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Making money on the $TSXV

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:28 AM on Friday, August 24th, 2012

In the next few lines, I will describe the most useful piece of information I was ever given for making money on the $TSXV. This primordial rule of risk management was handed down to me by a banker at GMP Securities back in 2005 when I started out in this business. Had I followed it, I would have been far richer, less stressed and likely on vacation much more often.

The rule: If you are up 100% (a double) on any position, reduce your size by half – eliminate all the risk. Simple. In trading terms this is called scaling out.

In this market, with almost everything trading at a significant discount, 100%+ gainers will be commonplace. Be smart take money off the table and let the risk-free position ride.

Follow me on Twitter @justiceisfalse

$TSXV rally underway… right on schedule

Posted by AGORACOM at 4:35 PM on Wednesday, August 22nd, 2012

After the breakout  in precious metals this week,  everyone and their grandmother has come out and said that the $TSXV is going for a ride, I would like to do a little selfless promotion and say I told you so in this post on August 15th.

Now that we have some confirmation and a little more confidence in this turn around, I think we could be looking for the 1400 mark or a ~17% gain from today’s close at 1245.82, as the first target. This may take the next 3-5 months to play out but I am confident it will.

I am also certain that some names will do better than others and I have my own picks that I will most certinly share with everyone in the coming days as well as a cardinal rule to this volatile market.

….. Everyone loves a picture… note MACD crossing zero line and ADX turning up: Bullish!

Seasonal run in the $TSXV coming?

Posted by AGORACOM at 7:57 AM on Wednesday, August 15th, 2012

A variety of market commentators have come out in the last week or so with opinions that the $TSXV is about to enter it’s regular seasonal bull run which traditionally occurs from September to February. The best empirical data I have seen so far is this piece from Canaccord ( cropped file here: JMW_08142012crop).

When I look at the daily chart, it certainly see selling pressure has waned, but I would like to see a close above the 1211 mark on volume. The weekly chart is also looking to get out of over-sold territory. What will the catalyst be to begin the run?

$BGM.CA 43-101 @ 12.3MM ounces #gold

Posted by AGORACOM at 9:32 AM on Tuesday, August 14th, 2012

The 43-101 technical report on Barkerville ($BGM.CA) was posted to SEDAR last night. They are looking at ~7.4MM ounces of gold if you use a cap on the resource and ~12.3MM ounces if uncapped. Here is the doc on SEDAR – scroll to section 1.6 of the summary.

From what I can tell, and I may be wrong, if being conservative, using $62/oz in the ground (as per the Canaccord research), the market cap should gravitate towards anything between $460MM and $760MM depending on the valuation being based on capped vs. uncapped respectively. The market cap at close of Aug.13 was $132MM.

$BGM.CA may just be what the $TSXV needs to break-out and reignite the industry.

#HFT action on the $TSXV and the coming revolt

Posted by AGORACOM at 5:36 PM on Monday, August 13th, 2012

As is the de rigueur, when things go badly, people look at who they can point their fingers at. In the world of the $TSXV there have been a slew of fingers pointed, most recently High Frequency Trading (#HFTs)  or Algorithmic trading (algos) has been under the gun from the investing community.

Last week I received the email below with Background on Manipulative trades as an attachement.

IROC recently issued a policy on Manipulative and Deceptive Practices that are related to algorithm trading. 
 
I attach a commentary which I have prepared on one aspect of this situation.  IIROC is looking for comments and I am interested for any situations/examples which I could highlight to them.
 
If you know of any examples that I could explore, feel free to call me.  You can certainly pass this document along if you believe it is of interest for someone in your circle.
 
I look forward to hearing from you.

This gentlemen is the person I know of who is going to IIROC to try and curtail what seems to be the inevitable. The other is an investment advisor out of Calgary.

As an active participant in the $TSXV market as well as other exchanges and platforms, I have to say that the volume of algorithmic trading is visibly lower on the $TSXV than anywhere else. I also posit that the $TSXV participants in general are much less technologically inclined and slower to adopt new trends so the lower adoption rate isn’t that surprising.

The retail investor has been and will likely continue to be the largest voice of the negative side of algos. If you know nothing about the market and can’t read price-action, whether algos “fleece” you or someone else does is irrelevant. If you are savvy and can adapt, you can play ball with them. Two great example as of late are $GQC.CA and $CSQ.CA who have had good rides on solid drill holes. Algos will drive the price up and it is a wave you can ride if you can read the patterns of the stock churn and understand how these systems work – just don’t get stuck being a bag holder (!).

This story is just starting to unravel in Canada and I expect it to get a whole lot juicier in the coming months.

Golden Hope provides first NI 43-101 resource estimate for the Bellechasse-Timmins gold deposit *ad sponsor*

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 1:37 PM on Monday, June 18th, 2012

Golden Hope provides first NI 43-101 resource estimate for the Bellechasse-Timmins gold deposit, the first ever for Golden Hope in southeastern Quebec

Golden Hope Mines Limited (TSX VENTURE: GNH) (Pink Sheets: GOLHF) – Golden Hope Mines Limited is pleased to provide an independent National Instrument 43-101 compliant gold mineral resource estimate on its Bellechasse-Timmins Gold deposit located along the Bellechasse-Beauceville mineral trend in southeastern Quebec, 5 kilometres southeast of St-Magloire de Bellechasse.

