Agoracom Blog

Advance Gold $AAX.ca – 50-Year High In Central Bank Gold Purchases $FA.ca $ANG.jo $ABX.ca $NGT.ca $MGG.ca $TECK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM at 3:16 PM on Tuesday, December 10th, 2019

SPONSOR: Advance Gold AAX.v – Advance Gold controls 100% interest in the Tabasquena Silver Mine in Zacatecas, Mexico. A cluster of 30 Epithermal veins have been discovered, with recent emphasis on exploring a large anomaly to drill. Advance also owns 13.5% of the Kakamega JV attached to Barrick Takeover Offer for Acacia Mining. Click Here For More Info

Opportunities

  • 2019 is on track to be a 50-year high in central banks’ net gold purchases. Bloomberg Intelligence reports that central banks have been absorbing about 20 percent of global gold mine supply. Based on the gold-to-silver ratio, it looks like silver might have more upside if demand for safe haven assets rises. Bloomberg’s Eddie van der Walt writes that the gold-silver ratio has dropped to 86 from 93 in July and that means silver has outperformed on the back of gold’s gains. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo is bullish on palladium and platinum. Staunovo wrote in a December 5 report that palladium will likely enter its ninth straight year of market deficit in 2020 and could climb above $2,000 an ounce. Even as platinum is set to enter a surplus, its price could be driven by gold. “As platinum is highly correlated to gold, our bullish view for gold should mean higher platinum prices, which we expect to trade at around $1,000 an ounce next year.”
  • Zijin Mining Group Co. has agreed to buy Continental Gold in a rare all-cash deal worth C$1.37 billion – the second big takeover in a few weeks of a junior Canadian gold miner. Bloomberg reports the offer reflects a 29 percent premium to the Continental Gold share price from the past 20 days and that major shareholder Newmont Goldcorp was supportive of the deal. In hostile M&A news, Centamin Plc rejected Endeavour Mining Corp.’s $1.9 billion takeover offer saying that it undervalues its assets, reports Bloomberg News. Centamin has been a takeover candidate since the size of its Egyptian mine was discovered at the start of the decade, though the company has faced many operational setbacks.
  • Kinross Gold has been busy raising cash. Kinross announced this week that it has agreed to sell its remaining shares of Lundin Gold for C$150 million to Newcrest Mining and the Lundin Family Trust. Kinross earlier announced that it has sold its royalty portfolio to Maverix Metals for $74 million.

Threats

  • ABN Amro strategist Georgette Boele says they see gold weakening in the coming weeks and months with a price average of $1,400 an ounce. However, they do expect prices to increase to $1,600 by December of 2020. Before this happens, extreme net-long positioning would clear u p because “these positions currently hang over the market and prevent prices from moving substantially higher.”
  • Another sign of a weakening economy was released last week. The ISM manufacturing PMI unexpectedly declined to 48.1 in November, below the median forecast of 49.2. The reading remains below the 50 level that indicates activity is shrinking.

Bloomberg’s Enda Curran writes that cheap borrowing costs have sent global debt to another record – $250 trillion of government, corporate and household debt. This level is almost three times global economic output and policymakers are now grappling with how to keep economies afloat – with more debt? According to Cornerstone Macro’s head of technical analysis Carter Worth, his S&P 500 chart signals a 5 to 8 percent decline in the coming months. Bloomberg reports that the S&P 500 fell 1.4 percent on Tuesday, pushing it below an upward trend line established in October.

SOURCE: https://www.gold-eagle.com/article/50-year-high-central-bank-gold-purchases

New Age Metals $NAM.ca – #Palladium roars to record $1,900/oz. on South Africa power cuts $WG.ca $XTM.ca $WM.ca $PDL.ca $GLEN

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 2:35 PM on Tuesday, December 10th, 2019

SPONSOR: New Age Metals Inc. The company owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. Updated NI 43-101 Mineral Resource Estimate 2,867,000 PdEq Measured and Indicated Ounces, with an additional 1,059,000 PdEq Ounces in the Inferred. Learn More.

