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John Stewart Rips CNBC To Shreads

Posted by AGORACOM at 12:49 PM on Friday, March 6th, 2009

CNBC has taken a relentless beating for its irresponsible business journalism that has primarily consisted of:

  • Cheerleading the markets vs. reporting on them
  • Cheerleading their Wall Street pals vs. holding their feet to the fire

Well, their beating just went mainstream after cancelling an appearance by Rick Santelli on Wednesday.  John Stewart of the Daily Show used the vacant time to rip CNBC to shreads with their bullish clips over the last 2 years. Comedy Central (US) and Comedy Network (Canada) can block you from watching online video depending on where you are located, so I’ve provided the Canadian and US links below.

Watch and enjoy:

CANADIAN VERSION:

US VERSION

Canadian Prime Minister Kicks Ass On CNBC. Long Canada [$$]

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:15 PM on Thursday, February 26th, 2009

Canadian Prime Minister, Stephen Harper, conducted an 11-minute interview with CNBC’s Larry Kudlow and did a fantastic job of demonstrating why Canada is so strong today and will continue to be strong in the future. I’m sure many Americans wished their country was as sound as Canada with respect to:

  • Banks (Most stable banks in the world)
  • Mortgages (Banks hold mortgages rather than sell them, so they have to be careful)
  • Budget Surplus (Canada has been in surplus for years – going into short-term deficit with stimulus)
  • Energy (US will be importing more and more oil from Canada in the future)

The interview caused Peter Grandich, our US residing Chief Commentator to blog Oh Canada! and call for a $CDN at par with the Greenback.

Regards,
George

“Bailout Nation” Book Dropped by McGraw-Hill To Protect Its S&P Ratings Division From Damaging Analysis

Posted by AGORACOM at 3:46 AM on Wednesday, February 11th, 2009

The Wall Street credit-crisis “CYA” playbook continues to be run by those who do not want to accept their portion of the blame.  Specifically, Portfolio.com ran this story titled Mcgraw Hill Drops Book Critical of S&P. What makes the story even more interesting is the fact that it was written by my friend Barry Ritholtz – who is frequently listed as one of the world’s top financial bloggers and often quoted right here on AGORACOM.

The book was so highly anticipated by Wall Street that a month away from publication, 22,000 copies had already been pre-sold.  Wow.

So why did McGraw Hill drop it? According to Portfolio, MH provided the following explanation:

McGraw Hill spokesman Steven Weiss this afternoon said the publisher dropped
the book because of a conflict with Ritholtz over editing, not because of his
criticism of S&P. “The material needed extensive corroboration across a range of
topics. We could not agree on unified approach with the author for resolving
the issues,” Weiss said. He denied that the publisher dropped the book because of what Ritholtz had written about S&P.

OK, anything is possible.  However, given the fact that Barry Ritholtz has both the smarts and the street cred that comes with the PYMWYMI (Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is) nature of bloggers, I side with him when he provides the following retort from his blog:

Really? You cannot verify these footnotes?

As you can see, the overwhelming majority of the footnotes come with URL
included.
So I guess if you lack an internet connection or are unfamiliar with Google,
you might have trouble corroborating the contents of the book. But for everyone else
over the age of 6 years old who is possession of any IQ score better than 75, it really
should not be a problem to accomplish.

But to prove it even further, I challenge any of the McGraw Hill editors or
publishers
(or any of the editorial staff)
to take a polygraph/lie detector test
– at my expense.

If the poly proves anything I said was false or anything Mr Weiss said was true, I will
let them edit the book however they want, or kill it altogether and not publish anywhere
else.

I’m sold because whenever I’ve had righteousness on my side in the past, I too have challenged people to polygraph tests at my expense. I severely doubt a blogger of Barry’s stature is going to put his reputation on the line at his expense.

CONCLUSION

McGraw Hill blew it.  Sure, they were in a tough position but they put themselves there when they approached Barry to write about the bailout / crisis in the first place.

Clearly, MH publisher Herb Schaffner didn’t see the connection from the outset.  By the time the lightbulb went on and they needed Barry to tone it down, Barry advised “Sorry, Herb, but I don’t do diplomacy.” Barry has 34,000 subscribers (not a typo) for a reason  – he tells it like it is.

