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Why Did Gold Go Parabolic At 3:30?

Posted by AGORACOM at 3:15 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

[NOTE:  These charts are “live”, they are not a snapshot.  As such, if you are reading this post after October 9th, you will be seeing the current price and chart action of gold, not the October 9th parabolic move]

What does the market know that the masses don’t? Look at the green line for what gold did between 3:00 and 4:00.

Capitulation has got to be close, so I’ll repeat my comments for those of you who are panicking….

If you’re an investor with even a little bit of cash, this is going to be one of the best buying opportunities of your life.

If you’re a CEO of a small-cap company, this is the time to place your company head and shoulders above your peers so that investors come to you once they’ve calmed down.

Regards,
George

US National Debt Clock Runs Out Of Space

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:26 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

“The National Debt Clock in New York City has run out of digits to record the
growing figure. As a short-term fix, the digital dollar sign on the billboard-style
clock near Times Square has been switched to a figure – the “1” in $10 trillion.”
Full Story.

Hat-tip to Peter Grandich for posting the story first. More than just quick on the draw, Peter has been warning us about this for as long as I can remember by telling us “Americans are robbing Peter to pay Paul but Peter is tapped out.”

Sorry Grandich, it isn’t just Peter that is tapped out, now its the clock that tracks the whole thing. Wow. How gold hasn’t shot past $1,500, let alone $1,000, is beyond me. Read my $1,000 Gold category.

God Bless,
Peter

BREAKING NEWS – The Latest And Biggest Battle For A Canadian Junior Resource Company

Posted by AGORACOM at 1:29 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

Fresh off the heels of the battle for control of Aurelian Resources, in which Aurelian shareholders used their community on AGORACOM to launch a massive campaign against a “friendly bid” by Kinross Resources, the Canadian junior resource market is once again embroiled in what may be the mother of all battles for Noront Resource (NOT: TSXV).

(FULL DISCLOSURE: Noront Resources Is An AGORACOM Client)

Noront Resources has been the sector darling over the past 12 months, including being named to the 2008 TSX Venture 50, a ranking of Canada’s top emerging public companies listed on TSX Venture Exchange. Within the TSX Venture 50, Noront Resources was the #1 ranked company in the mining category.

Noront achieved much of its success and notoriety following the September 2007 discovery of a high-grade deposit of nickel, copper, platinum and palladium in the McFaulds Lake area in the James Bay Lowlands.  The discovery created a surge of staking and exploration in the area, which is now commonly referred to as the “Ring Of Fire”.

Rosseau Asset Management Ltd. Proposes To Replace Noront’s Board At Upcoming AGM

Rosseau, a hedge fund,  issued this press release at 7:30 AM today, advising it would be running its own slate of directors at the upcoming Noront AGM.  You can review the reasons but it basically states “we can do better”.

In a huge twist of irony, the Rosseau press release names Patrick Anderson as one of the slate members.  That’s right, the CEO of Aurelian Resources that many shareholders believe gave away the world’s best gold find over the last 20 years to Kinross Gold (please review links at the top of the page).

With respect to share ownership, Rosseau its officers and employees collectively own or control a total of 11,912,901 common shares of Noront, representing approximately 9.2 per cent of the common shares of Noront entitled to be voted at the meeting.  However, I think it is fair to assume that Rosseau has already spoken to other shareholders sharing their views.

NORONT ISSUES PRESS RELEASE ADVISING SHAREHOLDERS TO VOTE AGAINST ROSSEAU SLATE AFTER ROSSEAU REJECTS COMPROMISE.

As expected, Noront Resources issued this press release shortly after 11 AM, advising shareholders to vote against the Rosseau slate.  What was both surprising and a rallying point for Noront shareholders is the fact that Noront attempted to avoid a proxy battle and address Rosseau concerns:

“In an effort to avoid the cost and dislocation to all Noront shareholders that
would inevitably accompany a proxy fight, the Special Committee sought to
address Rosseau’s concerns and attempted to negotiate a compromise position
that would result in a more balanced Board of Directors than the slate of directors
suggested by Rosseau. Rosseau rejected Noront’s compromise proposal and
has commenced its proxy fight with the filing of the Dissident’s Circular.”

