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AGORACOM Small-Cap Wire: Donner / Xstrata Mine On Track; Oremex Hits Silver; Pacific North West Hits Platinum & Palladium

Posted by AGORACOM at 8:11 AM on Tuesday, January 17th, 2012

Here is what small-cap investors are reading on AGORACOM this morning:

AGORACOM WIRE ~ January 17th, 2012

GREEN MORNING:  World Index Up 1%; Shanghai 4.2%; S&P Futures 0.8%; Copper up whopping 3.3%; Gold $33; Silver 3+ %

JUNIORS SET FOR TAKE OFF ? Canadian Junior Stock Insider Sentiment Hits 3-Year High AGORACOM Twitter

JUST ONE OF THOSE DAYS … Multiple AGORACOM Clients Make The News ….

HOW IR SHOULD BE! UC Resources Completes 1st Online Q&A With Shareholders See Q&A *CLIENT

Oremex Silver (TSXV:OAG) Reports 5.5 Meters of 212.26 g/t Silver from Underground Drilling Read More *CLIENT

Donner Metals (TSXV:DON) Bracemac-McLeod Mine Development Continues To Track On Budget Read More * CLIENT

Pacific North West Capital (TSX:PFN) Announces Additional High Grade PGM of 2.11 gpt** Pd+Pt+Au*** over 33 metres at its River Valley Project Read More (from Jan. 10, 2012) * CLIENT

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All Green Everywhere – Copper, Gold, Silver Set To Be Biggest Winners. Which Small Caps Benefit?

Posted by AGORACOM at 9:09 AM on Thursday, January 12th, 2012

Bond auctions in Italy and Spain went far better than most expected today and the markets are loving the news.  On days like this, it pays to have a graph like the one below that sums up where the greatest action is going in one view.  In this case, Copper, Gold and Silver are set to be big winners:

AGORACOM Clients That Stand To Benefit, In Order of Commodity Gains Above:

        

As always, do your own due diligence!

Regards,
George

Equities Outshined By Platinum, Palladium and Copper. Great For Clients PFN Capital and Donner Metals

Posted by AGORACOM at 11:02 PM on Wednesday, January 11th, 2012

It was a boring day of trading for me … but happy that today’s moves were great for AGORACOM Clients:

    

AGORACOM Maintenance Alert: Going Down Saturday Night For 3 Hours

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:35 AM on Friday, January 6th, 2012

Please be advised that AGORACOM will be offline on Saturday night for about 3 hours beginning at 9PM EST.

Pursuant to prior notifications over the past 2-3 weeks, we are migrating AGORACOM away from our current host Amazon (Yes, THE Amazon) due to unsatisfactory downtime issues we have experienced with Amazon over the last month.

As promised, we were either going to give Amazon a chance to fix these issues, or migrate to another web hosting provider. Unfortunately, Amazon was not able to provide us the comfort and assurances necessary to keep AGORACOM hosted with them, so we have decided to move to another provider.

In anticipation of this move on Saturday night, we suggest the following:

1. It is Saturday night, so go out and have some fun!

2. If you are going to post any long and intensive material after 6PM Saturday night, save a copy. We don’t expect to lose any data from the last 2-3 hours but

better to be safe than sorry

3. We expect the migration to be very smooth but please let us know if you have any issues on Sunday.

4. Our blog (which you are reading right now)  and Twitter account  will be unaffected during the downtime, so feel free to contact us at either if you have any issues and can’t reach us through the site. Best thing to do is to post comments below.

We trust the above to be satisfactory as we strive to continually provide you with a great AGORACOM experience.

Thanks,
George and the AGORACOM Team

 

Watch For Small-Cap Graphite Stocks In 2012 … Your Starting Point

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:59 AM on Thursday, January 5th, 2012

So This Is What Graphite Looks Like 🙂

One great thing about running AGORACOM is the necessity/ability to keep a 30,000 foot view on what is happening and trending in the small-cap space.  Getting the best view often requires cutting through the canned promotions and really noticing the under currents that are building on their own.  Over the last 2-3 months, I’ve noticed an under current really growing in small-cap graphite companies … enough so that I am now taking a very close look at them and the space.

