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Watching US and Canadian Futures – US Good, Canada Not So Good

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:35 PM on Sunday, October 12th, 2008

In addition to my last post, I’m also watching North American Futures via Bloomberg.  US is looking good and Canada is not so good.  Mind you, a lot can over the next 34 hours, when NA stock markets open again after today’s respective holidays.  In the meantime, here is the snapshot.  Click on it anytime to be taken to the most updated numbers.

If you are looking for news to support the US Green, then have a look at the following Bloomberg story.

On the other side of the aisle, Paul Kedrosky is hearing a lot of rumors but refuses to give them too much weight -  but I’ll give them a little weight after a personal Senior VP contact at a Tier-1 US bank advised on Friday that he stored $50,000 cash and another $50,000 gold in his home in the event of “anything”.

Regards,
George

Watching Asian and Australian Markets Tonight – We’re Alive But …

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:06 PM on Sunday, October 12th, 2008

With North American markets closed tomorrow, we’re watching the action overseas.  As of 10:50 PM EST,  markets in Asia and Australia are now trading, with Europe coming online in the next few hours.  So far, things are looking OK, as you can see from the following snapshot.

I wouldn’t worry too much about Jakarta being down 6.15% and make note the Nikkei number is from Friday’s close, not today’s action.

On the other hand, I wouldn’t put too much confidence in these numbers as they tend to follow the most recent trading on US markets.

Nonetheless, a good idea to keep an eye on them in case something breaks.

Regards,
George

TechCrunch Is Out To Lunch

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:00 AM on Sunday, October 12th, 2008

Taking a step back from the markets for a moment, I have to point out that Michael Arrington and TechCrunch have once again proven themselves to be completely out to lunch.

First, they insist on covering every utterly ridiculous Web 2.0 “company” that is typically nothing more than a bunch of coders getting together and launching a Hail Mary in hopes of creating an overnight billion dollar company.  No business model, no hopes of monetization, just a “it is so cool that 10 zillion people will use it and I can sell it to Google” model.

Support for my contention comes from:

[A] The rapidly growing level of disappointment amongst TechCrunch readers via comments over the past year. Whereas commentors used to tread lightly in fear of getting on the bad side of the beast, they now freely attack and criticize every TC writer with the strongest attacks aimed at Michael Arrington himself.

[B] The even more rapidly growing number of companies in the TechCrunch deadpool, most of which received meaningful coverage from TC itself.

“CYPRESS” VIDEO TAKES TECHCRUNCH OVER THE DEEP END

Today, TechCrunch and Michael Arrington himself have fallen even deeper into the abyss with what can only be described as a “drama queen-esque” series of posts criticizing some Web 2.0 founders for having fun on vacation “while Rome burned”.  Arrington even goes on to add “the video video will always be associated with the end of Web 2.0.”  ………… D-R-A-M-A   Q-U-E-E-N.

This is nothing more than tabloid style journalism looking to capitalize on the panic that has gripped Silicon Valley. It is nothing more than sensationalism.  Wall Street has its AIG party to serve as its poster child of excess, so Arrington and TechCrunch sought to find their version for Silicon Valley. Unfortunately, it is nothing more than 20 people that rented a villa in Cyprus that created a video lipsynching to Journey’s Don’t Stop Believing. This group didn’t take taxpayer money and spend $440,000 in a weekend, they booked some vacation time 3 months ago and enjoyed it.

Don’t just take my word for it, a quick scan of comments to this post in the series clearly demonstrates that the overwhelming majority of readers are criticial of TechCrunch’s coverage, almost to the point of being fed up with the rapidly descending quality of articles.

Arrington and TechCrunch better get back to some serious journalism or they may be headed for their own Deadpool. The days of a bunch of nerds showing up on their doorstep, slobbering all over Arrington’s ego and getting coverage are over. Time to look for real companies with real revenues and real business models.

Regards,
George

BREAKING – AGORACOM Banker Contact In US Stores $50K Cash, $50K Gold On Possible Bank Closing. Advises US Friends To Do Same

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:23 PM on Friday, October 10th, 2008

I am going to keep this short and sweet to get to the point. One of our Senior VP contacts at a Tier-1 US bank has just advised he stored $US 50,000 in cash and an additional $US 50,000 in gold on concerns US banks may be shut down for a couple of days in the coming weeks.

