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No Way Out – Sprott Gold Report SPONSOR: Loncor Resources $LN.ca $ABX.ca $TECK.ca $RSG $NGT.to $GOLD $NEM

Posted by AGORACOM at 1:30 PM on Tuesday, February 4th, 2020
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Loncor-Small-Square.png

Sponsor: Loncor is a Canadian gold explorer that controls over 2,400,000 high grade ounces outside of a Barrick JV.. The Ngayu JV property is 200km southwest of the Kibali gold mine, operated by Barrick, which produced 800,000 ounces of gold in 2018. Barrick manages and funds exploration at the Ngayu project until the completion of a pre-feasibility study on any gold discovery meeting the investment criteria of Barrick. Newmont $NGT $NEM owns 7.8%, Resolute $RSG owns 27% Click Here for More Info

  • We believe that there is a strong case to expect gold mining shares to outperform the metal in the years ahead…

On September 17, 2019, overnight repo rates spiked 121 basis points, climbing from 2.19% to 3.40%, providing yet another crucial buttress for the bullish rationale for gold. The spike signaled that the U.S. Federal Reserve (“Fed”) had lost control of the price of money. Without subsequent massive injections of liquidity by the Fed into the repo market, out of control, short-term interest rates would have undermined the leverage that underpins record financial asset valuations. Going forward, unless the Fed continues to expand its balance sheet, it risks a meltdown in equity and bond prices that could exceed the damage of the 2008 global financial crisis. Despite consensus expectations, there appears no escape from this treadmill.

The Fed must monetize deficits because non-U.S. investors are no longer absorbing the growing supply of U.S. debt. Ultra-low, short-term interest rates do not compensate foreign investors for the cost of hedging potential foreign currency (FX) losses (see Figure 1). The U.S. fiscal deficit is too high and the issuance of new U.S. treasuries is too great for the market to absorb at such low interest rates. In a free market, interest rates would rise, the economy would stall and financial asset valuations would decline sharply.

Figure 1. Treasury Issuance Goes Up, Foreign Purchases Go Down (2010-2019)

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 12/31/2019.

The predicament facing monetary policy explains why central banks are buying gold in record quantities, as shown in Figure 2. It also explains the fourth quarter “melt-up” in the equity market, even with Q4 earnings that are likely to be flat to down versus a year ago (marking the second quarter in a row for lackluster results) and the weakest macroeconomic landscape since 2009 (as shown by Figure 3).

Figure 2. Central Banks Purchases of Gold are 12% Higher than Last Year

Source: World Gold Council; Metals Focus; Refinitiv GFMS. Data as of 9/30/2019.

Figure 3. The U.S. ISM PMI Index Indicates Economic Contraction

The U.S. ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)1 ended the year at 47.2, indicating that the U.S. economy is in contraction territory (a reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction).

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 12/31/2019.

Liquidity injections will result in more debt, both public and private sector, but not necessarily enhanced economic growth:

“As these forms of easing (i.e., interest rate cuts and QE [quantitative easing]) cease to work well and the problem of there being too much debt and non-debt liabilities (e.g., pension and healthcare liabilities) remains, the other forms of easing (most obviously currency depreciations and fiscal deficits that are monetized) will become increasingly likely …. [this] will reduce the value of money and real returns for creditors and will test how far creditors will let central banks go in providing negative real returns before moving into other assets [including gold].”

– Ray Dalio, Paradigm Shifts, Bridgewater Daily Observations, 7/15/2019

Gold Bullion and Miners Shine in 2019

Though overshadowed by the rip-roaring equity market, precious metals and related mining equities also had significant gains in 2019 (up 43.49%)2. Gold’s 18.31% rise last year was its strongest performance since 2016. More significantly, after two more years of range-bound trading, the metal closed out 2019 at its highest level since mid-2013, and within striking distance of $1,900/oz, the all-time high it reached in 2011.

The investment world has taken little notice. Despite gold’s strong performance, GDX3, the best ETF (exchange-traded fund) proxy for precious metals mining stocks, saw significant outflows over the year as shares outstanding declined from 502 million to 441 million (or 12%) over the twelve months, despite posting a 39.73% gain, well ahead of the 31.49% total return for the S&P 500 Total Return Index.4 We believe that there is a strong case to expect gold mining shares to outperform the metal in the years ahead…

It has been our long-held view that until mainstream investment strategies run aground, interest in precious metals will continue to simmer on low, notwithstanding the likelihood that 2020 may be another very good year for the precious metals complex. The many reasons why mainstream investment strategies could unravel are not difficult to imagine. They include the emergence of meaningful inflation, further slippage of the U.S. dollar’s nearly exclusive reserve currency status, and market-driven interest rate increases or a recession. Any or all of these could disrupt the continued expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet, triggering a rapid reversal in financial asset valuations. Each possibility deserves a more complete discussion than space here allows, but evidence strongly suggests that none can be ruled out. While timing the zenith in complacency is risky, we feel confident that a reversal of fortune for high financial asset valuations awaits unsuspecting investors sooner than they expect.

We are even more confident that a bear market will generate far broader investment interest in gold. Considering that institutional exposure to gold and related mining stocks hovers near multi-decade lows, the slightest uptick could easily drive the metal and related precious metals mining shares to historic highs. Today, the aggregate market capitalization of precious metals equity shares is $400 billion, an insignificant speck on the current market landscape.

Investors outflows from precious metals mining stocks in 2019, even as gold rose 18.31%, suggests skepticism that the current rally is sustainable — perhaps hardened by the wounds of years of middling performance. Contrarian analysis would regard such bearishness as grounds to be very bullish. In our opinion, investors have overlooked that the 2019 rise in gold prices has restored financial health to sector balance sheets, earnings and cash flow. Gold stocks offer both relative and absolute fundamental value and growth potential that compares very favorably to conventional investment strategies

We believe that there is a strong case to expect gold mining shares to outperform the metal in the years ahead by a substantially wider margin than they outperformed in 2019. With continued advances in precious metals prices, the return potential from these still unloved orphans and pariahs of the investment universe should prove to be very compelling.