GRAPHITE MARKET OVERVIEW

I gleaned the following great overview from a Lomiko Metals press releasethis morning, announcing it had signed an agreement to acquire a 100-per-cent interest in the Quatre Milles Graphite Property located in southwestern Quebec:

Global consumption of natural graphite has increased from approximately 600,000 tonnes in 2000 to roughly 1.2 million tonnes in 2011. Demand for graphite has been increasing by approximately 5 per cent per year since 2000 due to the continuing modernization of China, India and other emerging economies, resulting in strong demand from traditional end uses such as the steel and automotive industries. Graphite also has many important new applications such as lithium-ion batteries, fuel cells, and nuclear and solar power that have the potential to create significant incremental demand growth. There is roughly 10-20 times more graphite in a lithium-ion battery than there is lithium. Demand for graphite is expected to rise as electric vehicles and lithium battery technology are adopted.

Natural graphite comes in several forms: flake, amorphous and lump. Of the 1.2 million tonnes of graphite produced annually, approximately 40 per cent is of the most desirable flake type. China, which produces about 70 per cent of the world’s graphite, is seeing production and export growth leveling, and export taxes and a licensing system have been instituted. A recent European Commission study regarding the criticality of 41 different materials to the European economy included graphite among the 14 materials high in both economic importance and supply risk (Critical Raw Materials for the EU, July 2010).

Graphite prices have been increasing in recent months and over the last couple of years prices for large flake, high purity graphite (+80 mesh, 94-97%C) have more than doubled. Other public companies developing graphite projects in Canada include Northern Graphite Corp. with its Bissett Creek project in Ontario and Focus Metals Inc. with its Lac Knife project in Quebec. High-growth, high-value graphite applications require large-flake and high-purity graphite which is the prime exploration and development target at the Quatre Milles Property.

Paul Gill, CEO of Lomiko Metals, was also nice enough to share this infographic with me this morning:

SMALL-CAP GRAPHITE PLAYERS

Ryan Fletcher, Director OF Zimtu Capital Corp., sent me the following overview of market players this morning as part of a press release announcing Orocan Resources commenced drilling on 3 graphite properties in Southern Ontario (I added in the Lomiko information at the end myself to give a complete list of companies I know.  If you know more, make sure to let me know via comments below)

1.  Focus Metals Inc. (FMS.V)

Shares Outstanding: 83,641,175

Price: $0.82

Market Cap: $68 Million

Last Financing: $20 Million bought at C$1.00 (Cormark)

2.  Northern Graphite (NGC.V)

Shares Outstanding: 37,415,167

Price: $0.86

Market Cap: $32 Million

Last Financing: $4 Million IPO at C$0.50

3.  Tasex Capital Corp. – CPC Undergoing QT (TAX.P)

Shares Outstanding (Post IPO): 35,100,000

IPO Price: $0.50

Post Raise Market Cap: $17.5 Million

Current Financing: $5.2 Million IPO at C$0.50

4.  Orocan Resources (OR.V)

Shares Outstanding: 15,614,625

Current Price: $0.315

Market Cap: $4.9 Million

5.  Lomiko Metals  (LMR.V)

Shares Outstanding: 55,518,445

Current Price: $0.04

Market Cap: $2.2 Million

NEXT STEPS

It goes without saying that none of the information above is intended to be any kind of recommendation or endorsement.  I’m starting my hard DD right now and, if you have any interest in this space, I recommend you do your own due diligence on these companies, as well as the entire graphite space.

Regards,
George

A Snapshot Of My Tax Loss Selling Candidates On 1st Day Of 2012 Trading

Posted by AGORACOM at 11:03 AM on Tuesday, January 3rd, 2012

As many of you know, I sold many of my TSXV holdings into November and aggressively called for a short-term bear market into tax-loss selling season (TLS), primarily based on the effect of Euro debt on the markets.  Putting my money where my mouth is, I sold Evolving Gold and Donnybrook Energy at losses but at much higher prices, giving me the tax-loss and allowing me to re-enter at lower prices in December.

Below is a snapshot of my tax-loss selling candidates performance on Day 1 of 2012.  I didn’t list these in advance but I tweeted and posted many of them throughout December.

Some notes:

  1. This is their 1-day performance.  Take their average price during kill zone Dec 15 – 23 and the annualized gains are massive
  2. I didn’t buy all of these.  In fact, waiting for a compliance clarification on trading my past clients [which arose in the middle of TLS but resolved in my favour AFTER TLS was over … Errrr 🙁 ] meant that I lost out on some of the best opportunities.
  3. My December junior trades were successful in Levon Resources and Focus Metals.
  4. I have pending positions in Avalon (red), Evolving Gold (green) and Donnybrook (green)
  5. I still like many of these at current levels … but remaining agnostic and only taking the ones that give me the best opportunities.
  6. In 2011, I had a 72% win ratio (31/43).
  7. I credit much of my success to my trading rules, which I posted back in May 2011 …. 10 Rules To Trade Juniors By
Here is the snapshot
Regards,
George

How Bad Is Debt In The West? Short, Sweet, Scary.

