic advocacy and much chatter from investment luminaries, including Ray Dalio, Jeff Gundlach, Seth Klarman and others, gold remains severely and inappropriately underrepresented in the portfolios of fiduciaries, endowments and family offices. Flows into channels such as gold-backed exchange traded funds (“ETFs”) have been strong relative to previous low levels, but must still be considered a trickle in terms of what could still come. 

 Figure 1. Gold-Backed ETFs Reach Record Levels
Global gold-backed ETFs added 298 tonnes and net inflows of US$23 billion in Q1 2020 — the highest quarterly amount ever in absolute U.S. dollar terms and the largest tonnage additions since 2016.
Source: World Gold Council. Data as of 3/31/2020.

In our opinion, the first quarter of 2020 will mark a pivotal, secular turning point for all major asset classes including equities, bonds, gold and currencies. A return to the pre-2020 financial market normalcy and investment complacency is unlikely. In our view, consensus hopes remain high that the credit smash is only a temporary repercussion of the health scare. We disagree and suggest the effects will be long lasting.

Despite the solid price gains achieved by gold in the past two years, there is much more upside to come as investors gradually give up on repeated equity market bottom fishing and the hope of a return to financial market normalcy. A full reversal to the previous complacency cannot take place following a brief crash. The mood change will more likely become pervasive after grueling stretches of disappointing returns from previously successful investment strategies.

Unprecedented Central Bank Monetary Expansion

In our view, the decade preceding 2020 was characterized by the systematic stifling of price discovery for interest rates and the appropriate dependent valuations for financial assets. Such distortion was made possible only by unprecedented central bank balance sheet expansion that encouraged, abetted and rewarded risk taking in the form of ever greater leverage.

The prolonged somnolence of gold was among the most egregious price distortions of the previous decade and this suppressed interest in the metal as a risk mitigator and portfolio diversifier. Disinterest was fed in large part by the nearly universal expectation that the past would always be prologue and that highly leveraged financial and economic structures would perpetually result in outsized returns. In our view, the greatest change stemming from the credit bust will be a mood shift or paradigm change in the opposite direction.

At gold’s previous peak in 2011, the combined balance sheets of the U.S. Federal Reserve (“U.S. Fed”) and the European Central Bank (“ECB”) totaled approximately US$5.5 trillion. Today, that number is more than $11.4 trillion and rapidly moving higher. The USD gold price is still lower than nine years ago. In our view, gold price is still well below where it should be and will likely trade higher in the new macro landscape.

 Figure 2. Pandemic Policy Response Pushes Global Balance Sheets to Record Levels
Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 3/31/2020.

Gold Mining Stocks are Inexpensive

If gold is not correctly priced for what has transpired and what lies ahead, gold mining stocks are even more inappropriately priced. Based on current metal prices, most companies are generating positive earnings and cash flow and in many cases, free cash flow that can be applied to higher dividend payouts. Compared to other sectors of the economy, the gold mining industry stands almost alone in looking forward to strong 2020 earnings and a positive outlook for 2021.

2020 free cash flow yields for large-cap producers range from 3%-7% and 6%-25% for intermediate producers based on conventional sell-side research. The stats are similar or better for 2021 based on spot gold prices. As Figure 3. shows, mining stocks are inexpensive in absolute terms and have never been so cheap relative to the gold price. 

Figure 3. Gold Equities Are Undervalued Relative to Bullion
Ratio of XAU Index to Spot Gold (12/23/1983-3/31/2020)
Data as of 3/31/2020. Source: Bloomberg. 12/23/1983 represents the inception of the XAU.

Since 2008, the relative valuation of gold equities to gold bullion has fallen 75% from the prior 25-year average. The ratio of the XAU Index to spot gold averaged 0.2497x for a quarter century through 2008. As of 3/31/2020, the ratio was 0.0501x.

It is undoubtedly true that the industry will suffer health-related mine shutdowns and other shortfalls this year. Much of the disruption potential has already been broadcast and priced into the market. Some downside news may still have yet to surface. However, most miners are not financially levered and should be able to survive a few quarters of lower or no production. Unlike the airline, leisure, retail and manufacturing sectors, gold not produced today should grow in value and be produced at higher prices and lower costs next year and those beyond. It is not the same story for many other sectors of the economy. Based on fundamentals, gold stocks are inexpensive. By contrast, several other sectors of the economy could face long stretches of poor earnings, bad news flow and financial woes.