This comes from a very level headed individual.

Regards,
George

AGORACOM Hits 101 Million Pages, 1.25 Million Visitors In First Year

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:04 AM on Friday, October 10th, 2008

I am very pleased to announce AGORACOM traffic results for the first full-year since the launch of our small-cap, wiki-powered “Investor Controlled Discussion Forums” on October 5, 2007.

If a picture is worth a thousand words, these 2 snapshots from our Google analytics is worth 101,000,000 words [CLICK ON IMAGE FOR LARGE, CLEAR GRAPH]


Suffice it to say, we are ecstatic with the results and we want to thank all of our great clients and members that believed in our model and breathed unbelievable life into this paradigm shifting platform. As demonstrated by our recent launch of TV ads on Bloomberg, CNBC and BNN , as well as, the addition of Peter Grandich, we will continue to re-invest back into the success of this community for the benefit of all. Thank-you!

When we made first made the announcement, we set out to destroy the stock discussion forum status quo that we have all come to hate over the past 10 years thanks to unrelenting spam, profanity, stock bashing, stock hyping and assorted noise. Many thought it could not be done because we could neither change habits nor unseat the incumbents. We not only knew we could, we knew that we would. Now, more than lip service, the following numbers speak for themselves:

THE TALE OF THE TAPE

(Figures for October 5, 2007 – October 5, 2008. All figures reported by Google Analytics)

  • Unique Visitors 1,245,854
  • Visits 7,639,273
  • Page Views 101,204,915
  • Pages Per Visit 13.25
  • Avg Time On Site 10:00
  • Number Of Countries/Territories 207
  • Top 10 (Canada, USA, Germany, Netherlands, UK, Belgium, Sweden, Switzerland, Austria, Mexico)

The numbers look even better when you consider

  • We built our model on quality vs quantity. As such, this is pure discussion. No spam, flaming and bickering traffic.
  • We are only focusing on small-cap and micro-cap stocks …for now.

THE STATUS QUO IS CRUMBLING

We are very happy to see the data back up our theory that investors deeply desire the ability to amalgamate and discuss individual stock investments in a civilized community. investors are no longer willing to accept the unacceptable.

Until now, the trash has ruled the day, forcing the masses to abandon discussion forums and conduct due diligence either on their own, or in small groups. It is inefficient but it is the best option we’ve had for nearly a decade.

Eventually, the market corrects inefficiencies and AGORACOM has set its sights on correcting this one.

By refusing to sacrifice quality for quantity, AGORACOM is attracting and will continue to attract smart and conscientious investors that understand the wisdom of crowds. Eventually, quality begets quality and a massive community that both generates its own content and moderates itself will replace the status quo.

HAPPY TO SEE A HAPPY COMMUNITY

Despite the plethora of great data illustrating our success, nothing makes us happier than reading the reaction of our members. Here are just some of the raving testimonials we’ve been able to pull from the site so far.

While we’re talking about our members, I want to take this moment to thank each and every one of them for believing in our model, spreading the word and breathing life into it. Without them, this would be one hell of an application with no users. A special thanks goes out to all HUB Leaders that abandoned their former communities at Stockhouse, Raging Bull, Yahoo Finance and others in hopes of a better experience. I’m glad our promises to you have been fulfilled.

BLOGS CAN NOT REPLACE DISCUSSION FORUMS

With the advent of financial blogs – and some pretty great ones that include Paul Kedrosky, Barry Ritholtz and Mark McQueen to name but a few – some might argue discussion forums are no longer necessary, even outdated. Don’t make that mistake. Blogs are great for insight into the most important economic issues from a wide array of great minds. However, they rarely stay focused on a particular topic for more than a day.

Stock discussion forums, on the other hand, provide investors with an ability to exchange ideas and analyze one particular stock 24/7/365. You might read about macro events (i.e. sub-prime or Apple earnings) on a blog but figuring out the ongoing impact on your specific stock investments requires an extended micro discussion that blogs can not provide.