OPPORTUNISTIC MOTIVATIONS VS SHAREHOLDER VALUE MOTIVATIONS

Despite Noront’s best and reasonable efforts, Rosseau balked and went ahead with its plans.  This clearly puts Rosseau’s motives in question, unless the Rosseau group wants investors to believe the entire current board and management team was worth jettisoning.

I’m a reasonable guy and just as interested as any shareholder to maximize the value of our 175,000 shares – but I’ve watched this team build Noront to where it is today, so don’t try selling shareholders on them suddenly being useless.  Especially not under the guise of “enhancing value for the benefit of all shareholders of Noront.” The sector is weak, Noront’s share price is weak and you are moving in for the kill. I can respect that – but call it what it really is.

As such, in a post made earlier today but prior to seeing Noront’s press release, I stated as follows:

“…can you trust (Patrick) Anderson with Noront? Do you want to risk seeing Noront
f
lipped into a bigger company for a song? In my opinion, this is nothing more
than an opportunist move on Noront by people interested in getting their hands
on yet another incredible world-class project. It has nothing to do with creating
shareholder “value” for indiviudal shareholders. Their prosperity will come first. Period.”

Evidently, Noront saw things the same way once it was clear that Rosseau had no interest in negotiating a compromise – and stated as much in its press release:

NORONT’S SPECIAL COMMITTEE AND BOARD OF DIRECTORS BELIEVES
ROSSEAU’S ACTION IS NOT IN THE BEST INTERESTS OF NORONT SHAREHOLDERS.
IT IS AN OPPORTUNISTIC ATTEMPT, IN LIGHT OF EXTRAORDINARY RECENT
MARKET CONDITIONS, TO OBTAIN CONTROL OF NORONT THROUGH CONTROL
OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS.

The press release rallied Noront Resources investors who, by an overwhelming majority, are up in arms and rallying against the Rosseau plan.  I wish I could provide you with examples but there have been well over 450 posts made on the Noront Discussion Forum since 7:30 AM and climbing by about 1 per minute.  Yes, some are unhappy with the company’s share price performance over the last few months but many acknowledge that much of this is attributed to general market weakness that should not affect the long-term value of Noront’s projects.

With the AGM less than 3 weeks away, this promises to be yet another example of shareholder activism 2.0.  This time, however, shareholder and management interests are aligned against an uninvited guest.

Regards,
George

U.S. Searches For “Agoracom” Skyrockets With Bloomberg / CNBC TV Campaign. “Gold Stocks” Too.

Posted by AGORACOM at 9:35 AM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

On September 15, we announced the commencement of 30-second television ads on Bloomberg and CNBC in the United States, as well as, BNN in Canada.  Unlike search engine marketing, it can be used to be hard to measure the effectiveness of offline branding campaigns because potential new visitors don’t call you.  If we were specifically marketing our IR services, you could measure the number of prospect calls or web inquiries.

Fortunately, we now have Google Trends. Google Trends analyzes how many searches have been done for a specific term, relative to the total number of searches for that specific term over time. In this case, I wanted to see the search trend for “AGORACOM” in the United States.

In order to make comparisons easy and put them in relative terms, Google assigns the searches over time a  baseline score of 1.00.  As such, anything above 1.00 since September 15 is a good sign and anything below 1.00 is a bad sign. How good or bad would depend on how far off 1.00 the trend is.

So what is the trend for AGORACOM so far? A Google Trends chart is worth 1,000 words:

The spike is so big that the baseline of 1.00 looks like we had no searches at all in 2008 when, in fact, the spike meant the chart had to be set to increments of 10.  To put this into perspective, Imagine what the chart of a small-cap stock would look like if it was trading pretty healthy in and around $1.00 for most of the year and then suddenly spiked to almost $20.