Palladium roars to record $1,900/oz. on South Africa power cuts

  • “South Africa produces 40% of world’s palladium and the ESKOM outages are hitting some mines, giving palladium just that extra nudge above $1,900,” says Tai Wong, head of base and precious metals derivatives trading at BMO

By: Carl Surran

Palladium spot prices (NYSEARCA:PPLT) push past $1,900/oz. for the first time ever as South Africa’s power crisis halts mining production in the country, exacerbating supply concerns and extending the metal’s record run.

Spot palladium recently was +1% at $1,901.27/oz., after hitting an all-time high $1,903/oz.

“South Africa produces 40% of world’s palladium and the ESKOM outages are hitting some mines, giving palladium just that extra nudge above $1,900,” says Tai Wong, head of base and precious metals derivatives trading at BMO, but after 13 straight positive sessions, “it wouldn’t be surprising to see some consolidation, though the overall trend continues to look positive.”

Scarcity concerns over palladium already have helped lift the metal by ~50% in 2019, due to its large demand in the auto sector.

Other metals also gained on the South African outages, with platinum +3.1% at $922.40/oz., the highest since Nov. 21, and silver +0.4% to $16.66/oz.; spot gold only +0.1% at $1,463.66/oz.

Source: https://seekingalpha.com/news/3525230-palladium-roars-to-record-1900-oz-on-south-africa-power-cuts

NORTHBUD $NBUD.ca – Brace for Impact: Industries on the Verge of #CBD Disruption $CGC $ACB $APH $CRON.ca $HEXO.ca $OGI.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 1:20 PM on Tuesday, December 10th, 2019

SPONSOR: NORTHBUD (NBUD:CSE) Sustainable low cost, high quality cannabinoid production and procurement focusing on both bio-pharmaceutical development and Cannabinoid Infused Products. Learn More.

Tartisan #Nickel $TN.ca Kenbridge Deposit Increasingly Relevant In The Hunt For Class 1 Nickel $ROX.ca $FF.ca $EDG.ca $AGL.ca $ANZ.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 10:30 AM on Tuesday, December 10th, 2019

Tartisan Nickel Corp. has begun An Investor Awareness Initiative with particular focus on Tartisan’s flagship asset – The Kenbridge Nickel Deposit in Kenora, Ontario.

  • Kenbridge property has a measured and indicated resource of 7.14 million tonnes at 0.62% nickel, 0.33% copper
  • Advanced  stage  deposit  remains open  in  three  directions,  is  equipped with a 623m  deep  shaft  and  has  never  been  mined. 
  • Preliminary  Economic Assessment completed and updated returned robust project 
    economics and operating costs including  a  NPV  of  C$253M  and  cash costs of US$3.47/lb of nickel net of  copper credits.
  • Plans for Kenbridge include updating PEA, advancing the project through to feasibility and exploring 
    the open mineralization at depth

FULL DISCLOSURE: Tartisan Nickel Corp. is an advertising client of AGORA Internet Relations Corp.

INTERVIEW: $HPQ.ca On The Verge Of Supplying #Silicon To Lithium-Ion #Battery Market In 2020 $FSLR $SPWR $CSIQ $PYR.ca $XMG.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 8:44 AM on Tuesday, December 10th, 2019

There is no shortage of small cap companies claiming they want to supply materials to the Lithium-Ion battery market …. but none of them have: 

  • The Silicon “Holy Grail”;
  • A fully functioning Pilot Plant coming online in Q1 2020;
  • Are in NDA discussions with a battery manufacturer;
  • Have not one but TWO world class technology partners
  • Have not one but THREE products to address different battery needs

HPQ Silicon (HPQ:TSXV) has all of these going in its favour and wasn’t afraid to say so in its latest press release.  In fact, HPQ’s CEO stated the following outright:  

“We now have even greater confidence in our joint ability to deliver the critical Silicon material required by the surging Li-ion battery market in 2020 and beyond.”  