The gold mining sector registered a decline of approximately 20% in Q1 (as measured by GDX2) as shares did get battered by indiscriminate liquidations during March. However, as of this writing, two weeks after the close of the quarter, most shares trade near to where they stood at the beginning of the year, and have certainly registered outstanding performance in relative terms. It is remarkable that the largest sector ETF, GDX, suffered outflows of $381 million3 during the quarter at what could be the threshold of an upside breakout. In a favorable cycle for the gold price, mining stocks have historically delivered outperformance 3 to 5 times that of the metal itself.

Gold mining shares continue to be viewed by investors with deep skepticism as reflected by valuation and flows. When we scan Figure 4, it appears to us that the sector is on the verge of an upside breakout from a multi-year base should our assessment of the macroeconomic environment prove correct.

Figure 4. NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index (HUI4)
Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 4/20/2020.

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Going Ballistic

There is no need to belabor the obvious. However, the consequences of these actions have yet to be priced into the financial markets or gold. The risk parity trade has fallen short, partly because bonds were caught up in the indiscriminate liquidations of Q1. Looking forward, bonds may no longer be able to play the safe haven role they traditionally filled to balance equity risk. The vacuum could be filled in part by increased gold exposure for all classes of investors. Sovereign credit liquidity injections are likely to remain significant and permanent. The bond market has become socialized. Owning Treasury bonds of any duration could become akin to parking Treasury bills, with little upside and considerable risk of impairment through inflation. Gold is the antidote to the fixed-income investor’s dilemma.

Gold is extremely under-owned, under-represented, and poorly thought of in the circles of conventional investment thinking. It is still considered to be a fringe asset. Just ask Goldman Sachs which recently advised its clients:

 “We concluded then (2010) that gold does not have a role as a strategic asset class in clients’ already well-diversified portfolios. We have updated the research and the evidence is even more compelling today than it was then.” (4/5/2020; Goldman Sachs Investment Strategy Group)

We remind the reader that Goldman is the same firm that in December 2019 declared the U.S. economy to be “recession proof” and then in March 2020 cautioned that stocks had substantial further downside:

“Overall, the changes underlying the Great Moderation appear intact, and we see the economy as structurally less recession prone today.” (12/31/2019; Goldman economists Jan Hatzius and David Mericle)

“Goldman Sachs on Friday dramatically cut its U.S. economic forecast, saying it now expects GDP to decline by 25% in the second quarter of 2020 because of the coronavirus panic.” (3/20/2020; Business Insider)

“What is your estimate for the S&P 500 by yearend 2020? David Kostin, “3400.” (1/2020; GS Podcast, David Kostin Goldman, U.S. chief equity strategist and Jake Siewert) 

“Kostin thinks the market goes lower. ‘In the near term, we expect the S&P 500 will fall towards a low of 2000.’” (3/22/2020; Yahoo Finance)

Goldman’s commentary is, in our opinion, a reasonable proxy for conventional wisdom. One could easily find other embarrassing examples of mainstream thinking ignorant of the best-performing asset class (by far) versus equities and bonds since 2000.

Contrarians and value investors, take note! The secular gold bull that began in 2000 and corrected for a few years has returned to life with renewed vigor. Pullbacks — price declines during this uptrend — should be bought. The setup for gold and gold mining shares ticks every box for highly rewarding investment returns.

Figure 5. Gold Has Outperformed Stocks, Bonds and USD over the Past 20 Years
Returns for Period from 12/31/1999-4/13/2020

Source: Bloomberg. Period from 12/31/1999-4/20/2020. Gold is measured by GOLDS Comdty; US Agg Bond Index is measured by the Bloomberg Barclays US Agg Total Return Value Unhedged USD (LBUSTRUU Index); S&P 500 TR is measured by the SPX; and the U.S. Dollar is measured by DXY Curncy. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Figure 6. Gold Provides Portfolio Diversification
Gold provides diversification in a portfolio, and has low correlation with other asset classes. The period measured is April 1, 2015 to April 1, 2020.

* Source: World Gold Council. Period from April 1, 2015 to April 1, 2020, based on monthly returns. Gold is measured by the LBMA Gold Price; stocks by the S&P 500 Index; commodities by the Bloomberg Commodity Index;  Bonds by the BarCap Treasuries and Corporates.

1The S&P 500 or Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index of the 500 largest U.S. publicly traded companies. You cannot invest directly in an index. TR, “Total Return”, represents the index with dividend income reinvested.
2VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) seeks to replicate the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index (GDMNTR), which is intended to track the overall performance of companies involved in the gold mining industry.
3Source: ETFtrends.com.
4The NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index (HUI) is a modified equal dollar weighted index of companies involved in gold mining.

SOURCE: Sprotts Thoughts

https://sprott.com/insights/sprott-gold-report-secular-gold-bull-resumes-with-force/#