I do concede this is still early and we will have to check this again in 30 days – but we are off to a great start.

AMERICANS SEARCHING FOR “GOLD STOCKS”

If you want to take a look at your own trends, go here.  You can view a search trend for the entire world or for a specific country.  The caveat is that Google Trends doesn’t give you reports on thinly traded search terms. As such, if your corporate name doesn’t register, try things like your industry.  For example, I queried “Gold Stocks” and the following tells me that Americans are becoming VERY interested in them!

If you are a small-cap CEO and don’t recognize the power of Web 2.0 by now, I give up 🙂

Regards,
George

More Evidence Of Looming Capitulation – And Buying Opportunity Of A Lifetime

Posted by AGORACOM at 6:11 PM on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

In keeping with my theme of how to turn market turmoil to your advantage for both CEO’s and investors, this Globe article serves as further evidence that capitulation is near. Capitulation is the point where investors are overwhelmed with pressure and want out at any cost, as clearly demonstrated by the following quote:

“You’re seeing all of this volatility, and retail investors need to deal with that.
And they don’t want to deal with it. They’re willing to sell, because they aren’t
worried about missing out on a big rally. They think that’s a small price to pay
for the sanity of sleeping well at night.”

If you’re an investor with even a little bit of cash, this is going to be one of the best buying opportunities of your life.

If you’re a CEO of a small-cap company, this is the time to place your company head and shoulders above your peers so that investors come to you once they’ve calmed down.

Regards,
George

Photo courtesy of The Economist

TSX Biggest Movers – Are Gold Stocks Diverging And Making Their Run?

Posted by AGORACOM at 5:45 PM on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

This is courtesy of my lead biz dev guy, Scott Purkis. Take a look at the biggest % gainers on the TSX today. Hopefully, this is a sign that gold/metal stocks are de-coupling from the major indexes and taking on a life of their own. Still early but I’ll make sure Scott keeps me updated:

[CLICK ON THE IMAGE FOR CLEARER VERSION]

Regards,
George

AGORACOM Financial News TV – Breaking Small-Cap And Micro-Cap Financial News At The Open (Oct 08/08)

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:01 AM on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008

Good morning to you all. Please find enclosed a summary of the breaking small-cap and micro-cap financial news we highlighted on our TV show this morning. It’s October 8 and we’ve found 4 great press releases and stock halts from both sides of the border to report on at the open. Another great day for small-cap and micro-cap financial news.

If you are new to the show, it is a daily, fast-paced, edgy report that we put out at or before the open everyday that strictly reports on the best small cap and micro cap news of the day in 3-5 minutes. You can watch AGORACOM TV right from our home page .

If you miss an episode or want to search for your company in our archive, you can visit our industry leading Small-Cap Podcast site at any time:

If you want to subscribe to our Small-Cap RSS Feed or download our podcast everyday via iTunes, or your favourite podcatcher, just use the following:

As always, don’t forget to visit the AGORACOM Marketplace where we list compelling summaries for over 85 great small-cap and micro-cap companies that you can sort by exchange and industry to suit your personal investing tastes.

TODAY’S SMALL-CAP AND MICRO-CAP BREAKING FINANCIAL NEWS BEFORE THE OPEN

Our daily show focuses on content over form so that you can get profitable information into your hands as fast as possible. The same holds true for these entries in our small-cap, micro-cap news blog, where I simply cut and paste my TV notes for your benefit, without any editing, so don’t give me a hard time! 🙂

Now, onto our show notes for the day.

** Denotes an AGORACOM Client. AGORACOM TV Only Reports News From AGORACOM Clients That Meets The Same Newsworthy Threshold Of All Other Press Releases.