The following table summarizes the block model estimates using various cut-off grades:

GOLDEN HOPE MINES LTD
Bellechasse-Timmins
Class Tonnage (Tonnes) Grade ( g/t Au) Au (oz) Cut-off (g/t)
Indicated 5,286,000 1.20 204,000 0.30
Indicated 3,496,000 1.61 181,000 0.50
Indicated 2,905,000 1.83 171,000 0.60
Indicated 1,700,000 2.58 141,000 1.00
Indicated 692,000 4.32 96,000 2.00
Indicated 367,000 5.98 71,000 3.00
Inferred 3,816,000 0.96 118,000 0.30
Inferred 2,673,000 1.21 104,000 0.50
Inferred 2,173,000 1.36 95,000 0.60
Inferred 1,127,000 1.90 69,000 1.00
Inferred 311,000 3.32 33,000 2.00
Inferred 124,000 4.75 19,000 3.00

 

Corporate Website / Hub on AGORACOM

Small-Cap CEO Lesson: The 8 Best Investor Relations Practices During Market Turmoil

Posted by AGORACOM at 7:55 AM on Thursday, May 17th, 2012

Much of my time this week has been spent flagging calls from small-cap CEO’s asking what they should be doing about Investor Relations in this market.  Given the fact I can’t get on the phone with all of you, I’ve listed 8 effective things you should be doing right now to take control of your investor relations during this market turmoil.

GETTING INTO THE RIGHT MINDSET

Before even starting on my 8 best practices below, you are going to need to get into the right mindset.  Specifically, it is important to understand that during this kind of market environment, investor relations is not just about increasing your share price.  Every company is getting hit, so to think you can buck that trend isn’t realistic.

Rather, your goals in this environment are:

  • Short Term – To mitigate, even stop any further losses to your market capitalization.
  • Longer Term – To take advantage of competitors with weak or non-existent strategies and attract new investors.

Both goals are heavily dependent on choosing the right philosophy.  Specifically:

(+)  If you listen to me and get proactive, a properly executed strategy will yield great short and long-term results.

(-)   If, as some small cap CEO’s have told me, you choose to run for cover and fail to communicate,  you are creating a guaranteed recipe for disaster.

THE 8 BEST INVESTOR RELATIONS PRACTICES DURING THIS MARKET TURMOIL

With all this in mind, here is the AGORACOM recipe for success during periods of market turmoil.

1]  Silence Is Death - Have you ever had a friend or family member owe you money but suddenly become hard to get a hold of? How did you feel? Do not make your shareholders feel this way or they’ll write you off as a bad debt and wash their hands clean of you. This is no time to duck for cover if you believe in your business, your plan, your management team and your board.

2]  Provide Long-Term Vision – Investors are worried by these short-term market gyrations.  It is your job to get shareholders to look beyond this gyration and remind them that you are building a long-term business that will survive and thrive far beyond 2012.

3]  Accentuate Your Strengths – Provide shareholders with a press released corporate update that discusses the strength of your product / services / project / technology.  Be sure to also address the long-term viability and strength of your industry.  Remind investors that there will always be demand for your products and you are one of the companies that will be benefiting from it.

4]  State Of The Union – Support your corporate update with a multi-media “state of the union”.  Specifically, tape an audio or video address for your shareholders that conveys confidence.  If your text based corporate update in step 2 provides the facts that assure investors, your multi-media address will provide your shareholders with confidence they are in the right hands.  No matter what the context, people need to hear from their leaders.  Think Winston Churchill in WW II, or George Bush after 9/11.

5]  You’re Not Bullet Proof – Be honest about any negative impacts to your operations.  Shareholders don’t expect you to be bullet-proof, so openly telling them about the 1 or 2 items in your business that have been impacted demonstrates an honest and realistic management team.

6]  Differentiate Yourself From The Pack - Though you should never specifically name a competitor, do to tell investors about any significant general problems with your competitors, some of whom will not make it through this period due to poor planning or business models. Differentiate yourself from the pack.

7]  Business As Usual - Do not hold back communications as part of a “market timing” strategy.  Yes, be careful not to issue press releases on a specific morning where futures are showing significant weakness due to a macro event – but it is otherwise business as usual, so get on with your business and continue issuing press releases.

8]  Capitalize On New Blood - Never, ever stop looking for new investors.  You are in a position to benefit from the following two ways:

First, we all know that a significant portion of small-cap and micro-cap stocks are unfortunately built upon unviable business models.  That is the nature of the business.  Shareholders in those companies will see the writing on the wall, take their tax losses and start looking for high-quality alternatives that can help them get back above water over the next 12-24 months. Be that alternative!

Second, investors that were smart enough to raise cash earlier in the year will be looking to come back into the markets over the next few months.  They will be looking for good companies with good management teams executing a plan that will succeed over the next 2-3 years. Be there when they come knocking!