Posted by AGORACOM at 9:09 AM on Monday, January 2nd, 2012

Courtesy Of This Article At Business Insider

Total debt-to-GDP levels in the 18 core countries of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) rose from 160 percent in 1980 to 321 percent in 2010.

Disaggregated and adjusted for inflation, these numbers mean that:

  • the debt of non-financial corporations increased by 300 percent,
  • the debt of governments increased by 425 percent, and
  • the debt of private households increased by 600 percent.

I’m willing to concede the debt of non-financial corporations can be nullified by the amount of cash now held by them … as long as you concede they’re able to accomplish this by slashing their work force, running operations overseas to avoid taxes and doing just about anything to hoard cash by hurting you.  In fact, the share of U.S. corporate profits in relation to U.S. GDP is at an all-time high of 13 percent (as are cash holdings), yet corporate real net investment (investment less depreciation) in capital stock in the third quarter of 2011 was back to 1975 levels.  Companies are simply reluctant to invest while demand is sluggish, while existing capacities are sufficient, and while the outlook for the world economy remains highly uncertain.

To be clear, I have no problem with the hoarding, selfish nature of corporations because that is their role … I merely pointed out the above to make it clear that corporations health has little impact on you beyond providing you with a job if they need you.

The real alarming debt figures relate to governments and private households.  In fact, the costs of the West’s aging populations are hidden in the official reporting. If we included the mounting costs of providing for the elderly, the debt level of most governments would be significantly higher. (See Exhibit 1.)

Add to this sobering picture the fact that the financial system is running at unprecedented leverage levels, and we can draw only one conclusion: the 30-year credit boom has run its course. The debt problem simply has to be addressed. There are four approaches to dealing with too much debt:

  • saving and paying back (will only make the problem worse)
  • growing faster (has almost never worked)
  • debt restructuring (“restructuring” sounds so nice)
  • write-offs, and creating inflation (gold, gold, gold)

Scary stuff.  Simply scary.  Plan accordingly because there is no miracle cure.  Somebody is going to get left out in the cold because there simply isn’t enough money to go around.

Read more:  http://www.businessinsider.com/mauldin-collateral-damage-2011-12?page=1#ixzz1iJCxHpgu

AGORACOM Website Is Down This AM But Our Techs Are On It. Chronological Updates Below

Posted by AGORACOM at 8:09 AM on Tuesday, December 20th, 2011

8:05 AM EST … We will post an update for all of you as soon as one is available. Sorry for the inconvenience

VIDEO (1min 21secs): Paulson Explains “Too Fast To Stop” … How A Bank Run Brings The Entire System Down

Posted by AGORACOM at 11:31 AM on Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

I am growing ever more concerned that trust in financial institutions is eroding. Trust, after all, is what allows you to keep your money, gold, silver and other assets stored with various financial institutions (banks, brokerages, etc.). Once that trust is gone, the repercussions go far beyond hurt feelings.

Given the recent MF Global collapse, followed by this story in Bloomberg in which we can’t figure out who actually owns gold and silver bars (with great analysis from ZeroHedge), I feel it is necessary to post the video clip below for everyone’s benefit.

“Too Fast To Stop” – Hank Paulson On What Happens When A Bank Run Results From Terrified Depositors (You) Who Start Withdrawing All Of Their Cash. Take 1min 12secs out of your life and watch this video clip from Too Big To Fail in which Treasury Secretary Paulson explains to his wife how fast it might all collapse

60 Minutes Fries Wall Street / SEC / Justice Department ….. Sarbox Officially A Joke

Posted by AGORACOM at 12:04 AM on Monday, December 5th, 2011

(CBS News) Two whistleblowers offer a rare window into the root causes of the subprime mortgage meltdown. Eileen Foster, a former senior executive at Countrywide Financial, and Richard Bowen, a former vice president at Citigroup, tell Steve Kroft the companies ignored their repeated warnings about defective, even fraudulent mortgages. The result, experts say, was a cascading wave of mortgage defaults for which virtually no high-ranking Wall Street executives have been prosecuted.

I blankly stared at my keyboard thinking of ways to succinctly articulate my thoughts on this matter for 10 minutes. I couldn’t do it. Not without embarking on a 1,000 word rant.

All I can say is that Wall Street will burn. That isn’t anger. It isn’t vengeance. It is simply the clear path upon which Wall Street has set itself upon.

The full 60 Minutes page on this story can be found here.

The full 60 Minutes video can be found in the two clips below.