  • Applied Nanotech – OTC BB:APNT $0.49
  • Rockwell Diamonds – TSX:RDI, OTC BB:RDIAF $0.25
  • Selkirk Metals – TSX-V:SLK $0.14
  • Panoro Minerals – TSX-V:PML, FSE:PZM $0.23

We Need Capitulation To Get Back To Business

Posted by AGORACOM at 6:13 PM on Tuesday, October 7th, 2008

There it is.  I said it.  I will say what nobody else wants to say.  1987 was painful but Black Monday put it all to an end and we moved forward.

If you are a small-cap CEO and believe in the long-term future of your company, then you needn’t worry about a couple of days of panic selling. You’ll be far beyond this in a couple of years.

If you are a small-cap investor and believe in the long-term future of your holdings, then take advantage of capitulation, add to your position and thank-me in 2-3 years when you are paying your child’s college tuition in cash.

Now, let’s get it over with so we can move forward.

Regards,
George

Best Investor Relations Practices During Market Turmoil

Posted by AGORACOM at 8:53 AM on Tuesday, October 7th, 2008

If you are a small-cap or micro-cap CEO and looking for investor relations guidance during these challenging markets, then you have come to the right place.

First, it is important to understand that during this kind of market environment, investor relations is not just about increasing your share price.  Every company is getting hit, so to think you can buck that trend isn’t realistic.

Rather, your goals in this environment are:

  • Short Term – To mitigate any further losses to your market capitalization.
  • Longer Term – To take advantage of competitors with weak or non-existent strategies and capitalize on current opportunities.

Both goals are heavily dependent on your IR communications and strategy.  A properly executed strategy will yield great long-term results, while running for cover and failing to communicate is a guaranteed recipe for disaster.

With all this in mind, here is the AGORACOM recipe for success during periods of market turmoil.

1]  Silence Is Death – Have you ever had a friend or family member owe you money but suddenly become hard to get a hold of? How did you feel? Do not make your shareholders feel this way or they’ll write you off as a bad debt and was their hands clean of you. This is no time to duck for cover if you believe in your business, your plan, your management team and your board.

2]  Provide Long-Term Vision – Investors are worried by these short-term market gyrations.  It is your job to get shareholders to look beyond this gyration and remind them that you are building a long-term business that will survive and thrive beyond 2008.

3]  Accentuate Your Strengths – Provide shareholders with a press released corporate update that discusses the strength of your product / services / project / technology (depending on the business you are in).  Be sure to also address the long-term viability and strength of your industry.  Remind investors that there will always be a widget industry and you are one of the companies that will be benefiting from it.

4]  State Of The Union – Support your corporate update with a multi-media “state of the union”.  Specifically, tape an audio or video address for your shareholders that conveys confidence.  If your text based corporate update in step 2 provides the facts that assure investors, your multi-media address will provide your shareholders with confidence they are in the right hands.  No matter what the context, people need to hear from their leaders.

5]  You’re Not Bullet Proof – Be honest about any negative impacts to your operations.  Shareholders don’t expect you to be bullet-proof, so openly telling them about the 2 or 3 items in your business that have been impacted demonstrates an honest and realistic management team.

6]  Competitor Weakness – Though you should never specifically name a competitor, do to tell investors about any significant problems with your competitors, some of whom will not make it through this period due to poor planning or business models.

7]  Business As Usual – Do not hold back press releases as part of a market timing strategy.  Yes, be careful not to issue press releases on a specific morning where futures are showing significant weakness but it is business as usual, so get on with your business and continue issuing press releases.

8]  New Blood – Never, ever stop looking for new investors.  You are in a position to benefit from the following two ways:

First, we all know that a significant portion of small-cap and micro-cap stocks are unfortunately built upon unviable business models.  That is the nature of the business.  Shareholders in those companies will see the writing on the wall, take their tax losses and start looking for high-quality alternatives that can help them get back above water over the next 12-24 months. Be that alternative!

Second, investors that were smart enough to raise cash earlier in the year will be looking to come back into the markets over the next 2-3 months.  They will be looking for good companies with good management teams executing a plan that will succeed over the next 2-3 years. Be there when they come knocking!