With the Company’s Pilot Plant already financed thanks to significant investments from both the Quebec government and technology partner, PyroGenesis, HPQ’s path in 2020 is set and so far ahead of everyone else that it warrants taking them very seriously.  

Watch this interview!

North Bud Farms $NBUD.ca Announces Management Change and Corporate Update $CGC $ACB $APH $CRON.ca $HEXO.ca $OGI.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 7:55 PM on Monday, December 9th, 2019
  • On November 22nd, 2019, the Company received a request for information from Health Canada
  • The Request required the Company to provide certain information and confirmations related to the Company’s outstanding cultivation license application and evidence package
  • Company is pleased to report that the Request was responded to in full in advance of the December 8th, 2019 deadline.

TORONTO, Dec. 09, 2019 — North Bud Farms Inc. (CSE: NBUD) (OTCQB: NOBDF) (“NORTHBUD” or the “Company“) is pleased to announce the appointments of Mr. Ryan Brown as Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors, Mrs. Jennifer Ross-Carriere to the Board of Directors and Mr. Sean Homuth as Chief Executive Officer of the Company, effective immediately. 

“Since Sean has joined our team, he has been instrumental in structuring and closing the first round of our debenture financing as well as completing our acquisitions in California and Nevada,” said Ryan Brown, Executive Chairman of NORTHBUD. “As NORTHBUD evolves its operations in the USA, we are very excited in our future as 2020 will be a significant year of growth for the Company.  The extensive operational experience Sean brings to the team will be essential in executing our strategic plan and guiding the Company through its next level of growth. Moving forward NORTHBUD is committed to the highest level of financial management and diligence as we move from a pre-revenue startup into the revenue generating operational phase of development. Having someone with Sean’s experience and background at the helm of NORTHBUD’s day-to-day operations is a natural evolution for our Company. This transition will allow me to focus on overseeing the corporate strategy while supporting the management team in its execution.”

“We are also pleased to welcome Jennifer Ross-Carriere to our Board as she brings a strong legal and business background coupled with a wealth of corporate governance experience to our board,” said Ryan Brown. “Her knowledge, perspective and diverse skill set will complement our existing board members and be an incredible asset for our Company as we advance our strategic plan.”

Mr. Brown further stated, “I am pleased to take on the role of Executive Chairman supported by our first class independent Board of Directors consisting of Lead Independent Director and former Altria executive, Micheal Saxon, former multiple term Canadian Federal Cabinet Minister, Leona Aglukkat, Dr. Terresa DeLuca, Managing Director of the NY Life Science Venture Fund, Jennifer Ross-Carriere, and experienced capital markets executive and co-founder, André Audet.”   

“I am extremely pleased to be assuming the role of Chief Executive Officer working alongside Ryan, a seasoned veteran of our industry, as we move towards placing our vision into action,” said Sean Homuth, CEO of NORTHBUD. “Our strategy is to build a Company focused on operating cost-efficient cultivation facilities in the largest addressable markets in North America.  With a world class board and executive team, we are poised to lead NORTHBUD through a period of tremendous growth and opportunity.”

Annual and Special Meeting
The Company expects to hold its Annual and Special Meeting (the “Meeting”) in Ottawa, Ontario toward the last week of January 2020 or in early February 2020.  The Company will update shareholders and file the required notices on its website and under its issuer profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Corporate Update
On November 22nd, 2019, the Company received a request for information from Health Canada (the “Request”). The Request required the Company to provide certain information and confirmations related to the Company’s outstanding cultivation license application and evidence package. The Company is pleased to report that the Request was responded to in full in advance of the December 8th, 2019 deadline. The Request did not contain any notices of deficiencies in the Company’s cultivation license application nor did it require the Company to make any modifications to its facilities. On November 27th, senior management of the Company partook in a conference call with the Company’s assigned reviewer at Health Canada to ensure the completeness of the Company’s responses to the Request prior to submission. The Company is confident that the approval process is on track but, at this time, cannot predict when it will be granted a cultivation license by Health Canada. The Company will update shareholders on any material advancement of the application.