SOURCE:https://www.sprott.com/insights/sprott-gold-report-no-way-out/

Ronald-Peter Stöferle: Well Known Big Investors Are Now Buying Gold SPONSOR: Affinity Metals $AAF.ca $SII.ca $TUD.ca $GTT.ca $AMK.ca $OSK.ca $RKR.ca

Posted by AGORACOM at 11:50 AM on Tuesday, February 4th, 2020
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Affinity_Metals_Corp_Logo.png

Sponsor: Affinity Metals (TSX-V: AFF) a Canadian mineral exploration company building a strong portfolio of mineral projects in North America. The Corporation’s flagship property is the Drill ready Regal Property near Revelstoke, BC. Recent sampling encountered bonanza grade silver, zinc, and lead with many samples reaching assay over-limits. Click Here for More Info

  • Well Known Big Investors Are Now Buying Gold As central banks continue to go wild, the list of well known investors who are buying and recommending gold continues to grow.

As Ronald-Peter Stöferle, author of the “#InGoldWeTrust” report and a fund manager for #Incrementum was kind of enough to join me on the show and discuss. Ronni talks about how while gold has been reaching all time highs in many #currencies around the globe, it’s now even starting to rally in #dollar terms.

And with low or even #negativeinterestrates prevailing around the globe, the appeal of gold is shining brighter than ever.

He also provides updates on the #inflation warning he issued late last year, why #centralbanks continue to buy gold, what #investors can expect in this year’s version of his highly sought after “In Gold We Trust Report,” and a few of the gold companies he’s an advisor to.

So to hear a #goldmarket update from one of the most well informed and connected gold investors on the planet, click to watch the interview now! – To get access to Ronni’s “In Gold We Trust

Affinity Metals Hub on Agoracom

Report” go to: https://investmentresearchdynamics.com/

To find out more about Ronni’s investment funds go to: https://www.incrementum.li/en/

How Effective Is Gold As a Hedge? History Has an Empirical Answer SPONSOR: Loncor Resources $LN.ca $ABX.ca $TECK.ca $RSG $NGT.to $GOLD $NEM

Posted by AGORACOM at 3:20 PM on Monday, February 3rd, 2020
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Loncor-Small-Square.png

Sponsor: Loncor is a Canadian gold explorer that controls over 2,400,000 high grade ounces outside of a Barrick JV.. The Ngayu JV property is 200km southwest of the Kibali gold mine, operated by Barrick, which produced 800,000 ounces of gold in 2018. Barrick manages and funds exploration at the Ngayu project until the completion of a pre-feasibility study on any gold discovery meeting the investment criteria of Barrick. Newmont $NGT $NEM owns 7.8%, Resolute $RSG owns 27% Click Here for More Info

Gold has been a safe haven for literally thousands of years.

But how effective is it as a “hedge”?

A hedge is an asset that tends to rise when others fall. For example, an investor holding common stocks might find it advantageous to hold some gold too, since it has historically been strong during the worst stock market crashes.

But in the big picture, does it really pay to always have some gold in one’s portfolio?

History provides some clear answers. We analyzed several historical scenarios to see how a theoretical portfolio performed with various amounts of gold (including zero).

The Portfolios

Our base portfolio starts with a 60% stock/40% bond mix. We used the S&P 500 for stocks, and the 10-year Treasury for bonds. As gold was added the prevailing spot price was used.

The research runs from January 1999 through September 2019, just shy of 21 years. This includes bull and bear markets in all assets, and thus offers accurate insight into gold’s value through various market environments.


We ran four portfolio scenarios, each starting with $100,000. As the amount of gold was gradually increased, the funds devoted to stocks and bonds were reduced in equal percentages.

  • Zero Gold Portfolio (60% stocks/40% bonds)
  • 3% Gold Portfolio (3% gold/58.5% stocks/38.5% bonds)
  • 5% Gold Portfolio (5% gold/57.5% stocks/37.5% bonds)
  • 10% Gold Portfolio (10% gold/55% stocks/35% bonds)

No adjustments were made for inflation, and exclude commissions, dividends, and tax implications.

The Results

The first chart shows the value of each portfolio at the end of each year. The blue bar represents zero gold (60% stocks/40% bonds), while the gold bar represents a portfolio with the maximum 10% gold allocation.

Portfolio Values by Year

As can be seen, the total value of each portfolio rises as the amount of gold is increased. A portfolio with 10% gold has performed better over the past two+ decades than ones with less amounts of gold.

After 20 years, only the portfolio with 10% gold reached a $250,000 value. This is not surprising considering gold acts as a hedge against stock market declines and recessions, while at other times can provide profit.

This chart shows the annual performance of each portfolio.

Portfolio Returns by Year

While all portfolios frequently rose and fell in tandem, the data show that those containing gold tended to fall less in bear markets and rise more in bull markets.

The exceptions were 2013 through 2015 where portfolios with gold underperformed those with no gold (the differences in 1999 and 2000 were less than 1%). In all other years gold improved portfolio returns.

On a cumulative basis, portfolios with gold have outperformed those with little to no gold.

Long-Term Growth by Portfolio

The statistical differences between portfolios did not show up the first few years, but over time a portfolio with gold has clearly provided a greater return than a portfolio with little to no gold.

The Verdict

As research shows, an allocation to gold in a typical stock/bond portfolio has provided better returns than those with little or no gold. It also lowers your risk.

Portfolios that include gold have fallen less in bear markets and risen more in bull markets. The long-term value of a portfolio is clearly enhanced by including gold.

It should be pointed out that the research specifically uses gold, not “commodities”. Most commodity funds have only a small allocation to gold, so similar results should not be expected when including a mixed fund.

The Gold Advantage is Your Advantage

Research shows that adding gold to a portfolio enhances overall returns.

Gold…

Can hedge against systemic risk, stock market pullbacks, and recessions.

Lowers the risk in a portfolio.

Can provide liquidity to meet liabilities during times of market stress.

Can hedge not just stocks but all paper assets. Since gold is a real hold-in-your-hand asset, it carries advantages almost no other asset can provide.

The message from history is clear: meaningful exposure to gold can improve your overall portfolio performance.

SOURCE: https://goldsilver.com/blog/how-effective-is-gold-as-a-hedge-history-has-an-empirical-answer/

Gold Price Forecast: Rally From May 2019 Low Resumes With Biggest Monthly Gain In 5 Months SPONSOR: American Creek Resources $AMK.ca $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:10 PM on Monday, February 3rd, 2020

SPONSOR: American Creek owns a 20% Carried Interest to Production at the Treaty Creek Project in the Golden Triangle. 2019’s first hole averaged of 0.683 g/t Au over 780m in a vertical intercept. The Treaty Creek property is located in the same hydrothermal system as the Pretivm and Seabridge’s KSM deposits. Click Here For More Info

  • Gold is reporting its biggest monthly gain since August 2019. 
  • January’s price rise has confirmed a resumption of the rally from lows seen in May 2019. 
  • Safe haven flows and dovish Fed expectations could continue to push the yellow metal higher.

