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New Age Metals Inc. $NAM.ca – #EV ‘arms race’ revs up Murkowski’s old minerals bill $LIC.ca $LIX.ca $LI.ca $ELR.ca $ATL.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 3:19 PM on Thursday, May 9th, 2019

SPONSOR: New Age Metals Inc. The company’s new Lithium Division has already made significant acquisitions in Canada and the USA. The company also owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. Updated NI 43-101 Mineral Resource Estimate 2,867,000 PdEq Measured and Indicated Ounces, with an additional 1,059,000 PdEq Ounces in the Inferred. Learn More.

NAM: TSX-V

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EV ‘arms race’ revs up Murkowski’s old minerals bill

E&E News staff Energywire: Thursday, May 9, 2019

The Tesla Model S (left) and Model X charging side by side. Steve Jurvetson/Wikimedia Commons

An old proposal to jump-start American mining has been recharged by a newfound focus on electric vehicles and the elements needed to power them.

Congress has bandied about ideas for mining more “critical minerals” for as long as the United States has been losing ground to other nations, namely China, in supplying elements used in military, energy and emerging technologies.

But a different narrative took center stage when Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) introduced her latest critical minerals bill last week: fixing the EV supply squeeze (Energywire, May 3).

The Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee chairwoman advocated helping the United States “compete in growth industries like electric vehicles and energy storage,” while her co-sponsor and committee ranking member, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), said he was “very much concerned” about lithium-ion batteries.

Sources traced the new emphasis to a recent closed-door summit of automakers, mining companies and federal officials.

Murkowski teased her bill at a Washington, D.C., event organized by Benchmark Minerals, a consulting firm specializing in battery mineral supply chains.

Despite its small size — 26 employees — Benchmark has increasing influence on Capitol Hill.

Reached by phone yesterday, Benchmark founder Simon Moores declined to say who attended the summit, but he said the fact that Murkowski highlighted lithium, cobalt, graphite and nickel was “a reaction” to his testifying to her committee twice in as many years.

“For me, the most important development is that focus on these four

[minerals]

for electric vehicles,” he said. “And that is a big step forward in my eyes because it refines the focus and refines the discussion.”

Robert Mintak, CEO of Canadian mining company Standard Lithium Ltd., also declined to go into detail about the Benchmark summit, only saying it was “well-attended across numerous agencies.”

“The narrative is being curated to make the current state of the nation understand that it isn’t a tree-hugging narrative,” he said. “There’s an opportunity you need to get in front of.”

The strategy

The EV rebranding appears to be a marketing maneuver, said Jim Constantopoulos, a geology professor at Eastern New Mexico University and director of its Miles Mineral Museum.

“Those folks that would be more likely to drive an EV … would normally be opposed to any sort of mining, let alone a bill that would eliminate roadblocks to mining,” Constantopoulos said. “By referring to it as an EV bill, they might garner some support from that sector.”

Senate Energy and Natural Resources Chairwoman Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska). Energy and Natural Resources Committee

Environmentalists have generally condemned critical minerals legislation as an excuse to slash environmental standards. Murkowski’s bill would task federal agencies with streamlining mine permitting.

President Trump has ordered his administration to do the same. Under an executive order, the U.S. Geological Survey created a list of 35 critical minerals and the Department of Commerce set to work drafting a report of policy recommendations to mine more of each of them.

The report was due in November, but industry advocates expect the White House to publish its findings as soon as next week.

“I know we’re getting close on the strategy, but to my knowledge, the White House is still deciding on a rollout date,” USGS spokesman Alex Demas said.

The White House declined to speculate on any announcement.

‘Barely even in the game’

Benchmark says about 1.7 terawatt-hours’ worth of battery factory projects are in the development pipeline — or roughly the equivalent of 24 million to 26 million EVs, depending on the battery pack.

“We are in the midst of a global battery arms race in which the U.S. is presently a bystander,” Moores told lawmakers in February (E&E Daily, Feb. 6).

Most of the world’s lithium comes from a region in South America crisscrossed by massive salt flats. About 1% of the world’s raw lithium comes from the United States. North America’s only active lithium operation is the Silver Peak mine in Nevada, although the Los Angeles Times reported this week about a battle brewing over a second one in Death Valley.

“Despite significant domestic resources, we’re barely even in the game,” said National Mining Association President and CEO Hal Quinn.