In preparation for the anticipated licensing of the Company’s Canadian production facility, the Company has entered into a purchase agreement with Ottawa-based licensed producer apollogreen inc.  apollogreen inc.’s business is focused on the sale of clones and starting genetics. Under the terms of the agreement, apollogreen inc. will provide the Company with starting materials which the Company expects to be cultivated and sold under its Business to Business (“B2B”) sales program.

“We are very happy to be working with the team at apollogreen whom we have known for many years,” said Ryan Brown. “Their services will significantly expedite our ability to achieve revenue post-receipt of our cultivation license. The Company is in negotiation with multiple licensed producers and expects to sign one or more letters of intent for wholesale B2B supply in the coming weeks. The Company’s intention is to secure immediate line of sight on revenue through the process of obtaining our direct sales licenses and preparing our unique genetics for commercialization under the NORTHBUD brand. Historically many producers have chosen to bank inventory for the first 12 months pending the receipt of a sales licence. We believe this is an inefficient strategy and has resulted in large inventory valuation write downs and inferior product being released to consumers. This provides us with a focused cultivation strategy from day one which will increase profitability and allow us to incrementally enter the market with higher-margin branded products while ensuring cash flow needs will be met in the near and medium term.” 

Option Grants
On December 9, 2019, the board of directors of the Company approved the grant of 1,025,000 incentive stock options (“Options”) to certain directors and senior officers of the Company. The Options vest immediately and are exercisable to acquire common shares of the Company at a price of $0.25 per common share, subject to the rules of the Canadian Securities Exchange (the “CSE”) and the Company’s newly adopted 2019 Omnibus Equity Incentive Compensation Plan (the “Omnibus Plan”). The Options expire five years from the date of grant. The Omnibus Plan was adopted by the Board of Directors on December 9, 2019 and is subject to ratification and approval by the shareholders of the Company at the Meeting. The foregoing grant of Options is subject to the ratification and approval of the Omnibus Plan.

RSU Grants
On December 9, 2019, the board of directors of the Company also approved the grant of 3,388,889 restricted share units (“RSUs”) to certain officers, directors, key employees and consultants of the Company. The RSUs vest in four equal tranches starting three months from the date of grant. Each vested RSU entitles the holder thereof to receive one common share of the Company upon delivery of an exercise notice, in accordance with the Omnibus Plan. The foregoing grant of RSUs is subject to the ratification and approval of the Omnibus Plan at the Meeting by the shareholders of the Company.

About Sean Homuth, CEO of NORTHBUD
Mr. Homuth brings extensive experience with both Canadian and U.S. publicly traded organizations both in industry as well as from a client perspective during his tenure at Ernst & Young and, more recently, as an independent consultant. Previously, Mr. Homuth was Chief Financial Officer at Orezone Gold Corporation (and Vice President, Finance and Administration for its predecessor company, Orezone Resources Inc.) a publicly listed company headquartered in Canada with operations in West Africa. At Orezone Mr. Homuth led a global team of finance professionals and was involved in over $800 million in financings and M&A transactions with the company and its predecessor. Mr. Homuth holds accounting designations in both Canada (CPA, CA) and the United States (CPA – Illinois).

About Jennifer Ross-Carriere, Director
Mrs. Ross-Carriere brings over 20 years of experience working with global companies in the technology industry providing strategic and operational advice to organizations of all sizes at the senior leadership and board levels with a particular emphasis on legal matters and employee relations. Previously, Mrs. Ross-Carriere held the roles as General Counsel and Vice-President, People & Culture at IFS Aerospace & Defense and General Counsel and Vice-President, People & Culture at Mxi Technologies. In these roles, she demonstrated strong skills in many areas including, intellectual property, licensing, M&A, corporate governance and employment. She is a senior HR professional with a focus on the development of an employee support organization truly matched to company culture.  Mrs. Ross-Carriere was called to the Bar of Ontario in 1999, holds a Bachelor of Laws (LL.B.) from McGill University and a Bachelor of Arts from Carleton University.  She has served as a Board member of several technology companies and non-profit organizations.