Gold has printed its biggest monthly gain in five months, signaling a resumption of the rally from lows near $1,266 seen in May 2019. 

The yellow metal is currently trading at a 4.00% gain from the opening price of $1,517.70 observed on Jan. 2. That is the biggest monthly price rise since August 2019. Back then, gold had rallied by 7.65%. 

Haven flows

The US-Iran tensions escalated on Jan. 3, putting a strong haven bid under gold. The yellow metal rose from $1,550 to a six-year high of $1,611 in the five days to Jan. 8. 

The break above $1,600 seen during the Asian trading hours on Jan. 8 was short-lived, as tensions quickly eased after media outlets reported zero US casualties in Iran’s retaliatory attack on US bases in Iraq.

Gold fell back sharply to $1,550 on the same day and extended losses to $1,536 by Jan. 14, before regaining poise on coronavirus scare. 

The mysterious Wuhan coronavirus spread quickly within China during the second half of the month. Cases were also registered in Japan and other Asian currencies and in the US and Europe. As a result, fear gripped markets that China is struggling to contain the virus and it could turn into a pandemic, derailing the global growth story. 

Risk assets, therefore, took a beating and safe havens like gold, US treasuries, and yen found love. 

Additionally, markets ramped up expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut by December and the central bank reinforced the dovish expectations by reiterating its commitment to high inflation. 

As a result, gold moved higher to $1,589 earlier Friday and is about to end the week with nearly 1 percent gain. 

Looking forward, the coronavirus fears and the dovish Fed expectations could continue to push the yellow metal higher. 

Many observers have revised lower their forecast for China’s first-quarter GDP growth. For instance, Citigroup on Friday said it expects China’s GDP growth to slow to 4.8% this quarter from 6.0% in the fourth quarter. It cut its full-year forecast for 2020 to 5.5% from 5.8, according to Bloomberg. 

Further, analysts think the slowdown will force the Chinese government and the People’s Bank of China to take action. Yields on government bonds and currency usually drop with monetary easing, making the zero-yielding yellow metal look attractive. 

As for next week, the focus will be on Caixin PMIs for China and key US data releases – ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing data, ADP report and the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls report. 

Fed rate cut expectations would strengthen, possibly yielding a stronger rally in gold if the payrolls and wage growth figures disappoint expectations.

Technical outlook

The metal traded in a sideways manner for four months, starting from September to December. The range play has ended with a bullish breakout with January’s 4% gain. 

The range breakout indicates the rally from the low of $1,266 seen in May 2019 has resumed. 

The next major resistance as per the monthly chart is $1,733. That level marks the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the sell-off from $1,920.94 to $1,046.54. 

The daily chart is also biased bullish. Notably, the RSI is again looking north, having established support at 62.00. 

The odds appear stacked in favor of a re-test of the high of $1,611 registered on Jan. 8. 

The outlook would turn bearish if and when the daily chart RSI violates the support at 62.

SOURCE: https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/gold-price-forecast-rally-from-may-2019-low-resumes-with-biggest-monthly-gain-in-5-months-202001312013

No Way Out – Sprott Gold Report SPONSOR: Labrador Gold $LAB.ca $RIO.ca $WHM.ca $SIC.ca $NXS.ca

Posted by AGORACOM at 5:42 PM on Friday, January 31st, 2020
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is LAB-square-logo-2.png

SPONSOR: Labrador Gold – Two successful gold explorers lead the way in the Labrador gold rush targeting the under-explored gold potential of the province. Exploration has already outlined district scale gold on two projects, including a 40km strike length of the Florence Lake greenstone belt, one of two greenstone belts covered by the Hopedale Project. Click Here for More Info

  • We believe that there is a strong case to expect gold mining shares to outperform the metal in the years ahead…

On September 17, 2019, overnight repo rates spiked 121 basis points, climbing from 2.19% to 3.40%, providing yet another crucial buttress for the bullish rationale for gold. The spike signaled that the U.S. Federal Reserve (“Fed”) had lost control of the price of money. Without subsequent massive injections of liquidity by the Fed into the repo market, out of control, short-term interest rates would have undermined the leverage that underpins record financial asset valuations. Going forward, unless the Fed continues to expand its balance sheet, it risks a meltdown in equity and bond prices that could exceed the damage of the 2008 global financial crisis. Despite consensus expectations, there appears no escape from this treadmill.

The Fed must monetize deficits because non-U.S. investors are no longer absorbing the growing supply of U.S. debt. Ultra-low, short-term interest rates do not compensate foreign investors for the cost of hedging potential foreign currency (FX) losses (see Figure 1). The U.S. fiscal deficit is too high and the issuance of new U.S. treasuries is too great for the market to absorb at such low interest rates. In a free market, interest rates would rise, the economy would stall and financial asset valuations would decline sharply.

Figure 1. Treasury Issuance Goes Up, Foreign Purchases Go Down (2010-2019)

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 12/31/2019.

The predicament facing monetary policy explains why central banks are buying gold in record quantities, as shown in Figure 2. It also explains the fourth quarter “melt-up” in the equity market, even with Q4 earnings that are likely to be flat to down versus a year ago (marking the second quarter in a row for lackluster results) and the weakest macroeconomic landscape since 2009 (as shown by Figure 3).

Figure 2. Central Banks Purchases of Gold are 12% Higher than Last Year

Source: World Gold Council; Metals Focus; Refinitiv GFMS. Data as of 9/30/2019.

Figure 3. The U.S. ISM PMI Index Indicates Economic Contraction

The U.S. ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)1 ended the year at 47.2, indicating that the U.S. economy is in contraction territory (a reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction).

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 12/31/2019.

Liquidity injections will result in more debt, both public and private sector, but not necessarily enhanced economic growth:

“As these forms of easing (i.e., interest rate cuts and QE [quantitative easing]) cease to work well and the problem of there being too much debt and non-debt liabilities (e.g., pension and healthcare liabilities) remains, the other forms of easing (most obviously currency depreciations and fiscal deficits that are monetized) will become increasingly likely …. [this] will reduce the value of money and real returns for creditors and will test how far creditors will let central banks go in providing negative real returns before moving into other assets [including gold].”