As for cobalt, about 68% comes from the Democratic Republic of Congo, where a small percentage of the mineral is illegally mined using child labor, according to a 2017 Amnesty International report.

The industry is actively looking to cut back on cobalt, but even if they are successful, new battery production will still increase demand.

“There’s no way that entire battery industry can just abandon cobalt as a critical element for their cathode,” Benchmark consultant and former Tesla employee Vivas Kumar said at another recent event in New York.

Where do companies stand?

Automakers have generally supported previous critical minerals bills, and this year is no different.

The Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, a powerful trade group that represents Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co., has not changed its stance since testifying in support of the bill in 2014.

“Whether it’s the aluminum in automotive frames, the platinum in catalytic converters, or the lithium and nickel in electric vehicle batteries, minerals are vital components in every automobile on the road today, and future models,” spokesman Wade Newton said in an email.

But Tesla declined to comment, as did Fiat Chrysler Automobiles. A Ford spokeswoman redirected inquiries to the Auto Alliance.

The Electric Drive Transportation Association, which advocates for electric vehicle makers and other companies in the electric and hybrid vehicle industry, said it had yet to thoroughly examine Murkowski’s legislation.

“We appreciate the bipartisan effort to reinforce the supply chain for electric vehicles and are currently reviewing the bill,” spokesman Jake Styacich said.

While the talking point has changed, China remains the foremost national security concern.

In 2015, the Chinese government published a plan for its manufacturing sector, Made in China 2025, which identified battery minerals as a key area in which to seek dominance.

Robbie Diamond, president of Securing America’s Future Energy, a group fighting foreign oil dependence, called it a “wake-up call.”

“We do not want to go from dependence on oil and troubles in the Middle East to dependence on China for batteries,” he said.

Diamond cited Moores’ February testimony as evidence.

He added: “Anybody who takes our security seriously has to ask themselves the question: Can we fall this far behind?”

Reporters Dylan Brown, Kelsey Brugger, Timothy Cama, David Iaconangelo and Maxine Joselow contributed.

Source: https://www.eenews.net/stories/1060299813

New Age Metals Inc. $NAM.ca – Supply And Demand Outlook Favors #Palladium Vs. Platinum $WG.ca $XTM.ca $WM.ca $PDL.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 12:16 PM on Thursday, April 18th, 2019

SPONSOR: New Age Metals Inc. The company owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. Updated NI 43-101 Mineral Resource Estimate 2,867,000 PdEq Measured and Indicated Ounces, with an additional 1,059,000 PdEq Ounces in the Inferred. Learn More.

NAM: TSX-V

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Supply And Demand Outlook Favors Palladium Vs. Platinum

  • Palladium has outperformed platinum ever since the fundamentals of supply and demand have changed due to the diesel emissions scandal.
  • The gap between platinum and palladium has shrunk in recent weeks, which would break the current trend of palladium outperforming platinum if it continues.
  • Both the fundamental and technical pictures point to the trend staying in place relative to platinum and palladium despite the recent hiccup.

The biggest source of demand for platinum (PPLT) and palladium (PALL) is the automotive industry where emission standards are becoming increasingly stringent. These standards are driving demand for platinum and palladium due to their ability to help reduce harmful emissions. The result has been a sort of competition between the two of them.

However, the competition has become somewhat one-sided ever since the platinum market was rocked in 2015 by the emissions scandal or “Diesel Gate” involving Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY). The reason is because platinum is heavily used in vehicles with diesel engines. On the other hand, palladium is associated with gasoline engines.

Cars powered by diesel engines have since fallen out of favor, and people are now turning towards cars powered by gasoline engines. This trend does not look to change anytime soon, but it’s set to continue for the foreseeable future. This is bullish for palladium and bearish for platinum. The result can be seen in the supply and demand equation for palladium and platinum.

The market for palladium has a deficit with a surplus for platinum

The emissions scandal has fundamentally altered the landscape for vehicles powered by diesel and gasoline engines and, by extension, platinum and palladium. The former is seeing demand decrease, and the latter is seeing demand increase as there is a shift away from diesel-powered cars towards gasoline-powered cars.

The two tables reveal that the platinum market has a surplus, with supply exceeding net demand. Except for industrial demand, every other segment, including autocatalyst, jewelry, and investment, is in decline. While supplies from mining have stayed roughly the same, platinum recycling is adding to the surplus of platinum in the market. The trend is clearly bearish for platinum.