About North Bud Farms Inc.
North Bud Farms Inc., through its wholly owned subsidiary GrowPros MMP Inc., is pursuing a license under The Cannabis Act.  The Company has built a state-of-the-art purpose-built cannabis production facility located on 135 acres of Agricultural Land in Low, Quebec, Canada. NORTHBUD through its wholly owned U.S. subsidiary, Bonfire Brands USA has acquired cannabis production facilities in California and Nevada. The Salinas, California property is located on 11 acres which currently consists of a 300,000 sq. ft. of licensable greenhouse space with 60,000 sq. ft. actively cultivating cannabis and a 2,000 sq. ft. building licensed for distribution.  The Reno, Nevada property is located on 3.2 acres of land which was acquired through the acquisition of Nevada Botanical Science, Inc. a world class cannabis production, research and development facility with 5,000 sq. ft. of indoor cultivation which holds medical and adult use licenses for cultivation, extraction and distribution.

For more information visit: www.northbud.com

Neither the CSE nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the CSE) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.

Forward-looking statements
Certain statements and information included in this press release that, to the extent they are not historical fact, constitute forward-looking information or statements (collectively, “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation.  Forward-looking statements, including those identified by the expressions “anticipate”, “believe”, “plan”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “may”, “should” and similar expressions to the extent they relate to the Company or its management.

Forward-looking statements, including those regarding the success of the Company’s license application, the Company’s ability to execute its strategic plan, conditions in the cannabis market, the Company’s shareholders approving the Omnibus Plan, the vesting of the RSUs, the Company entering agreements in connection with the B2B supply of cannabis and the Company’s transition into a revenue generating operational phase of development are based on the reasonable assumptions, estimates, analysis and opinions of management made in light of its experience and its perception of trends, current conditions and expected developments, as well as other factors that management believes to be relevant and reasonable in the circumstances at the date that such statements are made, but which may prove to be incorrect.

Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.  Such risks and uncertainties include, among others, the risk factors included in the Company’s final long form prospectus dated August 21, 2018, which is available under the Company’s SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements. Further, any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company’s management to predict all of such factors and to assess in advance the impact of each such factor on the Company’s business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements. The Company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect information, events, results, circumstances or otherwise after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events, except as required by law including securities laws. This news release does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities of the Company.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT:
North Bud Farms Inc.
Edward Miller
VP, IR & Communications
Office: (855) 628-3420 ext. 3
[email protected] 

Affinity Metals $AAF.ca: Goldman Says Case for Diversifying into Gold ‘as Strong as Ever’ $SII.ca $TUD.ca $GTT.ca $AMK.ca $OSK.ca

Posted by AGORACOM at 6:41 PM on Monday, December 9th, 2019

Sponsor: Affinity Metals (TSX-V: AFF) a Canadian mineral exploration company building a strong portfolio of mineral projects in North America. The Corporation’s flagship property is the Drill ready Regal Property near Revelstoke, BC. Recent sampling encountered bonanza grade silver, zinc, and lead with many samples reaching assay over-limits. Further assaying of over-limits has been initiated, results will be reported once received. Click Here for More Info

https://news.goldcore.com/ie/wp-content/uploads/sites/19/2017/09/goldman-gold.jpg

Loncor $LN.ca – The Road To Retirement: Millennials Put Their Faith In Bitcoin But Goldman Says Go With Gold $ABX.ca $TECK.ca $RSG $NGT.to

Posted by AGORACOM at 3:32 PM on Monday, December 9th, 2019
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is Loncor-Small-Square.png

Sponsor: Loncor is a Canadian gold exploration company focused on two projects in the DRC – the Ngayu and North Kivu projects. Both projects have historic gold production. Exploration at the Ngayu project is currently being undertaken by Loncor’s joint venture partner Barrick Gold. The Ngayu project is 200km southwest of the Kibali gold mine, operated by Barrick, which produced 800,000 ounces of gold in 2018. Barrick manages and funds exploration at the Ngayu project until the completion of a pre-feasibility study on any gold discovery meeting the investment criteria of Barrick. Click Here for More Info

  • Millennials’ willingness to accept ever-increasing central-planning means gold is the go-to asset to preserve wealth over long-term horizons
  • Goldman keeps its 3,6 and 12m forecasts at $1,600toz.