– Ray Dalio, Paradigm Shifts, Bridgewater Daily Observations, 7/15/2019

Gold Bullion and Miners Shine in 2019

Though overshadowed by the rip-roaring equity market, precious metals and related mining equities also had significant gains in 2019 (up 43.49%)2. Gold’s 18.31% rise last year was its strongest performance since 2016. More significantly, after two more years of range-bound trading, the metal closed out 2019 at its highest level since mid-2013, and within striking distance of $1,900/oz, the all-time high it reached in 2011.

The investment world has taken little notice. Despite gold’s strong performance, GDX3, the best ETF (exchange-traded fund) proxy for precious metals mining stocks, saw significant outflows over the year as shares outstanding declined from 502 million to 441 million (or 12%) over the twelve months, despite posting a 39.73% gain, well ahead of the 31.49% total return for the S&P 500 Total Return Index.4 We believe that there is a strong case to expect gold mining shares to outperform the metal in the years ahead…

It has been our long-held view that until mainstream investment strategies run aground, interest in precious metals will continue to simmer on low, notwithstanding the likelihood that 2020 may be another very good year for the precious metals complex. The many reasons why mainstream investment strategies could unravel are not difficult to imagine. They include the emergence of meaningful inflation, further slippage of the U.S. dollar’s nearly exclusive reserve currency status, and market-driven interest rate increases or a recession. Any or all of these could disrupt the continued expansion of the Fed’s balance sheet, triggering a rapid reversal in financial asset valuations. Each possibility deserves a more complete discussion than space here allows, but evidence strongly suggests that none can be ruled out. While timing the zenith in complacency is risky, we feel confident that a reversal of fortune for high financial asset valuations awaits unsuspecting investors sooner than they expect.

We are even more confident that a bear market will generate far broader investment interest in gold. Considering that institutional exposure to gold and related mining stocks hovers near multi-decade lows, the slightest uptick could easily drive the metal and related precious metals mining shares to historic highs. Today, the aggregate market capitalization of precious metals equity shares is $400 billion, an insignificant speck on the current market landscape.

Investors outflows from precious metals mining stocks in 2019, even as gold rose 18.31%, suggests skepticism that the current rally is sustainable — perhaps hardened by the wounds of years of middling performance. Contrarian analysis would regard such bearishness as grounds to be very bullish. In our opinion, investors have overlooked that the 2019 rise in gold prices has restored financial health to sector balance sheets, earnings and cash flow. Gold stocks offer both relative and absolute fundamental value and growth potential that compares very favorably to conventional investment strategies

We believe that there is a strong case to expect gold mining shares to outperform the metal in the years ahead by a substantially wider margin than they outperformed in 2019. With continued advances in precious metals prices, the return potential from these still unloved orphans and pariahs of the investment universe should prove to be very compelling.

SOURCE:https://www.sprott.com/insights/sprott-gold-report-no-way-out/ 

Barrick is up 76% Under Mark Bristow’s Watch — That Even Beats Gold’s Meteoric Rise SPONSOR: Loncor Resources $LN.ca $ABX.ca $TECK.ca $RSG $NGT.to $GOLD

Posted by AGORACOM at 10:58 AM on Wednesday, January 29th, 2020
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Loncor-Small-Square.png

Sponsor: Loncor is a Canadian gold exploration company that controls over 2,400,000 high grade ounces outside of a Barrick JV.. The Ngayu JV property is 200km southwest of the Kibali gold mine, operated by Barrick, which produced 800,000 ounces of gold in 2018. Barrick manages and funds exploration at the Ngayu project until the completion of a pre-feasibility study on any gold discovery meeting the investment criteria of Barrick. Click Here for More Info

The market is buzzing with speculation about Barrick Gold Corp. CEO Mark Bristow’s next move, with Freeport-McMoRan, owner of the giant Grasberg copper and gold mine in Indonesia, regarded as a potential takeover target.

A tough-talking South African on a mission to shake up the mining industry. For years the name that would have sprung to mind was Glencore boss Ivan Glasenberg, but not any more. The sector has another swashbuckling executive to watch: Mark Bristow, head of Barrick Gold.

Since the geologist took control of the world’s second-biggest gold miner just over a year ago he has been a whirlwind of activity. Highlights of the past 12 months include a hostile bid for its arch rival — now a partner in a joint venture — a buyout of struggling subsidiary Acacia Mining and more than US$1 billion of asset sales.

But this is just the beginning for 61-year-old Bristow, an adrenalin junkie who enjoys big game hunting and flying planes. “It has been an amazing year,” he said during a wide-ranging interview. “We now have a solid foundation to build on and probably the strongest balance sheet in the gold industry.”

The market is buzzing with speculation about Bristow’s next move, with Freeport-McMoRan, owner of the giant Grasberg copper and gold mine in Indonesia, regarded as a potential takeover target.

Bristow recently described copper as a “strategic metal” because of the role it would play in the shift to a greener economy. “The new, big gold mines are going to come out of the young geologies of the world,” he said. “And in young rocks, gold comes in association with copper or vice versa.”

Asked if he had discussed the merits of a deal with Freeport chief executive Richard Adkerson, Bristow said there had been “conversations” but these had been more theoretical.

“As the leader of the most valuable gold company in the world, I should be looking at the world’s best gold mines,” he said. “It makes sense for us to be interested in looking at Grasberg and asking ourselves whether Freeport is going to remain an independent company or not.”

A workaholic who maintains a punishing travel schedule, Bristow became chief of Barrick in early 2019 after the Toronto-listed company consummated a nil-premium merger with Randgold Resources, the Africa-focused miner he built into one of the world’s largest gold producers.

The idea behind the deal was to create a gold company focused around five “tier one assets,” mines capable producing more than 500,000oz of gold annually for at least a decade. The merged entity would be run the “Randgold Way” — the decentralised, hands-on management philosophy espoused by Bristow.

When the Randgold merger was announced in September 2018 there were worries about how Bristow would work alongside Barrick’s executive chairman John Thornton, a no-nonsense ex-Goldman Sachs banker.