CONCLUSION

If you need any more proof about the validity of this plan, I ask you to once again follow the AGORACOM experience.  Despite the fact markets are going through tough times, we have managed to maintain a status quo and actually grow while other investor relations firms suffer.

Why? We practice what we preach:

A]  We openly communicate with and help our customers as much as ever during this turmoil.  We don’t go silent.

B]  We continue marketing ourselves via search engines, our blog and newsletters to attract new customers.

If you follow our plan, never lose site of the fact that you currently have great shareholders and remember there are millions of other shareholders looking for companies like yours, you will succeed in mitigating short-term losses while maximizing long-term success.

Regards,
George

Did You Find This Article Helpful?  What To Do Next …

1]  Read George’s Small-Cap CEO Lessons For Free Powerful Advice On Great Investor Relations

2]  Contact AGORACOM To Discuss Your Online Investor Relations Needs and Solutions

 

AGORACOM Small-Cap Wire – Focus Metals Signs Graphite Purification Deal; GNH Hits “Significant” Gold Near Surface

Posted by AGORACOM at 11:48 AM on Monday, May 7th, 2012


AGORACOM WIRE – MONDAY MAY 7TH

BREAKING ….. FOCUS METALS HALT LIFTED ON TODAY’S NEWS ….

FOCUS METALS and Hydro-Quebec’s IREQ Sign Graphite Purification Technology Agreement and Anode Production Agreement for Li-Ion Batteries Read More *SPONSOR

GOLDEN HOPE MINES Intersects 25 metres of 2.06 g/t Gold and 8 metres of 2.26 g/t Gold Read More *SPONSOR

—————————–

AGORACOM Blog …. Canadian Graphite Producers Prepare For BoomRead More

Our Sponsors Support Clean Talk Discussion Forums. Discover them Today

 

BHP Billiton Expands Hearing Protection Contract in Australia with Sonomax V3

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 10:57 AM on Monday, May 7th, 2012

BHP Billiton Expands Hearing Protection Contract in Australia

Sonomax Technologies Inc. (“Sonomax” or the “Company”) (TSX Venture: SHH) today announced that BHP Billiton Iron Ore (BHP: NYSE), through its distributor Australasian Safety Services Inc., has agreed to protect an additional 4,000 workers in its facilities in Western Australia, a contract valued at $600,000. The product used to protect these workers will be the existing V3 ProFit version. BHP Billiton Iron Ore has the potential of an additional 8,000 workers to be protected with the new V5, currently in the final stages of development and testing.

“This breakthrough is made possible by the hard work of distribution partners like Michael Dean”

Said Michael Dean, CEO of Australasian Safety Services, “Our company has been servicing the mining industry for over 5 years now and we are finally starting to gain serious traction with this customer base who is very dedicated to health & safety. We are extremely proud to count BHP as one of our largest customers in Australia. The Sonomax product is now a proven commodity in the mining sector. This agreement is a result of extensive testing over the years. We are excited to get our hands on the V5 this fall to service this customer base of over 200,000 workers.”

“We are happy to report such an important contract to our shareholders for many reasons. Sonomax is much more than earphones. Hearing protection and the prevention of hearing loss has always been the heart of the company. There are over 100M workers around the world who are at risk and miners are at the top of that list. With a commitment to excellence from top mining companies like BHP and our new robust self-fit scalable product line, we will be able to protect a great number of these workers from losing their hearing,” said Nick Laperle, Sonomax’s CEO. “This breakthrough is made possible by the hard work of distribution partners like Michael Dean,” added Laperle.

About Sonomax Technologies Inc.

Sonomax® is a leader in the product development, research, and licensing of in-ear technologies. With more than 50 patents and trademarks worldwide, Sonomax’s pioneering innovation includes instant custom-fitting earpieces that deliver the most comfortable, protective and sound-enhancing experience in the world. Poised to become a standard for all in-ear applications, SonoFit™ offers OEM, ODM and aftermarket clients a broader range of opportunities in customized earpieces for the consumer, industrial, military and health markets. Learn more at http://sonomax.com

Corporate Website / Sonomax Hub

SKYPE INTERVIEW: Bob Kasner Discusses Past Producing Open Pit Omega Project

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 5:17 PM on Tuesday, April 24th, 2012

The Omega Gold Property is located in Larder Lake, Ontario approximately 18 miles east of Kirkland Lake, and 4 miles west of Kerr Addison a former mine that produced in excess of 10 million ounces of gold. The Omega Property and Kerr Addison both are situated on the Larder Lake Cadillac fault system. This system has produced over 40 million ounces of gold just in the Kirkland/Larder Lake area and is still a productive wealthy mining camp.

Drilling highlights

·OM-12-67:1.787 g/t gold over 16 metres (including 2 metres of 5.84 g/t gold)

·OM-12-69:2.687 g/t gold over 12 metres (including 8 metres of 3.706 g/t gold)

·OM-12-70:0.997 g/t gold over 54 metres (including 10 metres of 2.421 g/t gold: Open Pit)