Platinum supply and demand (Unit: 1000 oz)
Supply 2016 2017 2018
South Africa 4392 4449 4471
Russia 717 703 657
Others 988 953 980
Total supply 6097 6105 6108
Demand
Autocatalyst 3342 3218 3052
Jewelry 2412 2400 2363
Industrial 1806 2022 2321
Investment 620 361 89
Total demand 8180 8001 7825
Recycling -1934 -2072 -2215
Net demand 6246 5929 5610
Surplus/deficit -149 176 498

Source: Johnson Matthey

The opposite is true for palladium. Supply of palladium falls short of net demand and is driven primarily by the increased demand in the autocatalyst segment. Recycling has made more palladium available, but supplies have yet to eliminate the deficit in the market for palladium. Overall, the trend for palladium looks to be a lot better compared to platinum.

Palladium supply and demand (Unit: 1000 oz)
Supply 2016 2017 2018
South Africa 2570 2550 2590
Russia 2773 2406 2840
Others 1417 1405 1450
Total supply 6760 6361 6880
Demand
Autocatalyst 7951 8428 8655
Jewelry 191 173 166
Industrial 1875 1832 1855
Investment -646 -386 -555
Total demand 9371 10047 10121
Recycling -2491 -2899 -3212
Net demand 6880 7148 6909
Surplus/deficit -120 -787 -29

The forecast for 2019 calls for more of the same, assuming there are no unforeseen events that could disrupt the supply and demand equation. Platinum will have a surplus, and palladium, a deficit. The trend established in recent years as shown in the two tables is not expected to change. That is bullish for palladium, but bearish for platinum.

Divergence in prices for platinum and palladium

As a result of a favorable outlook, palladium prices have vastly outperformed platinum. While platinum used to command a much higher price than palladium, the roles have now been reversed, and palladium is now worth more. The chart below tracks the relationship between platinum and palladium prices.

Notice that at its peak in March, a troy ounce of palladium was worth almost two ounces of platinum. That ratio has now come down, and palladium is now worth 1.5 ounces of platinum. A significant change, but still far removed from the days when platinum was more expensive than palladium.

However, the fact remains that the gap between platinum and palladium has shrunk with platinum outperforming palladium during this time frame. The gap could continue to shrink, but it could also begin to widen as before. Which of the two is more likely to happen will depend on a few factors that should be taken into consideration.

Can platinum and palladium be substituted for one another in the manufacture of an autocatalyst?

The short answer is yes, but only to a certain extent. While platinum and palladium are more suitable and preferred in diesel and gasoline vehicles, respectively, it is not absolutely necessary. The more expensive palladium becomes relative to platinum, the more manufacturers may be inclined to look into replacing palladium with platinum in the manufacture of an autocatalyst. Not necessarily completely, but at least partially.

In theory, this should act as a cap on palladium relative to platinum. If the gap in prices between the two becomes too extreme, precious metal substitution could force the ratio between palladium and platinum to reverse and narrow. There would be less demand for palladium and demand for platinum would increase under these conditions. However, in practice, it is difficult to replace more expensive palladium with cheaper platinum.

The two precious metals are only needed in trace amounts, and the price difference would have to be very severe to make a noticeable difference in the final cost of a vehicle. It also takes a lot of time and expense to test that changes in precious metal composition in an autocatalyst meet desired specifications. In a nutshell, while it’s possible, it’s almost certainly not worth the trouble to replace platinum with palladium or vice versa.

Why gold prices affect platinum more than palladium

Unlike palladium, platinum prices are more prone to being influenced by the price of gold (GLD). The reason is because platinum is heavily used in jewelry, much more than palladium. Because of this, platinum is in direct competition with gold. In fact, people often have to decide which of the two, gold or platinum, they will select in a purchase.

People will more often than not pick gold, but they may be tempted to go for platinum if the former is much more expensive than the latter. Rising gold prices are, therefore, good for platinum because it makes platinum a more attractive substitute. But if gold prices fall, then there is less need for platinum because most people tend to prefer gold.

It’s, therefore, necessary that we look at gold when considering where platinum will go relative to palladium. The ratio between gold and platinum prices has changed recently as gold prices have gone down. A previous article discussing why gold is likely to face pressure can be found here.