“Drop Gold” – the ever-present tagline of Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust TV commercial – appears to be working its magic on a certain cohort of society.

https://youtu.be/x6B6cj1CIMk

2019 has seen assets under management in GBTC soar…

Source: Bloomberg

And for Millennials, according to the latest data from Charles Schwab, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trusts is the 5th largest holding in retirement accounts (including 401(k)s) with almost 2% of their assets tied to the success (or failure) of the largest cryptocurrency.

For now this remains a relatively small number…

But, given the increasing acceptance of socialist policies, and the historically-ignorant promise of MMT (and don’t forget UBI), Goldman Sachs suggests that Millennials’ willingness to accept ever-increasing central-planning means gold is the go-to asset to preserve wealth over long-term horizons.

And, at least in the short-term, gold has held its value (relative to Bitcoin) as the world’s volume of negative-yielding assets has shrunk on the latest round of optimism that ‘this time is different’…

Source: Bloomberg

Indeed, Goldman notes that gold looks attractive particularly relative to DM bonds. Both bonds and gold are defensive assets which go up in value when fear spikes. Exhibit 5 shows that investment and central bank demand for gold has been highly correlated with US 10 year real rates.

During the next recession gold may offer better diversification value to bonds because the latter may be capped by the lower bound in rates limiting their ability to appreciate materially. This is particularly relevant for Europe where rates are already close to the lower bound. This means that during the next recession when fear spikes, gold may decouple from rates and outperform them.

Specifically, Goldman says that Gold is a particularly good diversifier for investors with long term investment horizon.

If we look at week on week changes in gold they tend to be dominated by the dollar. As a result the gold S&P500 weekly changes correlation looks almost identical to correlation of S&P 500 and the dollar (see Exhibit 7).

However, if we look at 5 year returns gold and S&P 500 display strong inverse relationship with gold performing great during the 1970ies and 2000s when the S&P 500 underperformed (see Exhibit 8).

This makes sense given that gold is ultimately a hedge against systematic macro risks, which can lead to long periods of equity underperformance. Our strategy team also finds that gold historically has been a good hedge against periods of large drawdowns of the 60/40 portfolio. This was particularly true when a drawdown is caused by accelerating inflation as it was in the 1970ies. Therefore, if one is concerned that the low macro volatility of 2010s will be followed by higher volatility in the 2020s, which would hurt equities, gold would be a good addition to the portfolio.

Geopolitical uncertainty is already translating into greater gold demand. CBs globally have been buying gold at a very strong pace, albeit more recently the rate of CB purchases has cooled off as China and Russia have moderated their buying. Nevertheless, 2019 still looks to be a record year for CB gold purchases with our target of 750 tonnes combined purchases likely to be met (see Exhibit 15).

Rising political risk – together with negative European rates – may be an important reason behind the large share of unaccounted gold investment over the past several years.

Exhibit 17 shows cumulative unexplained gold demand based on World Gold Council (post 2010) and GFMS (pre 2010) balances data. It surged since 2016. Similar dynamics can be seen when we look at implied vaulted gold stocks built in the UK and Switzerland, which is calculated as implied cumulative total net imports minus transparent ETF gold stocks. In fact, since the end of 2016 the implied build in non-transparent gold investment has been much larger than the build in visible gold ETFs. This is consistent with reports that vault demand globally is surging.

Political risks, in our view, help explain this because if an individual is trying to minimize the risks of sanctions or wealth taxes, then buying physical gold bars and storing them in a vault, where it is more difficult for governments to reach them, makes sense. Finally, this build can also reflect hedges by global high net worth individuals against tail economic and political risk scenarios in which they do not want to have any financial entity intermediating their gold positions due to the counterparty credit risk involved.