CONCLUSION

This is Wiki meets IGC (investor generated content) at its finest. There are bigger communities to be sure – but can you find another vertical in which the need for a drastically more efficient model is needed more? Trillions of dollars are at stake. People’s futures are at stake. The implications of inefficient or imperfect information are severe.

Stock discussion forums are vital to the lives of so many people. I believe we are about to witness a paradigm shift that makes them valuable once again. Stay tuned for more.

Regards,
George

Ater Predicting 14,000 Top, 7,500 Bottom, Grandich Calls Capitulation Bottom

Posted by AGORACOM at 9:43 AM on Friday, October 10th, 2008

We recently announced the acquisition of www.Grandich.com and the merger of Peter Grandich into AGORACOM as Chief Commentator. I personally made this decision after interviewing Peter over the last 3 years and watching his uncanny ability to call tops and bottoms in markets and commodities.

For example, back in October of 2007, when markets were sitting at all-time highs, Peter went on the record several times and advised he was shorting US markets.

Today, via this post on his blog, Peter stated:

“While I do believe the worse is not yet over, especially for the economy,
I think it’s time to lock in tremendous profits and stand aside. I’m seeing
classic signs of a capitulation bottom.”

When Peter speaks, I listen and would suggest all of you have a read of his post.

Regards,
George

Capitulation Today and Tuesday? Follow My Blog And Twitter

Posted by AGORACOM at 8:24 AM on Friday, October 10th, 2008

Gang, if you want to follow my micro posts, you can follow me on Twitter as well. Here is an example of what I have posted today:

Regards,
George

Why Did Gold Go Parabolic At 3:30?

Posted by AGORACOM at 3:15 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

[NOTE:  These charts are “live”, they are not a snapshot.  As such, if you are reading this post after October 9th, you will be seeing the current price and chart action of gold, not the October 9th parabolic move]

What does the market know that the masses don’t? Look at the green line for what gold did between 3:00 and 4:00.

Capitulation has got to be close, so I’ll repeat my comments for those of you who are panicking….

If you’re an investor with even a little bit of cash, this is going to be one of the best buying opportunities of your life.

If you’re a CEO of a small-cap company, this is the time to place your company head and shoulders above your peers so that investors come to you once they’ve calmed down.

Regards,
George

US National Debt Clock Runs Out Of Space

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:26 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

“The National Debt Clock in New York City has run out of digits to record the
growing figure. As a short-term fix, the digital dollar sign on the billboard-style
clock near Times Square has been switched to a figure – the “1” in $10 trillion.”
Full Story.

Hat-tip to Peter Grandich for posting the story first. More than just quick on the draw, Peter has been warning us about this for as long as I can remember by telling us “Americans are robbing Peter to pay Paul but Peter is tapped out.”

Sorry Grandich, it isn’t just Peter that is tapped out, now its the clock that tracks the whole thing. Wow. How gold hasn’t shot past $1,500, let alone $1,000, is beyond me. Read my $1,000 Gold category.

God Bless,
Peter

BREAKING NEWS – The Latest And Biggest Battle For A Canadian Junior Resource Company

Posted by AGORACOM at 1:29 PM on Thursday, October 9th, 2008

Fresh off the heels of the battle for control of Aurelian Resources, in which Aurelian shareholders used their community on AGORACOM to launch a massive campaign against a “friendly bid” by Kinross Resources, the Canadian junior resource market is once again embroiled in what may be the mother of all battles for Noront Resource (NOT: TSXV).

(FULL DISCLOSURE: Noront Resources Is An AGORACOM Client)

Noront Resources has been the sector darling over the past 12 months, including being named to the 2008 TSX Venture 50, a ranking of Canada’s top emerging public companies listed on TSX Venture Exchange. Within the TSX Venture 50, Noront Resources was the #1 ranked company in the mining category.

Noront achieved much of its success and notoriety following the September 2007 discovery of a high-grade deposit of nickel, copper, platinum and palladium in the McFaulds Lake area in the James Bay Lowlands.  The discovery created a surge of staking and exploration in the area, which is now commonly referred to as the “Ring Of Fire”.