At the end of the day, MH made a massive tactical error when it dropped the book.  In this Obama / Geithner / Stimulus package environment, Barry’s criticism of the S&P probably wouldn’t have got much media play.  As such, MH would have been better off simply publishing it as is and letting the S&P stuff blend in with other issues raised by Barry in the book.

Now, S&P has become the book and MH has become the story….. and Barry has an even bigger stage to speak from.  God help those guys.

Regards,
George

AGORACOM Chief Commentator Peter Grandich On BNN Market Call

Posted by AGORACOM at 1:33 AM on Tuesday, December 30th, 2008

Good morning to you all.  As we approach the new year, investors are looking for trends and trading strategies for 2009.  Last night, AGORACOM Chief Commentator Peter Grandich was a guest on BNN Market Call and the 20-minute interview + phone-in session will be well worth your time.

Why?

All bias aside, the reason we acquired Grandich.com and merged Peter into AGORACOM was due to his uncanny ability to call the direction of the general markets and specific commodities.  As such, if you’re looking for information pertaining to overall trends, Peter is about as good as you are going to get.

He’ll be the first to admit his specific stock picks in the junior resources sector blew up on him in 2008 despite healthy gold prices – but stock picking is something best left to you once you’ve taken his market calls into account.

HIGHLIGHTS

Here are just a couple of highlights:

  • Time to get back into oil stocks as there is limited risk to the downside. On the upside, he likes $75-90 over the next 12-24 months.
  • He is acquiring ETF’s that short US Treasury Notes.  This is the last of the bubbles and it is going to pop as interest rates head tremendously higher.
  • 2009 will be a trading market vs a bull market

Regards,
George

Will Today’s Fed Move Work? Or Will The US Become Japan 2.0?

Posted by AGORACOM at 5:59 PM on Tuesday, December 16th, 2008

This is the big question of the day.

As you know, the US Fed today established a target range for the federal funds rate of 0 to 0.25%, effectively cutting its key rate for overnight lending to banks by between 0.75% and 1%.

This is the kind of event that history books (ebooks) will be writing about 100 years from now. I’m not going to bother reporting on it, as you can find a great write-up here and here.

Rather, I’d like to provide some meaningful insight from some of the world’s brightest financial minds. Apart from my own 🙂 I’ll continue to update this post throughout the next 24 hours as I scan great bloggers and writers, so make sure to keep checking back.

Mohamed El-Erian, Co-CEO & Co-CIO of PIMCO

Mohamed El-Erian, Co-CEO & Co-CIO of PIMCO was on CNBC today (Fast Money) and, amongst other things, he stated as follows:

Why is this different from Japan? The Fed is acting earlier and more aggressive than Japan’s central bank. In addition, US banks have taken write-downs far earlier than Japanese banks. Nonetheless, he says we still have to be careful about unintended consequences.

….more to come

Gold Breaks Through $850 As Fed “Vows To Use All Tools”

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:35 PM on Tuesday, December 16th, 2008

The US Fed today established a target range for the federal funds rate of 0 to 0.25%, effectively cutting its key rate for overnight lending to banks by between 0.75% and 1%.

  • The Federal Reserve pulled out all the stops in its campaign to save the U.S. economy today, slashing interest rates to just about zero and promising to try an array of new economic measures to stimulate spending.
  • North American equity markets have rocketed on the news, with the Dow up 360 points to 8925+ and the TSX up 260 to 8725+.
  • The $US is significantly weaker against all major currencies.

Gold prices broke through $850 on the news and are trading at $857.50 on the spot market.

China Stimulus Package Is Equivalent To US Spending $2.6 Trillion

Posted by AGORACOM at 8:58 AM on Monday, November 10th, 2008

For those of you that took the weekend off (as I did), here is the reason you are seeing green across the world this morning.

I’m not beating anybody to the punch, so I won’t rehash the news.  However, I will say this is a pretty staggering amount relatively speaking.  Specifically, Paul Kedrosky stated the following:

Good to see the Chinese stepping into the mix with such conviction.   Is this China signalling they are prepared to takeover the position of global economic leader?  Sure looks like it.