The chart above tracks the relationship between platinum and gold prices. Notice that while an ounce of platinum was roughly equal to 60% of gold at its low, the ratio has gone up and is now at almost 70%. What this basically means is that platinum’s appeal as an alternative has declined versus gold. This should be seen as a negative for platinum demand, which could put downward pressure on the price of platinum.

Palladium looks to be priming itself for a big move

Palladium prices have been going sideways after a big drop from their recent highs. In fact, the chart pattern for palladium resembles that of a symmetrical triangle or a coil. If this technical analysis is correct, then a big move may be coming once consolidation is done. The triangle could resolve to the downside, but it’s more likely to continue the long-term trend, which is up.

Both the fundamental and technical pictures suggest that a move to the upside is the most probable outcome. In contrast, platinum is being held back by a number of issues as a previous article explains here. This would reverse the narrowing of the spread between platinum and palladium and, instead, widen the gap that exists.

The ratio between palladium and platinum has been stuck at around 1.5, as previous charts reveal. This ratio could decrease further, but the most likely path is for the ratio to resume its previous uptrend after the time it has spent consolidating. This would be consistent with the price of palladium outperforming that of platinum.

Palladium will outperform platinum

It’s important to mention that the long-term picture for platinum and palladium in terms of demand is not a good one. Recent research suggests that it will one day be possible to make an autocatalyst without the need for any precious metals such as platinum and palladium. If this happens, then both metals will be left without their biggest source of demand.

Furthermore, electrical vehicles are on the rise, and they do not emit the harmful emissions that platinum and palladium are tasked with reducing. The challenge for platinum and palladium will be to find new applications where they can be used. Otherwise, the future of platinum and palladium does not look all that bright.

Having said that, palladium is most likely to outperform platinum with both charts and supply and demand in its favor. There is still a shortage of palladium that the market will not be able to resolve in the short term. The supply deficit, combined with the recent consolidation in prices after a major correction, will most likely result in palladium rising again.

On the other hand, gold is under pressure, and it’s hard to see platinum doing well when gold is struggling. There is also a surplus of platinum that will not go away anytime soon. Therefore, barring a major supply disruption, such as a major strike that drastically reduces supplies, platinum is highly unlikely to do as well as palladium. Platinum may have outperformed palladium in recent weeks, but that should soon reverse.

Source: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4255191-supply-demand-outlook-favors-palladium-vs-platinum

New Age Metals Inc. $NAM.ca – Palladium: The most precious of precious metals $WG.ca $XTM.ca $WM.ca $PDL.ca $GLEN

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 10:32 AM on Wednesday, February 27th, 2019

SPONSOR: New Age Metals Inc. (TSX-V: NAM) The company’s new Lithium Division has already made significant acquisitions in Canada and the USA. The company also owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. Learn More.

NAM: TSX-V

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Palladium: The most precious of precious metals

For the first time in more than a decade, palladium is rivalling gold in value.

At its current spot price of just over US$1 300/oz, reaching as high as $1 400/oz in January 2018, it has truly become the most precious of the precious metals, writes CHANTELLE KOTZE.

Demand has been primarily driven by the automotive industry through the “demonisation” of diesel engines in Europe.

This article first appeared in Mining Review Africa Issue 2, 2019

The resultant growth in small petrol engines and hybrid engines, which are fitted with emission-reducing catalytic converters that require it as a catalyst to control pollution, along with the shift away from diesel engines, has benefitted the material.

Moreover, the Volkswagen emissions scandal has negatively impacted the European diesel market and platinum prices.

According to Michael Jones, the President and CEO of TSX-listed Platinum Group Metals, the developer of the Waterberg palladium-dominant project in South Africa, it has become apparent that the electric vehicle revolution has been a major factor driving demand.

While adoption rates of electric vehicles are expected to increase anywhere between 8% and 10% by 2023, Jones stresses the importance that at least half of these new electric vehicles will be hybrid electric vehicles as opposed to full electric vehicles and will therefore still require the use of palladium in the catalytic converter.

Moreover, China’s tougher new vehicle emissions standard, the China VI emission standard, released in June 2018, means that cars will require more robust catalytic converters that are able to meet the new emissions legislation – another factor that may require increased palladium during manufacture in order to minimise emissions.

According to data from German chemicals giant BASF, the China VI emission standards is expected to create an additional 1 Moz of palladium demand annually by 2020, which Jones believes the market is already experiencing.