Finally, Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) – which advocates for central bank financed fiscal deficits – has been gaining more airtime recently, with former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke and former Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer offering similar proposals. The logic is that persistent low inflation and lack of borrowing capacity in many developed markets means that direct CB financing of government deficit is warranted. This is especially true for countries where monetary policy is close to the limits of its capacity. Whilst there are arguments to be made in favor of MMT there are also risks associated with it. Notably some economists stress that if not used responsibly it could lead to a material acceleration in inflation.

In the next recession, our US economists do not expect governments to adopt direct monetary financing and expect inflation to remain firmly anchored. But this doesn’t necessarily prevent an increase in debasement concerns if conversations around MMT become more widespread — a potential boost to demand for gold as a debasement hedge. False debasement concerns have led to gold rallies in the past. Post 2008 aggressive QE in the US led to a considerable push into inflation protected assets including gold (see Exhibit 19). These inflationary concerns did not materialise and the allocation to gold and inflation protected bonds fell sharply in 2013. Another period, currently is less talked about, is the Great Depression when the Fed pumped a lot of money into the economy leading to debasement concerns (see Exhibit 20). What followed was actually disinflation and the gold price eventually moderated.

Overall, while Goldman acknowledges the risks related to still high gold positions we believe the strategic case is still strong, particularly for investors with long term horizons.

This is based on a deteriorated attractiveness of long term DM bonds as portfolio diversifiers and real return generation instruments, exposure to growing EM wealth, limited mine supply growth, elevated political risks and a potential increase in debasement concerns sparked by rising airtime of Modern Monetary Theory.

As such Goldman keeps its 3,6 and 12m forecasts at $1,600toz.

So – will Millennials keep saying “bye gold” or come over the ‘dark side’ and “buy gold”?

New Age Metals $NAM.ca – #Palladium eyes $1,900 in record surge $WG.ca $XTM.ca $WM.ca $PDL.ca $GLEN

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 2:39 PM on Monday, December 9th, 2019

SPONSOR: New Age Metals Inc. The company owns one of North America’s largest primary platinum group metals deposit in Sudbury, Canada. Updated NI 43-101 Mineral Resource Estimate 2,867,000 PdEq Measured and Indicated Ounces, with an additional 1,059,000 PdEq Ounces in the Inferred. Learn More.

Palladium eyes $1,900 in record surge, gold firms on trade doubts

  • Palladium soared to a record just shy of the $1,900 mark on Monday
  • Gold edged higher as uncertainty over U.S.-China trade talks took center stage ahead of a Dec. 15 deadline for fresh U.S. tariffs.

Autocatalyst metal palladium climbed to an all-time high of $1,898.50 an ounce and was last up 0.19% at $1,881.43.

“Palladium has a very strong fundamental backdrop with supply set to stay quite scarce and demand growth set to increase,” said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities.

Palladium has risen nearly 50% in 2019 on a sustained supply squeeze, and has constantly been breaking records, despite a weakening global auto sector. Increasingly stringent emissions regulations globally are raising the palladium in autocatalysts for gasoline-powered cars and 2020 could see the most number of regulations, Ghali added.

“There is a widespread expectation that (palladium) spot prices are headed towards $2,000 and the market does currently appear to be in a one-way street,” INTL FCStone analyst Rhona O’Connell said in a note. “Even with the (auto) sector under pressure, palladium will be in deficit for the foreseeable future and the funds are chasing it higher.”

Elsewhere, spot gold was up 0.05% to $1,460.15 per ounce. U.S. gold futures was flat at $1,464.7.

“The tariff deadline of Dec. 15 is certainly top of everyone’s mind … The situation is still uncertain, helping gold stay firm,” TD Securities’ Ghali said. China said on Monday it hoped to make a trade deal with the United States as soon as possible, as Washington’s next round of tariffs against Chinese goods is scheduled to take effect on Dec. 15. Also supporting bullion, equity markets were further pressured after China’s exports shrank in November.