CONCLUSION

If you need any more proof about the validity of this plan, I ask you to once again follow the AGORACOM experience.  Despite the fact markets are going through tough times, we have managed to maintain a status quo and actually grow while other investor relations firms suffer.

Why? We practice what we preach.  We communicate with and help our customers as much as ever, while continuing to market ourselves via search engines, our blog, e-mail newsletters and business television ads to attract new customers.

If you follow our plan, never lose site of the fact that you currently have great shareholders and remember there are millions of other shareholders looking for companies like yours, you will succeed in mitigating short-term losses while maximizing long-term success.

Regards,
George

UPDATE: IR Web Report picked up our story when they posted their own piece on this important subject. Take 5 minutes to read it because IRWR is a neutral, well-respected publisher of online investor relations strategies and its principal, Dominic Jones, has consulted to some pretty major companies around the world.  You will note he stresses using Web 2.0 tools to negotiate quickly, broadly and efficiently.

He also refers to another pretty good list of IR best practices during market turmoil by Johnson Communications. You will note a lot of crossover with my list, as well as, some other good points.

Why Wall Street CEO’s Must Go To Jail And Payback Billions In Bonuses

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:56 PM on Monday, October 6th, 2008

“The truth is, through criminal neglect and competence, the people at the
top of these firms chose to look away, to take more risk, to enrich themselves
and to put shareholders and indeed, the country itself and the country’s
economy at risk.  It is truly not only a shame, it is a crime”  – 60 Minutes

Forget the blame game, forget the justified rants of anger. US taxpayers were asked to risk $700 Billion for a Wall Street bailout that may not even work – but do they really know why?

The rest of the world has been swept up in this crisis, with citizens all over the world afraid their banks are going to shut down – but do they really know why?

I’ll get to the why in a second.

In the meantime, as the world sweats, CEO’s at Lehman, Bear Stearns, AIG, Fannie, Freddie, etc., etc. each walked away with tens and even hundreds of millions of dollars in cash and stock.  Lehman CEO, Richard Fuld, himself walked away with $480,000,000 (yes, 480 million) since 2000. That equates to $60,000,000 per year for a guy that drove Lehman into bankruptcy and significantly contributed to the current crisis.

Yes, Fuld “feels horrible about what happened” but I suspect $480,000,000 goes a long way towards treatment of his horror.

Other CEO’s that feel horrible:

Stanley O’Neal, Merrill Lynch’s former CEO, took home compensation with an estimated value of $145.2 million from 1997 to 2007, according to Equilar. Sorry, forgot to add that he received a $161-million retirement package when he was ousted in October.

Kerry Killinger, who last month lost his job as CEO of the failing Washington Mutual, took home pay valued at $98 million, Equilar said.

THE WHY

They all did it by selling garbage they knew would not pay – and then selling insurance against the garbage that they knew they could not cover.  To avoid regulation, they didn’t call it “insurance”, they called it a “credit default swap”.

How big is the market for credit default swaps? $50 – 60 TRILLION dollars.  We can’t be sure because it is an unregulated market.

In short, they were smart enough to create a $50 Trillion industry and call it something that would escape regulation – but they couldn’t see the implosion coming?

How about this – they just ignored it for as long as they could collect $60,000,000 per year and then F$%K everybody else when it all collapsed because “I got paid”.

Thanks to Paul Kedrosky, who found this fantastic 60 Minutes segment that you absolutely need to watch.  In case you never thought about it, had any doubts as to Wall Street’s guilt, or simply needed the hard evidence/info necessary to back up your claims, this is the video to watch. A great use of 12 minutes of your time.

UPDATE: One small but juicy piece of good news is that Richard Fuld was knocked out cold at a gym by one hell of a pissed off investor. One punch and out.

UPDATE 2: October 9th and Dylan Ratigan of CNBC is very pissed on CNBC after Dow falls 680 points … wants people to go to jail. Welcome to the club Dylan, we’ve got jackets!

Regards,
George