However, Bristow and his close-knit team of executives have been given their head to run the company. One of his first moves on taking the helm was to cut almost 100 jobs at Barrick’s head office in Toronto in an effort to shape what he calls a “lean, mean machine at the top.” He has also changed the management teams across nearly all of the Barrick assets.

Analysts and investors say Bristow has delivered on the big promises he made at the time of the merger: balance sheet deleveraging, reducing head office costs and asset sales.

“If the gold price stays around US$1,500 an ounce and we generate the same sort of free cash flow as [2019 and] deliver on the rest of our promises as far as realizing the sale of non-core assets we will have zero net debt [by the end of 2020],” Bristow said.

Barrick and arch rival Newmont Corporation’s deal to combine their mines in Nevada into a joint venture, after Barrick dropped its hostile bid for the latter, has also won plaudits.
This has been reflected in Barrick’s share price, which has risen 76 per cent since the Randgold merger was announced — outperforming Newmont (46 per cent) and the gold price (31 per cent).

Barrick Gold Corp’s stock chart since the merger with Rangold was announced Sept. 24, 2018. Bloomberg

Still, some investors lament the passing of Randgold. One top-20 shareholder said it would have delivered a better share price performance had it remained independent — a view backed up by recent results, which show the Randgold side of the portfolio continuing to sparkle while the Barrick portion struggles.

Randgold also boasted a generous dividend policy, something Barrick has yet to match. Analysts estimate Barrick’s dividend would need to rise two to three times from where it is today to be comparable to Randgold’s payout. Bristow said Barrick would look at a long-term dividend policy once its 10-year strategic plan is put in place early this year.
Barrick also remains a very complex business with assets in the Americas, Africa and Asia, leaving Bristow and his management team stretched.

“There is a core of 10 Randgold executives who run the business. They used to fly around all the assets once a quarter,” said one analyst who used to follow Randgold but does not cover Barrick. “That is more difficult to do now given the size and scale of the business.”

A photo of Rangold’s open-pit gold mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 2014. Rangold Resources

James Bell, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, also said the integration of the two companies had become more complicated because some of the assets flagged as potentially noncore at the time of the Barrick deal were now seen as less disposable.

“A good example is Porgera [a mine in Papua New Guinea]. This was an asset initially flagged as noncore but that’s an asset the company is now very excited about because management have seen the geological potential,” he added.

Bristow said Barrick would continue to divest assets where it makes “good, commercial sense”, citing the recent sale of its stake in the Massawa gold project in Senegal for an upfront payment of US$380 million.

Bristow, who had open heart surgery in 2017 after a doctor spotted a problem during a routine medical to renew his pilot’s licence, said he did not know when he would step down.

“I don’t have a particular timeframe but I gave the market a [promise of at least a] full five years. I am certainly committed to that,” he said, adding that there was already a pool of executives that are qualified to lead the organization. “And you can imagine how much better they are going to be with a bit of coaching in the next couple of years.”

Source: https://business.financialpost.com/financial-times/barrick-is-up-76-under-mark-bristows-watch-that-even-beats-golds-meteroric-rise

12-Year Breakout in Mining Stocks Relative to Gold SPONSOR: American Creek Resources $AMK.ca $TUD.ca $SII.ca $GTT.ca $AFF.ca $SEA.ca $SA $PVG.ca $AOT.ca

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:07 PM on Tuesday, January 28th, 2020

SPONSOR: American Creek owns a 20% Carried Interest to Production at the Treaty Creek Project in the Golden Triangle. 2019’s first hole averaged of 0.683 g/t Au over 780m in a vertical intercept. The Treaty Creek property is located in the same hydrothermal system as the Pretivm and Seabridge’s KSM deposits. Click Here For More Info

Excerpts from Crescat Capital November Newsletter:

Precious Metals

Precious metals are poised to benefit from what we consider to be the best macro set up we’ve seen in our careers. The stars are all aligning. We believe strongly that this time monetary policy will come at a cost. Look in the chart below at how the new wave of global money printing just initiated by the Fed in response to the Treasury market funding crisis is highly likely to pull depressed gold prices up with it.

The imbalance between historically depressed commodity prices relative to record overvalued US stocks remains at the core of our macro views. On the long side, we believe strongly commodities offer tremendous upside potential on many fronts. Precious metals remain our favorite. We view gold as the ultimate haven asset to likely outperform in an environment of either a downturn in the business cycle, rising global currency wars, implosion of fiat currencies backed by record indebted government, or even a full-blown inflationary set up. These scenarios are all possible. Our base case is that governments and central banks will keep their pedals to the metal to attempt to fend off credit implosion or to mop up after one has already occurred until inflation becomes a persistent problem.

The gold and silver mining industry is precisely where we see one of the greatest ways to express this investment thesis. These stocks have been in a severe bear market from 2011 to 2015 and have been formed a strong base over the last four years. They are offer and incredibly attractive deep-value opportunity and appear to be just starting to break out this year. We have done a deep dive in this sector and met with over 40 different management teams this year. Combining that work with our proprietary equity models, we are finding some of the greatest free-cash-flow growth and value opportunities in the market today unrivaled by any other industry. We have also found undervalued high-quality exploration assets that will make excellent buyout candidates.

We recently point out this 12-year breakout in mining stocks relative to gold now looks as solid as a rock. In our view, this is just the beginning of a major bull market for this entire industry. We encourage investors to consider our new Crescat Precious Metals SMA strategy which is performing extremely well this year.

Zero Discounting for Inflation Risk Today

With historic Federal debt relative to GDP and large deficits into the future as far as the eye can see, if the global financial markets cannot absorb the increase in Treasury debt, the Fed will be forced to monetize it even more. The problem is that the Fed’s panic money printing at this point in the economic cycle may hasten the unwinding of the imbalances it is so desperate to maintain because it has perversely fed the last-gasp melt up of speculation in already record over-valued and extended equity and corporate credit markets. It is reminiscent of when the Fed injected emergency cash into the repo market at the peak of the tech bubble at the end of 1999 to fend off a potential Y2K computer glitch that led to that market and business cycle top.
After 40 years of declining inflation expectations in the US, there is a major disconnect today between portfolio positioning, valuation, and economic reality. Too much of the investment world is long the “risk parity” trade to one degree or another, long stocks paired with leveraged long bonds, a strategy that has back-tested great over the last 40 years, but one that would be a disaster in a secular rising inflation environment.