From the 2.2 Moz of palladium estimated to be required in the manufacture of Chinese cars in 2018, palladium demand is estimated to grow to 3.1 Moz by 2020, says BASF.

These figures are not based on the amount of new vehicles, but rather the impact of the change in the standard for emissions which will require increased amounts of palladium in its manufacture to ensure the longevity of the catalyst.

While Jones notes that this may cause car manufacturers to substitute out of palladium back into platinum as a cheaper alternative, it may take several years for this change to come into effect and have a physical impact on the price of palladium.

This being said, palladium is also a much more attractive metal for autocatalysis, particularly in hybrid (petrol) electric vehicles, he adds.

Moreover, with palladium being relatively rare, mined mainly as a by-product of nickel and platinum mining, it may take a while for demand fundamentals to slow should catalytic converter demand slow, says Jones.

This increasing demand, combined with constrained long-term supply, has caused a deficit in palladium supply which has been the key driver in palladium’s high prices – a price trend which experts expect to continue.

Despite weakening automotive sales in key markets, stringent emissions controls are expected to sustain demand as governments seek to improve their emissions targets.

Jones expects this demand to continue well into the foreseeable future due to tight supply.

Source: https://www.miningreview.com/palladium-precious/

New Age Metals Inc. $NAM.ca – #Palladium eyes $1,500 in record surge; gold hits 10-month high $WG.ca $XTM.ca $WM.ca $PDL.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 5:01 PM on Tuesday, February 19th, 2019

SPONSOR: New Age Metals Inc. (TSX-V: NAM) The company’s new Lithium Division has already made significant acquisitions in Canada and the USA. The company also owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. Learn More.

NAM: TSX-V

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Palladium eyes $1,500 in record surge; gold hits 10-month high

Simon Dawson | Bloomberg | Getty Images Gold will continue to shine amid a weak dollar, says author and gold pro Jim Rickards.

  • Palladium scaled a record peak to within striking distance of the $1,500 level on Tuesday fuelled by a sharp supply deficit, while bullion rose 1 percent to hit a 10-month high on a weaker dollar and global growth jitters.
  • Spot palladium was up 1.68 percent at $1,481.50 per ounce by 2:02 p.m. EST, having earlier soared to an all-time high of $1,491.

A sustained deficit in supply was likely to widen this year as stricter emissions standards increase demand for catalytic converters, Britain-based autocatalyst manufacturer Johnson Matthey said last week.

Adding to an already strained supply scenario for palladium, was the likelihood of an improvement in demand from the auto sector, given the expectations of a U.S.-China trade deal materializing, said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategies at TD Securities in Toronto.

“If we were already high and tight when the demand environment didn’t look all that promising, we are certainly going to get tighter when demand improves,” he said.

A new round of trade talks between Washington and Beijing was scheduled for Tuesday.

While both platinum and palladium are primarily used by automakers in catalytic converters, platinum is more heavily used in diesel vehicles, which have fallen out of favour since Volkswagen’s emissions-rigging scandal broke in 2015.

Unlike platinum, palladium has benefited from the switch away from diesel engines and expectations for growth in hybrid electric vehicles, which tend to be partly gasoline-powered.

This has helped cushion the metal from falling car sales globally.

However, analysts said palladium has risen too fast too soon and was bound for a correction.

“Palladium is a bubble and is moving much above what fundamentals suggest,” said Gianclaudio Torlizzi, managing director at consultancy T-Commodity in Milan.

Meanwhile, the dollar backed away from a two-month high hit last week on increasing optimism for a breakthrough in the trade talks, bolstering appeal for gold.

Spot gold gained 0.86 percent to $1,337.51 per ounce, having earlier touched its highest since April 20 at $1,341.18. U.S. gold futures settled $22.70 higher at $1,344.80.

“We are getting more evidence of slowing (global) growth,” said SP Angel analyst Sergey Raevskiy.

“There were some dovish comments from Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank.”

Dovish signals from Japan’s central bank and the ECB compounded worries over a global slowdown, and followed weak data from the United States and China.

Also, investors will scan the minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting on Wednesday for more guidance on interest rate increases this year. Higher rates tend to weigh on non-yielding gold.