Regards,
George

Metals Keep Drying Up As COMEX Pretends Otherwise

Posted by AGORACOM at 12:04 PM on Wednesday, October 22nd, 2008

Great article out of GATA the other day (I was at a funeral so apologies for the lag time). We’ve been reading more and more stories about the suspension/halt of gold coins over the last 60 days. First, the US Mint had to temporarily suspend sales of its American Eagle one-ounce gold coins on Aug. 15 – and then later that month announced sales of the American Eagle coins would resume under an allocation program to designated dealers.

Since then, we have had the following notable headlines:

September 26 – US Mint Suspends Sale of 24-Carat Gold Coins

The U.S. Mint is temporarily halting sales of its popular American Buffalo 24-karat gold coins because it can’t keep up with soaring demand as investors seek the safety of gold amid economic turbulence .. full story

October 8 – Mint Widens Freeze on Gold Coin Sales

Citing extraordinary demand, the U.S. Mint has broadened its freeze on sales of gold bullion coins, as individual investors who are priced out of the futures markets have been piling up their holdings of the … full story

October 8 – Canadian and US Mints Can Not Keep Up With Gold Coin Demand

An array of gold and silver coins from various mints – including the U.S. Mint and the Royal Canadian Mint – have been temporarily removed from the offerings at Kitco Inc., a precious metals dealer … full story

WHY THE DISCONNECT WITH COMEX?

Clearly, both investors and citizens are demanding physical gold to the point of exhausting supply, so why are COMEX prices not reflecting the demand? Our Chief Commentator, Peter Grandich, stated:

“There’s an old saying: ‘Don’t fight City Hall.’ I have a new one: ‘Don’t fight the bandits on the Comex.’

“There’s no rational explanation for the incredible disconnection between gold’s physical demand and the paper trading of it on the Comex. Whatever doubt anyone had about GATA being right in its cause would be gone in my humble opinion if you watched Comex trading every day. A very good friend of mine says he doesn’t mind losing in gold and his mining stocks, but when you can see criminals stealing it from you on the Comex, you just want to die.

The GATA article also goes on to report significant silver shortages in Mexico. Specifically, Hugo Salinas Price, president of the Mexican Civic Association for Silver stated:

“Mexico’s central bank has informed us that as of this morning they will be able to supply us with only 60,000 Libertad silver ounces from here to December….How is it possible that a country that is either No. 1 or No. 2 in silver production (Peru sometimes exceeding Mexico) cannot supply silver coin?”

Is the disconnect manufactured? Nobody can say for sure but when real-life isn’t reflected in the marketplace the real world usually ends up winning … just ask every purchaser of “AAA” sub-prime mortgage packages.

Regards,
George

VIX Was Higher Than Oil For Most Of The Day

Posted by AGORACOM at 5:03 PM on Thursday, October 16th, 2008

I couldn’t line up these charts but you will note that from 10:30 AM to 3:30 PM, the VIX traded higher than oil.  Who would have ever predicted this, especially over the last 12 months?  The VIX has generally traded between 15 – 45 over the last 12 months, while oil has has generally traded $75 – $140 over the last 12 months.

Oil trading around $75 wasn’t that far of a stretch as the likes of Boon Pickens predicted that price a while ago.

However, what really blows the mind is that:

A]  The VIX shot over 50, 60, 70, 80!

AND

B]  The VIX did this while oil was falling from 120, 100, 90, 80, 70!

One would have thought (pre-crisis) that falling oil prices would have been bullish for the markets, thereby driving the VIX lower.

We are truly investing in uncharted territory.

Regards,
George

Barry Ritholtz Goes Long And Calls Bottom Phase Of The Markets

Posted by AGORACOM at 5:45 PM on Wednesday, October 15th, 2008

Good evening to you all. As many of you know, we highly respect Barry Ritholtz for his firm’s ability to call this market correctly for well over a year now. It doesn’t mean he is infallible but it does mean we listen when he has something to say .. and think you should too.

This is especially true in this completely whacked out, neck-snapping, whipsawing market in which even the most seasoned Wall Street managers are at a loss for advice.

If you feel just as dazed and confused (though you shouldn’t if you’ve been reading this blog for the past year), please invest 4 minutes of your life and watch the following:

Regards,
George