With historic Federal debt relative to GDP and large deficits into the future as far as the eye can see, rising long-term inflation, and the hidden tax thereon, is the default, bi-partisan plan for the US government’s future funding regardless of who is in the White House and Congress after the 2020 elections. The market could start discounting this sooner rather than later.
The Fed’s excessive money printing may only reinforce the unraveling of financial asset imbalances today as it leads to rising inflation expectations and thereby a sell-off in today’s highly over-valued long duration assets including Treasury bonds and US equities, particularly insanely overvalued growth stocks. We believe we are in the vicinity of a major US stock market and business cycle peak.

Source:”Running Hot”

Courtesy of Crescat Capital: https://www.crescat.net/running-hot/

Thanks to

Kevin C. Smith, CFA
Chief Investment Officer

Tavi Costa
Portfolio Manager

Loncor Provides Update on Its Ngayu Project $LN.ca $ABX.ca $TECK.ca $RSG $NGT.to $GOLD

Posted by AGORACOM at 8:30 AM on Tuesday, January 28th, 2020
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  • Significant upside potential identified at 1,675,000 oz (20.78 Mt @ 2.5 g/t Au) Imbo Concession since 2014 resource estimate

TORONTO, Jan. 28, 2020 — Loncor Resources Inc. (“Loncor” or the “Company“) (TSX: “LN”; OTCQB: “LONCF”) is pleased to provide an update on its activities within the Ngayu Greenstone Belt, where the Company has a dominant foot-print through its joint venture with Barrick Gold (Congo) SARL (“Barrick”) and on its own majority-owned prospecting licences and exploitation concessions.

The Ngayu Archean Greenstone Belt of northeastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (the “DRC”) is geologically similar to the belts which host the world class gold mines of AngloGold Ashanti/Barrick’s Kibali mine in the DRC and AngloGold Ashanti’s Geita mine in Tanzania. Gold mineralization at Ngayu is spatially related to Banded Ironstone Formation (“BIF”), which is the case at both Kibali and Geita and is highlighted in Figures 1 and 2 below. The Ngayu belt is significantly larger in extent than the Geita belt.

Adumbi Deposit
Since the Company’s acquisition of 71.25% of the KGL-Somituri gold project from Kilo Goldmines Ltd. in September 2019, Loncor has focussed on the Imbo exploitation concession in the east of the Ngayu belt where an Inferred Mineral Resource of 1.675 million ounces of gold (20.78 million tonnes grading 2.5 g/t Au, with 71.25% of this Inferred Mineral Resource being attributable to Loncor via its 71.25% interest) was outlined in January 2014 by independent consultants Roscoe Postle Associates Inc (“RPA”) on three separate deposits, Adumbi, Kitenge and Manzako (see Figures 3 and 4 below).  In this study, RPA made a number of recommendations on Adumbi, which were subsequently undertaken during the period 2014-18. The Company’s geological consultants Minecon Resources and Services Limited (“Minecon”) has been assessing the implications of this additional exploration data on Adumbi, which are summarised below.

Additional Drilling
RPA recommended additional drilling at Adumbi to test the down dip/plunge extent of the mineralization. In 2017, four deeper core holes were drilled below the previously outlined RPA inferred resource over a strike length of 400 metres and to a maximum depth of 450 metres below surface. All four holes intersected significant gold mineralization in terms of widths and grade and are summarised below:

BoreholeFrom(m)To(m)Intercept Width(m)True Width(m)Grade (g/t) Au
SADD50434.73447.4212.6910.675.51
      
SADD51393.43402.729.296.544.09
      
SADD52389.72401.8712.157.013.24
 419.15428.759.605.545.04
      
SADD53346.36355.639.275.703.71
 391.72415.1723.4514.436.08

The above drilling results which are shown on the longtitudinal section (see Figure 5 below), indicate that the gold mineralization is open along strike and at depth. The drilling of an additional 12 core holes has the potential to significantly increase the Adumbi mineral resource as highlighted on the longitudinal section.

Survey and Georeferencing
The Adumbi drill hole collars, trenches, and accessible adits/portals have now been accurately surveyed and the data appropriately georeferenced. In addition, all accessible underground excavations and workings have been accurately surveyed. The new and improved quality of the exploration data will have positive implications on potential future classification of the mineral resources.

Re-logging of All Drill Holes
The re-logging of drill holes after the RPA study has defined the presence of five distinct geological domains in the central part of the Adumbi deposit where the BIF unit attains a thickness of up to 130 metres (see Figure 4 below). From northeast to southwest:

  • Hanging wall schists: dominantly quartz carbonate schist, with interbedded carbonaceous schist.
  • Upper BIF Sequence: an interbedded sequence of BIF and chlorite schist, 45 to 130 metres in thickness.
  • Carbonaceous Marker: a distinctive 3 to 17 metre thick unit of black carbonaceous schist with pale argillaceous bands.
  • Lower BIF Sequence: BIF interbedded with quartz carbonate, carbonaceous and/or chlorite schist in a zone 4 to 30 metres wide.
  • Footwall Schists: similar to the hanging wall schist sequence.

In the central part of Adumbi, three main zones of gold mineralization are present. These include mineralisation:

  • Within the Lower BIF Sequence.
  • In the lower part of the Upper BIF Sequence.  Zones 1 and 2 are separated by the Carbonaceous Marker, which is essentially unmineralized.
  • A weaker zone in the upper part of the Upper BIF Sequence.

The lack of a detailed geological model in the previous resource estimates resulted in wireframes being constructed using only assay values with little regard to geological domains. This has resulted in wireframes cross-cutting the geology which could have resulted in underestimating the previous resource estimate.

Relative Density (“RD”) Measurements
The increase in the sample population coupled with the application of a more rigid RD determination procedure based on recommendations from the RPA resource study, indicates that the new RD measurements from both mineralized and unmineralized material and from the various material types and lithologic units have improved the confidence in the relative RD determination to be applied to any future resource estimates. Relative to the 6 oxide RD measurements used for tonnage estimation in the RPA model, 297 oxide RD measurements within the mineralised domain were undertaken during the review work. For the transition and fresh material, equal number of determinations relative to the previous RD sample volumes were undertaken with the review process employing more rigid RD determination procedures. 

Table 1 below indicates significate positive variance between the previous model RD and the reviewed work for the oxide and transition materials.