Rosseau Asset Management Ltd. Proposes To Replace Noront’s Board At Upcoming AGM

Rosseau, a hedge fund,  issued this press release at 7:30 AM today, advising it would be running its own slate of directors at the upcoming Noront AGM.  You can review the reasons but it basically states “we can do better”.

In a huge twist of irony, the Rosseau press release names Patrick Anderson as one of the slate members.  That’s right, the CEO of Aurelian Resources that many shareholders believe gave away the world’s best gold find over the last 20 years to Kinross Gold (please review links at the top of the page).

With respect to share ownership, Rosseau its officers and employees collectively own or control a total of 11,912,901 common shares of Noront, representing approximately 9.2 per cent of the common shares of Noront entitled to be voted at the meeting.  However, I think it is fair to assume that Rosseau has already spoken to other shareholders sharing their views.

NORONT ISSUES PRESS RELEASE ADVISING SHAREHOLDERS TO VOTE AGAINST ROSSEAU SLATE AFTER ROSSEAU REJECTS COMPROMISE.

As expected, Noront Resources issued this press release shortly after 11 AM, advising shareholders to vote against the Rosseau slate.  What was both surprising and a rallying point for Noront shareholders is the fact that Noront attempted to avoid a proxy battle and address Rosseau concerns:

“In an effort to avoid the cost and dislocation to all Noront shareholders that
would inevitably accompany a proxy fight, the Special Committee sought to
address Rosseau’s concerns and attempted to negotiate a compromise position
that would result in a more balanced Board of Directors than the slate of directors
suggested by Rosseau. Rosseau rejected Noront’s compromise proposal and
has commenced its proxy fight with the filing of the Dissident’s Circular.”

OPPORTUNISTIC MOTIVATIONS VS SHAREHOLDER VALUE MOTIVATIONS

Despite Noront’s best and reasonable efforts, Rosseau balked and went ahead with its plans.  This clearly puts Rosseau’s motives in question, unless the Rosseau group wants investors to believe the entire current board and management team was worth jettisoning.

I’m a reasonable guy and just as interested as any shareholder to maximize the value of our 175,000 shares – but I’ve watched this team build Noront to where it is today, so don’t try selling shareholders on them suddenly being useless.  Especially not under the guise of “enhancing value for the benefit of all shareholders of Noront.” The sector is weak, Noront’s share price is weak and you are moving in for the kill. I can respect that – but call it what it really is.

As such, in a post made earlier today but prior to seeing Noront’s press release, I stated as follows:

“…can you trust (Patrick) Anderson with Noront? Do you want to risk seeing Noront
f
lipped into a bigger company for a song? In my opinion, this is nothing more
than an opportunist move on Noront by people interested in getting their hands
on yet another incredible world-class project. It has nothing to do with creating
shareholder “value” for indiviudal shareholders. Their prosperity will come first. Period.”

Evidently, Noront saw things the same way once it was clear that Rosseau had no interest in negotiating a compromise – and stated as much in its press release:

NORONT’S SPECIAL COMMITTEE AND BOARD OF DIRECTORS BELIEVES
ROSSEAU’S ACTION IS NOT IN THE BEST INTERESTS OF NORONT SHAREHOLDERS.
IT IS AN OPPORTUNISTIC ATTEMPT, IN LIGHT OF EXTRAORDINARY RECENT
MARKET CONDITIONS, TO OBTAIN CONTROL OF NORONT THROUGH CONTROL
OF THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS.

The press release rallied Noront Resources investors who, by an overwhelming majority, are up in arms and rallying against the Rosseau plan.  I wish I could provide you with examples but there have been well over 450 posts made on the Noront Discussion Forum since 7:30 AM and climbing by about 1 per minute.  Yes, some are unhappy with the company’s share price performance over the last few months but many acknowledge that much of this is attributed to general market weakness that should not affect the long-term value of Noront’s projects.

With the AGM less than 3 weeks away, this promises to be yet another example of shareholder activism 2.0.  This time, however, shareholder and management interests are aligned against an uninvited guest.

Regards,
George