Among other precious metals, platinum gained 1.9 percent at $817.23 per ounce, while silver rose 0.92 percent to $15.94.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/19/gold-markets-dollar-us-china-trade-in-focus.html

New Age Metals Inc. $NAM.ca – Gold Slips While Palladium Maintains High Levels $WG.ca $XTM.ca $WM.ca $PDL.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 10:49 AM on Friday, January 18th, 2019

SPONSOR: New Age Metals Inc. (TSX-V: NAM) The company’s new Lithium Division has already made significant acquisitions in Canada and the USA. The company also owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. Learn More.

NAM: TSX-V
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  • Palladium held above $1,400 U.S. an ounce on Friday after surging to record levels in the previous session, amid tight supplies and robust demand, while gold slipped as risk sentiment got a boost from hopes of progress in U.S.-China trade talks.

Glenn Wilkins – Friday, January 18, 2019

Palladium held above $1,400 U.S. an ounce on Friday after surging to record levels in the previous session, amid tight supplies and robust demand, while gold slipped as risk sentiment got a boost from hopes of progress in U.S.-China trade talks.

Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,290.51 U.S. per ounce, while U.S. gold futures were down 0.2% at $1,290 per ounce. One official said the market is currently unable to gauge the extent of economic slowdown, and that uncertainty is supporting gold.

Meanwhile, spot palladium climbed 1.1% to $1,411 U.S. per ounce Friday, having hit an all-time high of $1,434.50 U.S. on Thursday. The metal is on track to rise for a fourth week in its strongest weekly gain since the week ended Sept. 21. It has risen around 12% so far this month.

The price of palladium, used mainly in emissions-reducing catalysts for vehicles, is up nearly 70% since a low marked in mid-August. Prices for the metal overtook gold for the first time in 16 years early in December.

However, spot gold was set for its fifth straight weekly gain, supported by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may not raise interest rates this year on worries about economy and uncertainties around Brexit.

Gold watchers say spot gold is due for a sharp move, as its consolidation within a neutral range of $1,285-$1,299 U.S. per ounce is ending.

In other metals, platinum rose 0.5% to $809 U.S. an ounce, while silver gained 0.1% to $15.53 U.S.

Source: https://www.baystreet.ca/commodities/2803/Gold-Slips-While-Palladium-Maintains-High-Levels

New Age Metals Inc. $NAM.ca – Pricier than gold, and in your engine, #palladium $WG.ca $XTM.ca $WM.ca $PDL.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 9:16 AM on Monday, December 17th, 2018
SPONSOR:  New Age Metals Inc. (TSX-V: NAM) The company’s new Lithium Division has already made significant acquisitions in Canada and the USA. The company also owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. The property hosts M+I 4,626,250 Palladium Equivalent Ounces. Click here for more information
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  • Palladium is one of the best-performing commodities of 2018.
  • Its price has surged more than 50% in the past four months.Tiffany Hsu

Palladium inside a catalytic converter at Alpha Recycling in the Bronx, New York City. Palladium, a silvery-white metal, used in cars and sometimes jewellery, has topped gold in commodities trading for the last three days.   PHOTO: NYTIMES

GOLD was long the most valuable of precious metals until, suddenly, it wasn’t. Last week, an obscure and far less sexy rival called palladium swung ahead, for the first time in 16 years. Gold briefly retook the lead, but spot palladium prices have beaten out gold prices for the past three days. Palladium hit a record high on Wednesday before settling in at US$1,255.12 an ounce at the market close in London on Thursday, according to data from SP Angel, an investment research firm. Gold was US$1,243.02 an ounce.

It is an impressive dethroning aided by economic shifts, antipollution legislation, union campaigns by mine workers and global trade negotiations. Until recently, palladium was perhaps best known for sharing a name with several popular entertainment venues and for powering the fictional arc reactor mechanism hooked up to Iron Man’s heart.

Its primary purpose is far less glamorous: More than 80 per cent of the world’s palladium is used in the catalytic converters that help vehicles manage their pollutant output.

Palladium is one of the best-performing commodities of 2018. Its price has surged more than 50 per cent in the past four months. Some dealers have sold out of the metal.

For at least the near future, palladium will most likely remain in high demand and short supply, experts said. Here, we explain how a metal usually ignored in favour of gold, silver and platinum has recently eclipsed them all.

What is palladium?