Table 1: Summary of Previous and Reviewed Mineralised Average RD Measurements

Material
Type
RD used in
Previous RPA
Model
Additional RD
Determinations
RD Variance
(%)
Oxide1.802.4536.1
Transition2.202.8228.2
Fresh3.003.051.7

Oxidation and Fresh Rock Surfaces
The re-logging of the core as per the RPA recommendations identified major differences between the depths of Base of Complete Oxidation (BOCO) and Top of Fresh Rock (TOFR), and the depths used by RPA in the 2014 model. In the RPA model, the BOCO was negligible and the TOFR corresponded approximately to the re-logged BOCO. The deeper levels of oxidation that were observed during the re-logging exercise should have positive implications for the Adumbi project with respect to ore type classification and associated metallurgical recoveries and mining and processing cost estimates.

Adit Sampling and Georeferencing
Following the accurate surveying of the 10 historical adits and appropriately georeferencing, the 796 adit samples (1,121 metres in total) when applied should have positive implications on the data spacing and classification of any future mineral resources.

In summary, most of the previous recommendations from the 2014 RPA mineral resource study on Adumbi have been undertaken. In addition, the previously recommended LIDAR survey by RPA was completed this month over Adumbi by Southern Mapping of South Africa.

The results of all the above tasks coupled with the higher current gold price compared with the previous study in 2014 indicate significant upside at Adumbi. Minecon is undertaking further studies to better quantify this significant upside. At present and subject to the Company securing the necessary financing, the Company is planning to drill the additional 12 deeper holes at Adumbi and then commence a preliminary economic assessment when an updated mineral resource study will be undertaken.

Ongoing studies are also continuing by Minecon on further assessing the data elsewhere on the Imbo exploitation concession including Kitenge and Manzako.

As announced in November 2019, joint venture partner and operator Barrick has identified a number of priority drill targets within the 1,894 square kilometre joint venture land package (the “JV Areas”) at Ngayu and that are planned to be drilled during the current dry season. Drill targets include Bakpau, Lybie-Salisa and Itali in the Imva area as well as Anguluku in the southwest of the Ngayu belt and Yambenda in the north. As per the joint venture agreement signed in January 2016, Barrick manages and funds exploration on the JV Areas at the Ngayu project until the completion of a pre-feasibility study on any gold discovery meeting the investment criteria of Barrick. Subject to the DRC’s free carried interest requirements, Barrick would earn 65% of any discovery with Loncor holding the balance of 35%. Loncor will be required, from that point forward, to fund its pro-rata share in respect of the discovery in order to maintain its 35% interest or be diluted.  

About Loncor Resources Inc.
Loncor is a Canadian gold exploration company focused on two projects in the DRC – the Ngayu and North Kivu projects. Both projects have historic gold production. Exploration at the Ngayu project is currently being undertaken by Loncor’s joint venture partner Barrick Gold Corporation through its DRC subsidiary Barrick Gold (Congo) SARL (“Barrick”). The Ngayu project is 200 kilometres southwest of the Kibali gold mine, which is operated by Barrick and in 2018 produced approximately 800,000 ounces of gold. As per the joint venture agreement signed in January 2016, Barrick manages and funds exploration at the Ngayu project until the completion of a pre-feasibility study on any gold discovery meeting the investment criteria of Barrick. Subject to the DRC’s free carried interest requirements, Barrick would earn 65% of any discovery with Loncor holding the balance of 35%. Loncor will be required, from that point forward, to fund its pro-rata share in respect of the discovery in order to maintain its 35% interest or be diluted. 

Certain parcels of land within the Ngayu project surrounding and including the Makapela and Yindi prospects have been retained by Loncor and do not form part of the joint venture with Barrick. Barrick has certain pre-emptive rights over these two areas. Loncor’s Makapela prospect has an Indicated Mineral Resource of 614,200 ounces of gold (2.20 million tonnes grading 8.66 g/t Au) and an Inferred Mineral Resource of 549,600 ounces of gold (3.22 million tonnes grading 5.30 g/t Au). Loncor also recently acquired a 71.25% interest in the KGL-Somituri gold project in the Ngayu gold belt which has an Inferred Mineral Resource of 1.675 million ounces of gold (20.78 million tonnes grading 2.5 g/t Au), with 71.25% of this resource being attributable to Loncor via its 71.25% interest. 

Resolute Mining Limited (ASX/LSE: “RSG”) owns 27% of the outstanding shares of Loncor and holds a pre-emptive right to maintain its pro rata equity ownership interest in Loncor following the completion by Loncor of any proposed equity offering. Newmont Goldcorp Corporation (NYSE: “NEM”; TSX: “NGT”) owns 7.8% of Loncor’s outstanding shares

Additional information with respect to Loncor and its projects can be found on Loncor’s website at www.loncor.com. 

Qualified Person
Peter N. Cowley, who is President of Loncor and a “qualified person” as such term is defined in National Instrument 43-101, has reviewed and approved the technical information in this press release. 

Technical Reports
Certain additional information with respect to the Company’s Ngayu project is contained in the technical report of Venmyn Rand (Pty) Ltd dated May 29, 2012 and entitled “Updated National Instrument 43-101 Independent Technical Report on the Ngayu Gold Project, Orientale Province, Democratic Republic of the Congo”. A copy of the said report can be obtained from SEDAR at www.sedar.com and EDGAR at www.sec.gov

Certain additional information with respect to the Company’s recently acquired KGL-Somituri project is contained in the technical report of Roscoe Postle Associates Inc. dated February 28, 2014 and entitled “Technical Report on the Somituri Project Imbo Licence, Democratic Republic of the Congo”.  A copy of the said report, which was prepared for, and filed on SEDAR by, Kilo Goldmines Ltd., can be obtained from SEDAR at www.sedar.com. To the best of the Company’s knowledge, information and belief, there is no new material scientific or technical information that would make the disclosure of the KGL-Somituri mineral resource set out in this press release inaccurate or misleading. 

Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors
The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) permits U.S. mining companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only those mineral deposits that a company can economically and legally extract or produce. Certain terms are used by the Company, such as “Indicated” and “Inferred” “Resources”, that the SEC guidelines strictly prohibit U.S. registered companies from including in their filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in the Company’s Form 20-F annual report, File No. 001- 35124, which may be secured from the Company, or from the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml.