Markets now await the U.S. Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting starting on Tuesday for cues on its monetary policy. The central bank is expected to highlight the economy’s resilience and keep interest rates on hold in the range of 1.50% to 1.75%.

U.S. investment bank Goldman Sachs said investment demand for gold would be supported by recession fears and political uncertainty, forecasting prices at $1,600 an ounce over a three- and 12-month period.

Platinum and silver were up 0.2% at $897.36 and $16.60 an ounce, respectively.

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/09/gold-markets-us-tariffs-in-focus.html

ThreeD Capital Inc. $IDK.ca – 5 Crypto Trends that Appeared in 2019 #Bitcoin #Ethereum $HIVE.ca $BLOC.ca $CODE.ca

Posted by AGORACOM-JC at 12:19 PM on Monday, December 9th, 2019

SPONSOR: ThreeD Capital Inc. (IDK:CSE) Led by legendary financier, Sheldon Inwentash, ThreeD is a Canadian-based venture capital firm that only invests in best of breed small-cap companies which are both defensible and mass scalable. More than just lip service, Inwentash has financed many of Canada’s biggest small-cap exits. Click Here For More Information.

5 Crypto Trends that Appeared in 2019

  • The crypto space evolved in 2019, moving a bit beyond the immediate hype of price action.
  • While some trends and approaches failed, other developments came into the spotlight, offering new types of earnings opportunities.

by Christine Masters

The crypto space evolved in 2019, moving a bit beyond the immediate hype of price action. While some trends and approaches failed, other developments came into the spotlight, offering new types of earnings opportunities.

In 2019, the top crypto trends expanded to fill the void of previously defunct models.

Futures Trading: The CME futures trading started back in 2017. But in 2019, the market had grown significantly. The launch of Bakkt futures added to the price discovery of Bitcon (BTC) at the end of 2019. Crypto-to-crypto exchanges also expanded their futures markets in many directions. Some chose to offer futures for the most liquid altcoins. OKEx was among the most innovative markets, adding USDT-settled futures.

The addition of futures also meant that not only BTC owners could hope to trade based on the price risk of the leading coin. Futures markets move by a different logic, and do not need to conform to the expectations of long-term BTC “hodlers”, hence pressures to dump the price are also possible.

Crypto-based Lending: As more altcoins became inactive, the assets had to find a use case. Lending based on locking up the assets expanded in 2019. Ethereum (ETH) was the top collateral asset. Binance, however, became the leader in offering lending products based on some of the leading altcoins.

Custodial Storage and Staking: Staking coins were big even years ago, but for most, this required some technical knowledge and a dedication to keeping an operational wallet online. Now, it is possible to stake coins while making use of custodial services. Coinbase and more recently, Binance, are adding more proof-of-stake coins, redistributing the rewards. The latest asset to be added was Tezos, which has a relatively complex “baking” process.

Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Part crypto lending, part staking, DeFi is a separate rendition for the usage of stablecoins. Usually based on Ethereum (ETH), those services aim to replicate traditional finance. Maker DAO grew significantly in 2019, finally releasing its multi-collateral DAI in November. Despite ETH price volatility, DeFi only suffered relatively minor liquidations, and trust remained high enough to continue the decentralized lending pattern.

IEOs: Initial Exchange Offerings were the tamer, curated version of token sales. At the lead, exchanges like Binance and OKEx offered independent projects. Binance went the extra mile to build its own Binance Chain and host some of the tokens. Returns from IEOs varied, and some exchanges rode the trend with shady offerings. Bitfinex also used the IEO hype to place its own LEO token, which did not hold a public sale. IEOs were a new opportunity for tokenization and financing selected projects, but most of the tokens were volatile.

For almost all crypto trends, 2020 may see even stricter regulations. But financial innovation is happening in the sector, potentially building new cases for digital assets.

Source: https://cryptovest.com/news/5-crypto-trends-that-appeared-in-2019/