A cousin of platinum and traditionally much less expensive, palladium is part of a family of metals known as the “noble metals” because they resist corrosion and oxidation. Palladium was discovered in the early 1800s by William Hyde Wollaston, a British scientist. It was named after Pallas, a recently identified asteroid. Silvery-white and durable, the metal is used in surgical instruments, dental alloys and in cellphones and other electronics.

Jewellers like Jenny Windler in Berkeley, California, sometimes use it because it is hypoallergenic and “not too fussy to work with”, she said. Palladium was also less expensive than other precious metals like gold or platinum. In the past few months, palladium men’s rings have been among the most popular search terms on her online store, Ms Windler revealed. But she uses the metal in less than 10 per cent of her products.

Recently, Ms Windler was buying platinum online and noticed a price chart that listed palladium as more expensive. “I thought: ‘That can’t be right; it must be some kind of typo,'” she said.

Increasing efforts to regulate tailpipe emissions in the 1970s paved the way for palladium’s gradual popularity. The metal, along with platinum and rhodium, helps keep toxic exhaust in check by reacting with carbon monoxide, hydrocarbons and nitrogen oxide to make them less harmful. For decades, palladium has been a major, but largely unseen, component of cars.

A shift away from diesel vehicles, whose catalytic converters rely more heavily on platinum, has intensified the demand for palladium, especially in Europe. Sales of petrol-fuelled cars had surged for several years until this year. Tighter emissions regulations have led automakers to use more palladium.

Demand for the metal for catalysts will reach a record high of 8.5 million ounces this year, according to the consulting firm Metals Focus.

But car sales are beginning to soften. In the United States, drivers are keeping their cars longer and, faced with rising interest rates, are hesitating to replace them. US President Donald Trump is pushing ahead with his proposal to significantly roll back emissions rules for cars and light trucks.

In China, demand for palladium could be tempered by worries about the slowing economy, tariffs by the Trump administration and curbs on lending to consumers. “That’s collectively weighing on demand for new cars,” said Rohit Savant, the director of research at the commodities research firm CPM Group.

Tight supply

Palladium is extremely rare, mostly generated as a byproduct of platinum mined in South Africa and nickel mined in Russia. Palladium’s price spiked in the early 2000s in reaction to disruptions in supply from Russia and increased interest in catalytic converters.

Demand for palladium has steadily increased for eight years and is expected to outstrip supply by 1.2 million ounces in 2018, and Metals Focus has forecast “further, sizable deficits to come”. As supply tightens, palladium’s price has climbed.

In South Africa, contentious wage negotiations with miners and complaints about hazardous working conditions have resulted in strikes that have sometimes stymied production. Many mining companies are loaded with debt and trying to cut costs.

Mining more palladium requires more platinum mining. But diesel’s decline, exacerbated by the emissions cheating scandal that engulfed Volkswagen in 2015, has depressed platinum prices.

Even as the prices for most other metals struggled this year, palladium hit high after high. Experts expect it to stay elevated for at least a few months. But coming investments by mining companies and shifts in clean-air technology could cause the price to slip.

In Russia, the Norilsk Nickel mining giant indicated this week that it would spend more than US$12 billion to raise production during the next five years. The company is the world’s largest producer of palladium.

Investors might move into gold and other safe-haven assets as they digest predictions of slowing global growth, the roiling equities market and the fading effects of last year’s tax cuts in the US, analysts said. NYTIMES

Source: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/investing-wealth/pricier-than-gold-and-in-your-engine

Invested in Transition Metals $XTM.ca ? Check Out New Age Metals $NAM.ca #PGM #Platinum #Palladium

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 12:08 PM on Tuesday, August 29th, 2017

New age large

(NAM:TSXV)

Two Divisions: PGM and Lithium

  • PGM Division: focus on Development of the 100% owned River Valley PGM Project. Canada’s Largest Undeveloped Primary PGM Resource, with 2.5 Moz PGM, in Measured plus Indicated mineral resources.
  • Lithium Canada: with a focus on Exploration of Hard Rock Lithium, in Manitoba, Canada and Lithium Brine in Nevada. The company uses the Prospector Generator Model.

River Valley PGM Project

Largest Undeveloped Primary PGM Deposit in Canada

  • Midway through 16,500ft drill program
  • Abitibi Geophysics has completed the final IP geophysical report
  • Drilling has been focused on follow-up drilling to further test the continuation of the Pine Zone and Dana North Zone
  • Further drilling will test the geophysical targets from the IP Survey