For further information, please visit our website at www.loncor.com, or contact: Arnold Kondrat, CEO, Toronto, Ontario, Tel: + 1 (416) 366 7300.

The 5 Figures referred to in this announcement are available at http://ml.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/4788cf7b-48be-4e3c-b9a1-d56bcb1b5ad2

Kibali Mine Production Soars Past Guidance to Post Another Record Year SPONSOR: Loncor Resources $LN.ca $ABX.ca $TECK.ca $RSG $NGT.to $GOLD

Posted by AGORACOM at 1:56 PM on Monday, January 27th, 2020
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Sponsor: Loncor is a Canadian gold exploration company that controls over 2,400,000 high grade ounces outside of a Barrick JV.. The Ngayu JV property is 200km southwest of the Kibali gold mine, operated by Barrick, which produced 800,000 ounces of gold in 2018. Barrick manages and funds exploration at the Ngayu project until the completion of a pre-feasibility study on any gold discovery meeting the investment criteria of Barrick. Click Here for More Info

  • Barrick Gold’s Kibali mine beat its 2019 production guidance of 750,000 ounces by delivering 814,027 ounces
  • Kibali is 200km to the southwest of Loncor’s JV with Barrick in search for further Tier Once mining assets

KINSHASA, Democratic Republic of Congo, Jan. 27, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE:GOLD) (TSX:ABX) - Barrick Gold Corporation’s Kibali mine beat its 2019 production guidance of 750,000 ounces of gold by a substantial margin, delivering 814,027 ounces in another record year.

Barrick president and chief executive Mark Bristow told a media briefing here that Kibali’s continuing stellar performance was a demonstration of how a modern, Tier One gold mine could be developed and operated successfully in what is one of the world’s most remote and infrastructurally under-endowed regions.  He also noted that in line with Barrick’s policy of employing, training and advancing locals, the mine was managed by a majority Congolese team, supported by a corps of majority Congolese supervisors and personnel.

Already one of the world’s most highly automated underground gold mines, Kibali continues its technological advance with the introduction of truck and drill training simulators and the integration of systems for personnel safety tracking and ventilation demand control. The simulators will also be used to train operators from Barrick’s Tanzanian mines.

“The completion of the Kalimva Ikamva prefeasibility study has delivered another viable opencast project which will help balance Kibali’s opencast/underground ore ratio and enhance the flexibility of the mine plan.  Down-plunge extension drilling at Gorumbwa has highlighted future underground potential and ongoing conversion drilling at KCD is delivering reserve replenishment.  All in all, Kibali is well on track not only to meet its 10-year production targets but to extend them beyond this horizon,” Bristow said.

“We’re maintaining a strong focus on energy efficiency through the development of our grid stabilizer project, scheduled for commissioning in the second quarter of 2020. This uses new battery technology to offset the need for running diesel generators as a spinning reserve and ensures we maximize the use of renewable hydro power.  The installation of three new elution diesel heaters will also help improve efficiencies and control power costs.  It’s worth noting that our clean energy strategy not only achieves cost and efficiency benefits but also once again reduces Kibali’s environmental footprint.”

Bristow said despite the pace of production and the size and complexity of the mine, Kibali was maintaining its solid safety and environmental records, certified by ISO 45001 and ISO 14001 accreditations.  It also remained committed to community upliftment and local economic development.  In 2019, it spent $158 million with Congolese contractors and suppliers and in December, it started work on a trial section for a new concrete road between Durba and the Watsa bridge.

NYSE: GOLD
www.barrick.com

Source: https://www.juniorminingnetwork.com/junior-miner-news/press-releases/315-nyse/gold/72431-kibali-soars-past-guidance-to-post-another-record-year.html

Cash Is Trash; Hold Some Gold – Billionaire Investor Ray Dalio SPONSOR: American Creek Resources $AMK.ca $SII.ca $TUD.ca $GTT.ca $AMK.ca $OSK.ca $RKR.ca

Posted by AGORACOM at 2:04 PM on Wednesday, January 22nd, 2020

SPONSOR: American Creek owns a 20% Carried Interest to Production at the Treaty Creek Project in the Golden Triangle. 2019’s first hole averaged of 0.683 g/t Au over 780m in a vertical intercept. The Treaty Creek property is located in the same hydrothermal system as the Pretivm and Seabridge’s KSM deposits. Click Here for More Info

For the second time in as many weeks, the world’s largest hedge fund is once again talking up gold as an important diversifier for investors.

Speaking to CNBC’s Squawk Box on the sideline of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, said that in the current environment, investors should hold a global diversified portfolio that includes some gold.

“Cash is trash,” he declared in the interview. He warned that investors should get out of cash as central banks continue to print money.

However, Dalio tempered his comments on the precious metal, saying that “a bit of gold is a diversifier.”

But it is not only cash that Dalio railed against. He also didn’t have anything nice to say about bitcoin, which is neither a medium of exchange nor a store of value.

He said that investors shouldn’t go anywhere near bitcoin because of its volatility. When it comes to a store of value, central banks will continue to prefer to hold hard assets.

“What are [central banks] going to hold as reserves? What has been tried and true? They are going to hold gold. That is a reserve currency, and it has been a reserve currency for a thousand years,” he said.

Although Dalio said that he sees a low chance of a recession in 2020, he warned investors to look further out. The risks are that because of where monetary policy is right now, it will be less effective when the downturn does come.

“At a point in the future, we still are going to think about what’s a storeholder of wealth. Because when you get negative-yielding bonds or something, we are approaching a limit that will be a paradigm shift,” he said.

Dalio has been fairly bullish on gold and for nearly three years has advocated that investors hold at least 5% to 10% of their portfolio in gold.

Dalio’s latest comments come less than a week after Greg Jensen, co-chief investment officer at Bridgewater Associates, said in an interview with the Financial Times that he sees gold pushing to $2,000 an ounce.

Jensen said that he sees higher gold prices through 2020 as inflation picks up but central banks, in particular the Federal Reserve, step away from the fight.

“The Fed won’t be pre-emptive,” he said.

Jensen said that he is also bullish on gold as geopolitical uncertainty dominates financial markets and investor sentiment.

“When you look at the geopolitical strife, how many foreign entities really want to hold dollars? And what are they going to hold? Gold stands out,” he said.

SOURCE: https://www.kitco.com/news/2020-01-21/Cash-is-trash-hold-some-gold-billionaire-investor-Ray-Dalio.html